cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Porter Wilson /Duke

Porter Wilson

P · Duke · Sr · #98

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

ALUMNUSDuke 2023 alumnus

P · DUKE · ACC

Porter Wilson

  • 4
  • #98
  • 6-5 | 231 lb
  • Fairlawn, OH

CFB Zeitgeist P Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#15606

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP P AWARD

Ray Guy

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R02 · Deep reserve

Deep reserve. In the program, working up the two-deep.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2023

2021

Duke · P

2022

Duke · P

2023

Duke · P

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2288 national
CFB
College
Duke
2021–2023
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionP
Class4
Jersey98
Measurements6-5 | 231 lb
HometownFairlawn, OH
Primary teamDuke

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2288 recruit
Composite rating 0.8104 HighSchool
Signed with Duke 2019
Origin Copley Akron, OH, USA
Class Profile Context
2019 3-star | 0.8104 No. 2288 recruit | HighSchool | Duke

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2023 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 19
Current nowcast#15606Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#15384Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Duke

Composite

0.8104

#2288 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Porter Wilson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Porter Wilson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Porter Wilson already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #15606 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2023 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

OTHER season snapshot

2023 season snapshot | final

2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 0 Combined rushing and receiving
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns
Usage -- Role share still loading
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

This player profile will sharpen as more advanced context is loaded.

Balanced profile

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Duke3-9HC: David Cutcliffe · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2022Duke9-4HC: Mike Elko · Run-leaning
2023Duke8-5HC: Trooper Taylor · Run-leaning, slow tempo
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 11 #9/15 47th pct Volumevs FBS peers
Passing Yards / attempt 11.0 #7/15 60th pct Efficiencyvs FBS peers
Passing Attempts 1 #4/25 88th pct Volumevs FBS peers
Passing Completion % 100.0% #1/15 100th pct Efficiencyvs FBS peers
Passing Completions 1 #3/15 87th pct Volumevs FBS peers
Passing Interceptions 0 #1/25 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS peers
Passing Pass TD 0 #2/25 96th pct Scoringvs FBS peers
Punting Punting YDS 2,530 #29/179 84th pct Metricvs FBS peers
Punting Punting LONG 70 #15/179 92nd pct Metricvs FBS peers
Punting Punting NO 54 #45/179 75th pct Metricvs FBS peers
Punting Punting YPP 47 #17/179 91st pct Metricvs FBS peers
Punting Punting IN 20 19 #36/166 79th pct Metricvs FBS peers
Punting Punting TB 4 #33/142 77th pct Metricvs FBS peers

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Ray Guy award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · P · 2023

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Manny Diaz

Pass share

53.3%

506 pass / 444 run

Plays / game

67.9

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.7%

358 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023

3 coaches
2021
David Cutcliffe
Duke
2022
Mike Elko
Duke
era →
2023
Trooper Taylor
Duke
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: David Cutcliffe, Mike Elko, and Trooper Taylor. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownFairlawn, OH
Height6'5"
Weight231 lb
Class4
PositionP
Jersey98

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2023)

All-ACC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2023 All-ACC all_conference Duke | ACC P

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2023 Duke P4 #15606 #15384 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Duke P4 #14929 #14666 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC
2021 Duke P4 #14667 #14622 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2023 Duke ACC P 4 No. 98 | 6-5 | 231 lb | Fairlawn, OH
2022 Duke ACC P 4 No. 98 | 6-5 | 231 lb | Fairlawn, OH
2021 Duke ACC P 4 No. 98 | 6-5 | 231 lb | Fairlawn, OH