cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Trey Pierce /Michigan

Trey Pierce

DL · Michigan · Jr · #95

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

30 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Michigan for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Michigan for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · Michigan

Returning around him

  • 40% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 6 Michigan players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -16 net (17 in / 33 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Michigan · Last season: 9-4 (AP #18) · Talent rank #11 · 2026 recruiting class #6

DL · MICHIGAN · BIG TEN

Trey Pierce

  • 3
  • #95
  • 6-2 | 310 lb
  • Evergreen Park, IL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

39

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by qb hurries at the 72nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#10328

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Michigan
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class3
Jersey95
Measurements6-2 | 310 lb
HometownEvergreen Park, IL
Primary teamMichigan

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#10328Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#10252Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Trey Pierce

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Trey Pierce

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 13g
30Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Final
30Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Trey Pierce is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Michigan's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 1.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #10328 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.0 sacks | 1.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 30 18 solo | #1362/4942 (72nd pct)
TFL 1.0 Backfield disruption | #2051/4972 (59th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
30 72nd
SOLO
18 74th
TFL
1.0 59th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
2 66th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 34-17vs New Mexico320.00.00
Wk 2L 13-24@ Oklahoma210.00.00
Wk 3W 63-3vs Central Michigan110.00.00
Wk 4W 30-27@ Nebraska430.00.00
Wk 6W 24-10vs Wisconsin320.00.00
Wk 7L 13-31@ USC210.00.00
Wk 8W 24-7vs Washington100.50.00
Wk 9W 31-20@ Michigan State210.00.00
Wk 10W 21-16vs Purdue000.00.00
Wk 12W 24-22@ Northwestern420.00.00
Wk 13W 45-20@ Maryland110.00.00
Wk 14L 9-27vs Ohio State630.50.00Season-high 6 tackles
BowlL 27-41@ Texas110.00.00
Total30181.00.00
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Michigan15-0HC: Jim Harbaugh · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2024Michigan8-5HC: Sherrone Moore · Run-heavy
2025Michigan9-4HC: Sherrone Moore · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Michigan30181.00.0------
2024Michigan740.00.0------
2023Michigan210.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons39231.00.0------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 2 Quarterback hurries | #647/1878 (66th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 30 #1362/4942 72nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.0 #2051/4972 59th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 2 #647/1878 66th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 18 #1178/4584 74th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g2.30.20.00.0
Road7g2.30.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins9g2.10.10.00.0
Losses4g2.80.10.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g2.30.00.00.0
Weeks 8+6g2.30.20.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

39Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: passes defended (17th).

QB hurries#634 / 2975 · 72nd pct
2defe
Solo tackles#1178 / 2975 · 59th pct
18defe
Tackles#1362 / 2975 · 53rd pct
30defe
Tackles for loss#1936 / 2975 · 28th pct
1.0defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Trey PierceMichiganBlake FletcherAir Force· 69% simTyler MartinMassachusetts· 62% simMicah DaveyUTEP· 61% sim
QB hurries
72
Pierce
92
Fletcher
22
Martin
82
Davey
Solo tackles
59
Pierce
91
Fletcher
87
Martin
99
Davey
Tackles
53
Pierce
99
Fletcher
98
Martin
99
Davey
Tackles for loss
28
Pierce
28
Fletcher
63
Martin
91
Davey
Sacks
24
Pierce
24
Fletcher
24
Martin
63
Davey
Passes defended
18
Pierce
67
Fletcher
67
Martin
18
Davey

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Nose Anchor

Two-gap space-eater who occupies blockers and frees the linebackers.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jahmeer Carter’s 2022 season.

Jahmeer Carter

94%match

Virginia · 2022

#2

Demond Taylor

Northern Illinois · 2021

91%
#3

Na'im Rodman

Colorado · 2022

90%
#4

Josh Fuga

Virginia Tech · 2021

89%
#5

Chris Smith

Notre Dame · 2022

88%

Matches Jahmeer on

Weight
TFL rate
Sack rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Sonny Hazard's junior season at Louisiana (2023).

Sonny Hazard

90%match

Louisiana · 2023

#2

Tai Newhouse

Tulsa · 2025

88%
#3

Anthony Britton

Virginia · 2025

86%
#4

Braden Marceau-Olayinka

Stanford · 2025

86%
#5

Gabriel Brownlow-Dindy

South Carolina · 2025

86%

Matches Sonny on

Class year
Sack rate
TFL rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sherrone Moore

Pass share

40.9%

340 pass / 492 run

Plays / game

64.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.4%

256 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Jim Harbaugh
Michigan
2024
Sherrone Moore
Michigan
era →
2025
Sherrone Moore
Michigan

Coaching transition mid-career: Jim Harbaugh → Sherrone Moore. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownEvergreen Park, IL
Height6'2"
Weight310 lb
Class3
PositionDL
Jersey95

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Michigan DL3 #10328 #10252 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Michigan DL3 #3710 #3272 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Michigan Big Ten DL 3 No. 95 | 6-2 | 310 lb | Evergreen Park, IL
2024 Michigan Big Ten DL 3 No. 95 | 6-2 | 310 lb | Evergreen Park, IL
2023 Michigan Big Ten DL 3 No. 95 | 6-2 | 310 lb | Evergreen Park, IL