cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Nahki Johnson /Tulsa

Nahki Johnson

DL · Tulsa · Sr · #88

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

27 TACKLES · 3 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Tulsa for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Tulsa for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · Tulsa

Returning around him

  • 99% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -1 net (21 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Tulsa · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #85 · 2026 recruiting class #109

DL · TULSA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Nahki Johnson

  • 4
  • #88
  • 6-3 | 285 lb
  • Pittsburgh, PA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

51

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 89th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#9265

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#29 in market ▼ from #23 · 5 books

+35002.8% implied▲ tightened from +6600

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class4
Jersey88
Measurements6-3 | 285 lb
HometownPittsburgh, PA
Primary teamTulsa

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Tulsa 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 20, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Pittsburgh -> Tulsa 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#9265Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#9106Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Nahki Johnson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Nahki Johnson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
27Tackles
6.5Tackles for loss
3Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.7Tackles for loss
0.3Sacks
Projected (13g)
35Tackles
8.5Tackles for loss
3.9Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 27): needs 17.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 27): needs 24.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 3): needs 1/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 3): needs 2.3/game over remaining 3.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Nahki Johnson is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Tulsa's defense, with 3.0 sacks, 6.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #9265 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 27 5 solo | #1543/4942 (69th pct)
TFL 6.5 Backfield disruption | #340/4972 (93rd pct)
Sacks 3.0 Pass-rush finish | #292/4972 (94th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
27 69th
SOLO
5 39th
TFL
6.5 93rd
SACK
3.0 94th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 35-7vs Abilene Christian701.50.00Season-high 7 tackles
Wk 2L 14-21@ New Mexico State401.00.50
Wk 3L 23-42vs Navy100.00.00
Wk 6L 7-45@ Memphis210.50.00
Wk 8L 27-41@ East Carolina200.00.00
Wk 9L 37-38vs Temple400.50.50
Wk 11L 21-40@ Florida Atlantic222.01.00
Wk 12W 31-14vs Oregon State111.01.00
Wk 13W 26-25@ Army110.00.00
Wk 14L 24-31vs UAB300.00.00
Total2756.53.00
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Pittsburgh11-2HC: Pat Narduzzi · Balanced, fast tempo
2022Pittsburgh9-4HC: Pat Narduzzi · Run-leaning
2023Pittsburgh3-9HC: Pat Narduzzi · Balanced, slow tempo
2024Pittsburgh7-6HC: Pat Narduzzi · Balanced, fast tempo
2025Tulsa4-8HC: Tre Lamb · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Tulsa2756.53.0------
2024Pittsburgh1421.00.0------
2023Pittsburgh3--0.50.0------
2022Pittsburgh321.01.0------
2021Pittsburgh320.00.0------
Career5 loaded seasons50119.04.0------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 27 #1543/4942 69th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 6.5 #340/4972 93rd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 3.0 #292/4972 94th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 5 #2793/4584 39th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g3.20.60.30.0
Road5g2.20.70.30.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins3g3.00.80.30.0
Losses7g2.60.60.30.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-74g3.50.80.10.0
Weeks 8+6g2.20.60.40.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

51Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: sacks (88th). Strength: tackles for loss (87th). Concern: solo tackles (7th).

Sacks#291 / 2975 · 89th pct
3.0defe
Tackles for loss#340 / 2975 · 87th pct
6.5defe
Tackles#1543 / 2975 · 47th pct
27defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe
Solo tackles#2694 / 2975 · 8th pct
5defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Nahki JohnsonTulsaMichael MontgomerySouthern Miss· 58% simJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 55% simJackson KuwatchMiami (OH)· 55% sim
Sacks
89
Johnson
89
Montgomery
63
Vaughns
96
Kuwatch
Tackles for loss
87
Johnson
85
Montgomery
85
Vaughns
96
Kuwatch
Tackles
47
Johnson
99
Montgomery
99
Vaughns
98
Kuwatch
QB hurries
22
Johnson
22
Montgomery
22
Vaughns
55
Kuwatch
Passes defended
18
Johnson
67
Montgomery
48
Vaughns
48
Kuwatch
Solo tackles
8
Johnson
82
Montgomery
96
Vaughns
95
Kuwatch

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The 3-Tech Penetrator

Disruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Divine Obichere’s 2022 season.

Divine Obichere

91%match

Boise State · 2022

#2

Philip Blidi

Texas Tech · 2022

88%
#3

Tonka Hemingway

South Carolina · 2022

NFL Rd 4
88%
#4

Kyler Drake

New Mexico · 2023

87%
#5

Martez Poynter

Toledo · 2024

87%

Matches Divine on

Weight
Sack rate
TFL rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Latrell Jean's graduate season at Temple (2024).

Latrell Jean

92%match

Temple · 2024

#2

Martez Poynter

Toledo · 2025

All-MAC
80%
#3

Bradley Weaver

Rutgers · 2025

All-MAC
77%
#4

Paris Shand

LSU · 2024

76%
#5

Dayon Hayes

Colorado · 2024

76%

Matches Latrell on

Class year
Height
TFL rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tre Lamb

Pass share

45.9%

407 pass / 480 run

Plays / game

73.9

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.2%

357 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

3 coaches
2021
Philip Montgomery
Tulsa
2022
Philip Montgomery
Tulsa
2023
Kevin Wilson
Tulsa
era →
2024
Kevin Wilson
Tulsa
2025
Tre Lamb
Tulsa
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Philip Montgomery, Kevin Wilson, and Tre Lamb. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPittsburgh, PA
Height6'3"
Weight285 lb
Class4
PositionDL
Jersey88

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Pittsburgh DL4 #9265 #9106 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Pittsburgh DL4 #11560 #11680 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Pittsburgh DL4 #8400 #8288 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC
2021 Pittsburgh DL4 #7625 #7453 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Tulsa American Athletic DL 4 No. 88 | 6-3 | 285 lb | Pittsburgh, PA
2024 Pittsburgh ACC DL 4 No. 88 | 6-3 | 285 lb | Pittsburgh, PA
2023 Pittsburgh ACC DL 4 No. 88 | 6-3 | 285 lb | Pittsburgh, PA
2022 Pittsburgh ACC DL 4 No. 88 | 6-3 | 285 lb | Pittsburgh, PA
2021 Pittsburgh ACC DL 4 No. 88 | 6-3 | 285 lb | Pittsburgh, PA