Player stats
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Biggest plays from Abilene Christian’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Abilene Christian’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q1, 12:14 · Texas Tech tiedQuinten Joyner runs 14 yards for a touchdownAbilene Christian at Texas Tech, week 1Q1, 12:14 · Texas Tech 7, Abilene Christian 0Texas Tech opened the scoringTexas Tech opened the scoringQuinten Joyner run for 14 yds, for a TD (S. Harrington kick)▶Watch from this play
Big 12 Conference- Q1, 2:22 · Texas Tech up 7J'Koby Williams runs 5 yards for a touchdownAbilene Christian at Texas Tech, week 1Q1, 2:22 · Texas Tech 14, Abilene Christian 014-0score after the play14-0score after the playJ. Williams run for 5 yds, for a TD (S. Harrington kick)▶Watch from this play Big 12 Conference
Q2, 4:06 · Abilene Christian down 14Jamond Mathis sacks John David Black for a 7-yard lossAbilene Christian at Texas Tech, week 1Q2, 4:06 · Abilene Christian 0, Texas Tech 140-14score after the play0-14score after the playJ.Black sacked for loss of 7 yards to the ACU14 (J.Mathis)▶Watch from this play Big 12 Conference- Q4, 2:45 · Texas Tech up 23Will Hammond finds Malcolm Simmons for a 64-yard touchdownAbilene Christian at Texas Tech, week 1Q4, 2:45 · Texas Tech 33, Abilene Christian 391Capped a 91-yard drive91Capped a 91-yard driveCapped a 91-yard driveW.Hammond pass complete deep right to M.Simmons caught at ACU41, for 64 yards to the ACU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play Big 12 Conference
How scary each game got
Abilene Christian lost to Stephen F. Austin after being 80% to win; the closest win was at North Alabama, down to 18%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Abilene Christian during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Abilene Christian has had no measurable home edge: −0.2 points, home against road.
No measurable home edge, 1st percentile of 133 programs
0% at home, 11% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (0-2 home, 2-16 away). Interval ±5.6.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Abilene Christian has beaten the number by +6.3 more at home than away over 57 games. That is inside the ±7.8 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Wildcat Stadium (TX) seats 12,000 and has averaged 71% full (8,484, 17 games reported). Visitors cover a median 454 miles to get here (2018-present).
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across 44 of 45 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.
More in this tab
Scheme claims
How much of Abilene Christian’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.15; adjusted for opponent strength, it's 0.07. The widest gap came in week 10: 0.15 raw vs. 0.07 adjusted.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Abilene Christian
Most similar programs · Abilene ChristianReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.