cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Tyson Thompson /Rice

Tyson Thompson

WR · Rice · Sr · #11

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

105 REC YDS · 8 REC · 2 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Rice for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Rice for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Rice

Returning around him

  • 75% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -2 net (20 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Rice · Last season: 5-8 · Talent rank #106 · 2026 recruiting class #100

WR · RICE · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Tyson Thompson

  • 4
  • #11
  • 5-9 | 185 lb
  • Spring, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

31

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 51st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4301

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2024–2025
11.02024
1052025

+855%

Up 855% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Rice
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey11
Measurements5-9 | 185 lb
HometownSpring, TX
Primary teamRice

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Rice 2022
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Apr 30, 2022
Season Move Context
2022 Houston Christian -> Rice Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4301Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4879Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Tyson Thompson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Tyson Thompson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
105Rec yards
8Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
10.5Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
136.5Rec yards
10Receptions
3Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 105): needs 198.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 105): needs 298.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 8): needs 17.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 8): needs 24/game over remaining 3.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 2/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 2.7/game over remaining 3.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Tyson Thompson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Rice, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #4301 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc 119 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 8 2 rec TD | #631/1110 (43rd pct)
Receiving yards 105 13.1 per catch | #623/1107 (44th pct)
Scrimmage yards 132 Total offensive yardage | #623/1107 (44th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
8 43rd
YDS
105 44th
YPR
13.1 60th
TD
2 75th

Rushing

CAR
6 82nd
YDS
27 73rd
YPC
4.5 51st
TD
0 81st

Returns

KR YDS
83 60th
KR AVG
20.8 61st
PR YDS
36 46th
PR AVG
5.1 27th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 14-12@ Louisiana144.004
Wk 2L 9-35vs Houston133.003
Wk 3W 38-17vs Prairie View A&M12222.0122
Wk 4W 28-17@ Charlotte13737.0037Season-high 37 yds
Wk 5L 13-21@ Navy
Wk 6L 21-27vs Florida Atlantic
Wk 9W 37-34vs UConn166.006
Wk 10L 14-38vs Memphis
Wk 11W 24-17vs UAB33311.0123
BowlL 10-41@ Texas State
Total810513.8237
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Rice5-8HC: Mike Bloomgren · Run-leaning
2024Rice4-8HC: Mike Bloomgren · Pass-leaning
2025Rice5-8HC: Scott Abell · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Rice810513.12--
2024Rice3113.70--
2022Rice----------
Career3 loaded seasons1111610.52--
SeasonTeam
2025Rice6278336--
2024Rice----59173--
2022Rice----7026--
Career3 loaded seasons627212235--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 3.0% 5.7% pass-game share | #805/1137 (29th pct)
Return yards 119 0 return TD | #96/238 (60th pct)
Touchdowns 2 Across offense and returns | #281/1111 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 8 #631/1110 43rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 105 #623/1107 44th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #281/1111 75th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 13.1 #441/1106 60th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return yards 83 #96/238 60th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 36 #122/224 46th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 5.7% #805/1137 29th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 27 #108/397 73rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 10 #173/346 50th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 6 #76/407 82nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 4.5 #195/393 51st pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 37 #499/1105 55th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return avg 20.8 #94/236 61st pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 7 #103/237 57th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 5.1 #162/222 27th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick returns 4 #96/243 61st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 4.5% #684/1137 40th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 3.8% #676/1137 41st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 3.8% #828/1137 27th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 3.0% #767/1137 33rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 2.6% #751/1137 34th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 2.1% #89/1137 92nd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 1.2% #987/1137 13th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/302 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g1.010.710.50.3
Road4g0.510.220.50.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins5g1.420.416.00.4
Losses5g0.20.63.00.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-77g0.69.416.50.1
Weeks 8+3g1.313.08.50.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

31Below cohort
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: fumbles lost (80th). Concern: receptions (0th).

Fumbles lost#1 / 218 · 81st pct
0fumb
Rush yards#92 / 287 · 68th pct
27rush
Yards / catch#268 / 558 · 51st pct
13.1rece
Rec TDs#276 / 558 · 42nd pct
2rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Long catch#416 / 558 · 25th pct
37rece
Rec yards#549 / 558 · 2nd pct
105rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
8rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Tyson ThompsonRiceJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 50% simAaron TurnerRice· 50% simKevin Coleman Jr.Missouri· 49% sim
Fumbles lost
81
Thompson
81
Turner
Rush yards
68
Thompson
76
Gibson
98
Turner
89
Jr.
Yards / catch
51
Thompson
15
Gibson
1
Turner
28
Jr.
Rec TDs
42
Thompson
7
Gibson
68
Turner
24
Jr.
Rush TDs
39
Thompson
39
Gibson
99
Turner
39
Jr.
Long catch
25
Thompson
56
Gibson
65
Turner
56
Jr.
Rec yards
2
Thompson
74
Gibson
48
Turner
84
Jr.
Receptions
0
Thompson
92
Gibson
92
Turner
94
Jr.

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Scott Abell

Pass share

26.0%

224 pass / 636 run

Plays / game

66.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.6%

147 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Mike Bloomgren
Rice
2024
Mike Bloomgren
Rice
2025
Scott Abell
Rice
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Mike Bloomgren → Scott Abell. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSpring, TX
Height5'9"
Weight185 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Rice WR4 #4301 #4879 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Rice WR4 #4579 #4512 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 Rice WR4 #5299 #5738 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Rice American Athletic WR 4 No. 11 | 5-9 | 185 lb | Spring, TX
2024 Rice American Athletic WR 4 No. 11 | 5-9 | 185 lb | Spring, TX
2023 Rice American Athletic WR 4 No. 11 | 5-9 | 185 lb | Spring, TX
2022 Rice Conference USA WR 4 No. 11 | 5-9 | 185 lb | Spring, TX