cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Tommy Dunn /Kansas

Tommy Dunn

DT · Kansas · Sr · #92

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

26 TACKLES · 2.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Kansas for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Kansas for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive tackle · Kansas

Returning around him

  • 41% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 2 Kansas players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +5 net (31 in / 26 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Kansas · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #48 · 2026 recruiting class #72

DT · KANSAS · BIG 12

Tommy Dunn

  • 4
  • #92
  • 6-3 | 305 lb
  • Garland, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

64

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 85th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#10811

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1551 national
CFB
College
Kansas
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDT
Class4
Jersey92
Measurements6-3 | 305 lb
HometownGarland, TX
Primary teamKansas

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1551 recruit
Composite rating 0.8367 HighSchool
Signed with Kansas 2021
Origin Naaman Forest Garland, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8367 No. 1551 recruit | HighSchool | Kansas

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#10811Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#11193Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Kansas

Composite

0.8367

#1551 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Tommy Dunn

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Tommy Dunn

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
26Tackles
3.5Tackles for loss
2.5Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
31Tackles
4.1Tackles for loss
3.0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 26): needs 27/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 26): needs 37/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 2.5): needs 1.8/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 2.5): needs 3.8/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Tommy Dunn is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Kansas's defense, with 2.5 sacks, 3.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #10811 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 2.5 sacks | 3.5 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 26 13 solo | #1609/4942 (67th pct)
TFL 3.5 Backfield disruption | #869/4972 (83rd pct)
Sacks 2.5 Pass-rush finish | #393/4972 (92nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
26 67th
SOLO
13 65th
TFL
3.5 83rd
SACK
2.5 92nd
QBH
2 66th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 31-7vs Fresno State110.00.00
Wk 1W 46-7vs Wagner320.00.00
Wk 2L 31-42@ Missouri600.50.50Season-high 6 tackles
Wk 4W 41-10vs West Virginia310.00.00
Wk 6W 27-20@ UCF221.01.00
Wk 7L 17-42@ Texas Tech000.00.01
Wk 9L 17-42vs Kansas State111.00.00
Wk 10W 38-21vs Oklahoma State330.00.00
Wk 11L 20-24@ Arizona421.01.00
Wk 13L 14-38@ Iowa State100.00.00
Wk 14L 21-31vs Utah210.00.00
Total26133.52.51
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Kansas6-7HC: Lance Leipold · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2023Kansas9-4HC: Lance Leipold · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2024Kansas5-7HC: Lance Leipold · Run-leaning
2025Kansas5-7HC: Lance Leipold · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Kansas26133.52.51----
2024Kansas1694.01.5------
2023Kansas1280.50.0------
2022Kansas971.50.5------
Career4 loaded seasons63379.54.51----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 2 Quarterback hurries | #647/1878 (66th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 26 #1609/4942 67th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 3.5 #869/4972 83rd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 2.5 #393/4972 92nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 2 #647/1878 66th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 13 #1622/4584 65th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g2.20.20.00.0
Road5g2.60.50.50.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins5g2.40.20.20.0
Losses6g2.30.40.20.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.50.20.20.2
Weeks 8+5g2.20.40.20.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DT cohort

64Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: sacks (85th).

Sacks#389 / 2975 · 85th pct
2.5defe
QB hurries#634 / 2975 · 72nd pct
2defe
Tackles for loss#866 / 2975 · 69th pct
3.5defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Tackles#1609 / 2975 · 45th pct
26defe
Solo tackles#1622 / 2975 · 44th pct
13defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DT · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Tommy DunnKansasTreylin PayneTexas State· 68% simDaniel WingateMaryland· 67% simRay ConeyTulsa· 67% sim
Sacks
85
Dunn
80
Payne
74
Wingate
80
Coney
QB hurries
72
Dunn
82
Payne
72
Wingate
88
Coney
Tackles for loss
69
Dunn
87
Payne
87
Wingate
90
Coney
Passes defended
48
Dunn
67
Payne
48
Wingate
67
Coney
Tackles
45
Dunn
98
Payne
98
Wingate
100
Coney
Solo tackles
44
Dunn
95
Payne
99
Wingate
93
Coney

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jaelen Crider’s 2025 season.

Jaelen Crider

92%match

Louisiana · 2025

#2

Kurott Garland

Tennessee · 2023

90%
#3

Coziah Izzard

Penn State · 2021

89%
#4

Henry Chibueze

Liberty · 2021

89%
#5

Wykevious Thomas

South Alabama · 2020

88%

Matches Jaelen on

Class year
Height
TFL rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to James Ester's senior season at Northern Illinois (2023).

James Ester

91%match

Northern Illinois · 2023

All-MAC
#2

Kurott Garland

Tennessee · 2023

90%
#3

Warren Brinson

Georgia · 2023

NFL Rd 6
90%
#4

Vernon Broughton

Texas · 2024

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 7
87%
#5

Darius Alexander

Toledo · 2023

All-MACNFL Rd 3 · Pk 1
87%

Matches James on

Class year
Height
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Lance Leipold

Pass share

45.1%

344 pass / 419 run

Plays / game

63.6

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.1%

293 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Lance Leipold
Kansas
2023
Lance Leipold
Kansas
2024
Lance Leipold
Kansas
2025
Lance Leipold
Kansas

Played his entire career under Lance Leipold.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownGarland, TX
Height6'3"
Weight305 lb
Class4
PositionDT
Jersey92

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Kansas DT4 #10811 #11193 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Kansas DT4 #11509 #11285 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Kansas DT4 #12221 #12285 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12
2021 Kansas DT4 #14159 #14294 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Kansas Big 12 DT 4 No. 92 | 6-3 | 305 lb | Garland, TX
2024 Kansas Big 12 DT 4 No. 92 | 6-3 | 305 lb | Garland, TX
2023 Kansas Big 12 DT 4 No. 92 | 6-3 | 305 lb | Garland, TX
2022 Kansas Big 12 DT 4 No. 92 | 6-3 | 305 lb | Garland, TX
2021 Kansas Big 12 DT 4 No. 92 | 6-3 | 305 lb | Garland, TX