Texas State

4-4

Week 10 · updated Wednesday, Nov 4

Texas State lost 45-46 at Boise State and is 4-4.

Fan mood in the week of the Utah State game: on the bright side, brighter than usual for them

Fan mood in each Texas State game week this season

Compared with other fanbases in r/CFB game threads that week. Each row is a week, named for its game; the further right the dot, the brighter the talk.

sourerbrighterbefore the seasonnot enough talk to readvs UTSA L 26-31not enough talk to readvs North Texas W 49-35middle of the packvs Incarnate Word W 63-10not enough talk to readat San Diego State L 29-31sourvs Colorado State W 66-27middle of the packvs Utah State W 20-17on the bright sideat Boise State L 45-46not enough talk to readsourerbrighterbefore the seasonnot enough talk to readSep 12vs UTSAL 26-31not enough talk to readSep 19vs North TexasW 49-35middle of the packSep 26vs Incarnate WordW 63-10not enough talk to readOct 3at San Diego StateL 29-31sourOct 15vs Colorado StateW 66-27middle of the packOct 24vs Utah StateW 20-17on the bright sideOct 31at Boise StateL 45-46not enough talk to read
  • L 7-59 at Texas
  • L 26-31 vs UTSA
  • W 49-35 vs North Texas
  • W 63-10 vs Incarnate Word
  • L 29-31 at San Diego State
  • W 66-27 vs Colorado State
  • W 20-17 vs Utah State
  • L 45-46 at Boise State
  • Next: at Oregon State, Saturday, Nov 7

Scores ours first.

Since the last game

Texas State lost 45-46 at Boise State.

The whole Boise State game

Then and now

G.J. Kinne has taken Texas State to a bowl in each of his three full seasons.

Before Oregon State

Texas State needs two wins in its last three games to reach six.

The playoff simulation gives Texas State a 48% chance at Oregon State on Saturday, Nov 7.

In the playoff simulation, the Oregon State game has the Pac-12 race on it for Texas State.

Oregon State game on Now

What the Oregon State game is worth

How fan mood is read

Fan mood compares what Texas State fans wrote in r/CFB game threads with every FBS fanbase with enough talk that week. A week runs Monday to Sunday and is named for the game in it. The read is redrawn 300 times from the same commenters, re-ranking every fanbase each time. Sour or all in means the read sat in the bottom or top fifth in at least 70 of every 100 draws; on the sour side or on the bright side, in the bottom or top two fifths in at least 80; anything less settled is middle of the pack. A bright label also needs more positive talk than negative, and a sour one the reverse. Brighter or sourer than usual compares the week with the team's own earlier weeks, after taking out how every fanbase read that week. Each dot sits at the read's rank that week. A week read before these labels keeps the word it was first given, the fifth it sat in (sour, uneasy, mixed, hopeful or all in). Season averages are the mean of a season's reads, in fifths from sour to all in, and seasons before 2026 were read from each week's wider talk, so a comparison across seasons is rough.

Fan mood, week by week

Mood over time

Position = mood · width = volume · color = the kind of feeling

What the reporters say

What reporters say

7 quotes collected this season

What the beat said, in their own words.

Since [Davian] Jackson wasn’t out there, the coaches told me it would be tough to take me out
Burgess · The University Starthe day of Texas State's 2026 game against Colorado State
Really upset by the way we came out and played that third quarter … It was really one quarter that really cost us
Kinne · The University Star3 days after the 29-31 game
It’s crazy that [Davian Jackson is] only a freshman; just imagine him in two years
Burgess Jr · The University Star3 days after the 63-10 game

More in this tab

Fan chatterThe loudest night of the season and what a usual night looks like.

Fan chatter this season

Firestorm

The loudest night was the 29-31 loss to San Diego State.

FirstSecondThirdFourthSan Diego State fansTexas State fans

A usual night for Texas State fans is loud.

The argumentThe one thing this fanbase can't agree on, with receipts.

Inside the fanbase: all 7 corners

Cr/CFB
GGoogle News
UUnderdog Dynasty
CCampus paper
BBluesky
YYouTube
6 outlets & communities talking

The split, staged

Warmest corner+0.20
Local
Most bought-in cohort
vs
Coldest corner+0.10
National take
Coolest cohort

How Texas State fans actually talk

Rr/CFBFan talk

Claiming the Texas State Bobcats as the 2016 national champion because it was while I was in school and want more good memories from then

open ↗

One of the crowd’s most upvoted takes — read for mood, not as a side. The cohort read is the measured part.

From the team’s own coverage

All 7 corners of the fanbase

negative
0
positive
National take+0.10 to Local+0.20

Cohort sentiment is a source-weighted model read — never a quote pinned to a person.

What this fanbase keeps coming back to

fan energy
36%
recent results
23%
where the program is headed
10%
the schedule
6%
offense
5%

Topics are model-labeled from Reddit — a rough signal of what this fanbase is circling right now.

week 9. The sources and the divergence rank are measured. Cohort labels and sentiment are a source-weighted model estimate, never a quote attributed to a person.
The obsessionThe rival this fanbase can't stop bringing up.
Rent Free · r/CFB fan posts, 2026 season
Texas State fans 41% of posts bring up another team▲2pp saltier#48 of 77 saltiest · mostly about Texas
Who Texas State fans can’t stop bringing up
  1. Texas17%
  2. UTSA5%
  3. North Texas5%
  4. Boise State3%
  5. Utah State2%
share of Texas State’s football posts that mention each team
Voice profileHow this fanbase sounds vs. every other fanbase.
Doomers
Optimism
29th
Joy
29th
Anger
77th
Doom
89th
Sarcasm
21st
Vs the 127 highest-volume fanbases - 2026 season
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site