CFB Zeitgeist QB Score
Awaiting
Nate Yarnell
Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.
2026 Outlook
Returning to Texas State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Quarterback · Texas State
Returning around him
- 93% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- Transfer portal: -4 net (17 in / 21 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Texas State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #76 · 2026 recruiting class #101
QB · TEXAS STATE · SUN BELT
Nate Yarnell
- 4
- #19
- 6-6 | 215 lb
- Austin, TX
Heisman Heat
#160
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 0 · Not on teamR01 · Scout team / redshirt
Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2022–2024+442%
Up 442% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Pittsburgh
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8556 | No. 1031 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Pittsburgh -> Texas State | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8556
#1031 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Nate Yarnell
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Nate Yarnell
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Nate Yarnell's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Texas State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2024 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2024 season snapshot | final
2024 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Steady volume against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2024 Season · Final
2024 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
98 64th
ATT
167 67th
CMP%
58.7% 39th
Y/A
6.3 38th
Passing Production
YDS
1,056 63rd
TD
10 74th
INT
5 32nd
Rushing
CAR
35 61st
YDS
25 44th
YPC
0.7 22nd
TD
0 44th
Game Log
Week-by-week box
No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Pittsburgh9-4HC: Pat Narduzzi · Run-leaning
2023Pittsburgh3-9HC: Pat Narduzzi · Balanced, slow tempo
2024Pittsburgh7-6HC: Pat Narduzzi · Balanced, fast tempo
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Pittsburgh | 98 | 167 | 58.7% | 1,056 | 6.3 | 10 | 5 | 125.6 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Pittsburgh | 41 | 62 | 66.1% | 595 | 9.6 | 4 | 1 | 164.8 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Pittsburgh | 10 | 14 | 71.4% | 195 | 13.9 | 1 | 0 | 212.0 | -- | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 149 | 243 | 61.3% | 1,846 | 7.6 | 15 | 6 | 140.6 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Pittsburgh | 35 | 25 | 0.7 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Pittsburgh | 19 | 13 | 0.7 | 1 | -- |
| 2022 | Pittsburgh | 2 | -10 | -5.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 56 | 28 | 0.5 | 1 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 1,056 | #141/382 | 63rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 10 | #105/407 | 74th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 98 | #138/383 | 64th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 58.7% | #236/383 | 39th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 6.3 | #239/382 | 38th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 25 | #231/408 | 44th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.27 | #99/200 | 51st pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 182 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 36.3% | #158/428 | 63rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 167 | #137/407 | 67th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 5 | #276/407 | 32nd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 35 | #161/408 | 61st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 11 | #281/391 | 28th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 0.7 | #317/407 | 22nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #230/408 | 44th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 51.3% | #181/428 | 58th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 47.3% | #154/428 | 64th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 44.6% | #171/428 | 60th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 38.6% | #148/428 | 66th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 32.2% | #154/428 | 64th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 30.4% | #163/428 | 62nd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 9.5% | #165/428 | 62nd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #69/258 | 74th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits
Per-game splits
Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
G.J. Kinne
Pass share
39.5%
358 pass / 549 run
Plays / game
69.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
9.4%
267 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2024
2 coaches2022
Jake Spavital
Texas State
2023era →
G.J. Kinne
Texas State
2024
G.J. Kinne
Texas State
Coaching transition mid-career: Jake Spavital → G.J. Kinne. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownAustin, TX
Height6'6"
Weight215 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey19
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamTexas State
ConferenceSun Belt
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Pittsburgh | QB4 | #160 | #147 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | ACC |
| 2023 | Pittsburgh | QB4 | #405 | #555 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | ACC |
| 2022 | Pittsburgh | QB4 | #247 | #220 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | ACC |
| 2021 | Pittsburgh | QB4 | #1081 | #806 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | ACC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas State | Sun Belt | QB | 4 | No. 19 | 6-6 | 215 lb | Austin, TX |
| 2024 | Pittsburgh | ACC | QB | 4 | No. 19 | 6-6 | 215 lb | Austin, TX |
| 2023 | Pittsburgh | ACC | QB | 4 | No. 19 | 6-6 | 215 lb | Austin, TX |
| 2022 | Pittsburgh | ACC | QB | 4 | No. 19 | 6-6 | 215 lb | Austin, TX |
| 2021 | Pittsburgh | ACC | QB | 4 | No. 19 | 6-6 | 215 lb | Austin, TX |