Last confirmed: Pittsburgh, 2016. No 2026 box-score games on record.
6′2″ · Fruit Cove, FL · Bartram Trail
Nathan Peterman: QB · Pittsburgh · #4.
Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.
Nathan Peterman
Pushes it downfield on every look. Two head coaches in three seasons, at two different programs. On tape: 308 passing yards and 18 rushing yards against Clemson, Week 11, 2016.
Play style
Elite arm talent, pushing downfield. Completion rate is the variable.
Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long
Where the completions actually land
42.5% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 26.2% conversion-per-dropback — 35.3% of completions land short of the sticks.
Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. checkdown by design
Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration
Who gets the tough yard
6 of the team's 44 inside-the-5 carries (13.6%).
No outlet on our list has written about him by name this season.
Swipe the table sideways for more columns.
| Season | Team | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Pittsburgh | 185 | 306 | 60.5% | 2,855 | 9.3 | 27 | 7 | 163.4 | 79 |
| 2015 | Pittsburgh | 193 | 314 | 61.5% | 2,287 | 7.3 | 20 | 8 | 138.6 | 54 |
| 2014 | Tennessee | 10 | 20 | 50.0% | 49 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 70.6 | -- |
| Career | 388 | 640 | 60.6% | 5,191 | 8.1 | 47 | 15 | 148.3 | 66 |
| Season | Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Pittsburgh | 72 | 286 | 4.0 | 3 |
| 2015 | Pittsburgh | 86 | 233 | 2.7 | 1 |
| 2014 | Tennessee | 9 | 13 | 1.4 | 1 |
| Career | 167 | 532 | 3.2 | 5 |
Game log · Week-by-week
2016 season · 13 games
Swipe the table sideways for more columns.
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 28-7vs Villanova | 19/32 | 175 | 2 | 0 | 5.5 | 53.6 | |
| Wk 2 | W 42-39vs Penn State | 11/15 | 91 | 3 | 1 | 6.1 | 78.4 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 3 | L 38-45@ Oklahoma State | 14/29 | 237 | 1 | 1 | 8.2 | 39.4 | |
| Wk 4 | L 36-37@ North Carolina | 14/18 | 140 | 0 | 0 | 7.8 | 89.6 | |
| Wk 5 | W 43-27vs Marshall | 17/23 | 280 | 2 | 0 | 12.2 | 93.4 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 6 | W 37-34vs Georgia Tech | 14/20 | 192 | 1 | 0 | 9.6 | 73.6 | |
| Wk 7 | W 45-31@ Virginia | 11/21 | 137 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 | 80.3 | |
| Wk 9 | L 36-39vs No. 25 Virginia Tech | 13/22 | 267 | 1 | 1 | 12.1 | 51.8 | |
| Wk 10 | L 28-51@ Miami | 17/35 | 287 | 2 | 1 | 8.2 | 46.8 | |
| Wk 11 | W 43-42@ No. 3 Clemson | 22/37 | 308 | 5 | 0 | 8.3 | 76.2 | Season-high 308 yds |
| Wk 12 | W 56-14vs Duke | 11/18 | 237 | 3 | 1 | 13.2 | 83.3 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 13 | W 76-61vs Syracuse | 9/18 | 251 | 4 | 1 | 13.9 | 98.3 | 4 TD passes |
 Bowl | L 24-31@ Northwestern | 13/18 | 253 | 1 | 1 | 14.1 | 90.0 | |
| Total | 185/306 | 2855 | 27 | 7 | 9.3 | — |
Week 11 · 2016
W 43-42
at Clemson
308 yds · 5 TD · 0 INT · QBR 76.2 · 18 rush yds (6 car)
Edged out Clemson on the road in a shootout.
With R. Winslow — 43.4 yards per punt · 5 punts · 52 long · J. Conner — 132 rush yds (20 car) · 1 TD · 3 rec · 57 yds · 1 TD
The plays that mattered most
Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 304 passing plays (183 completions) against the box score's 306 attempts (185 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.
Adjusted ANY/A
9.5110 of 193 QBsSack rate
3.2%28 of 193 QBsRarely sacked (28 of 193 QBs) and still 10 of 193 in Adjusted ANY/A.
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Short
0–9 ydsMiddle
10–19 ydsDeep
20+ ydsOverall 60.5% completion on 306 attempts · 42 deep completions averaging 38.1 yds.
Is he a different quarterback when it matters
Each situation vs his own 2016 baseline
No situation moves him more than 56 percentile points from his baseline.
Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.
Splits · Per-game
2016 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 213 | 2.3 | 10.4 | 0.6 |
| Road5g | 222 | 2.0 | 7.8 | 0.4 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-78g | 188 | 1.5 | 8.8 | 0.4 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 270 | 3.0 | 11.1 | 0.8 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Pat Narduzzi
Pass share
37.7%
320 pass / 528 run
Plays / game
65.2
13 games
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Player standing · 2016
Our Heisman model had this player inside its top 25 in 2016.
How it ended
Three seasons, at Tennessee and Pittsburgh, 5,191 passing yards — drafted at #171 overall by the Buffalo Bills.
His career
He has a stat line in 32 games over 3 seasons.
Coaching lineage · 2012–2016
3 coachesPlayed for 3 head coaches at 2 schools: Derek Dooley, Butch Jones and Pat Narduzzi.
Where he ended up · NFL
Buffalo BillsEntering 10th NFL season
Buffalo BillsEntering 10th NFL season
