Arkansas-Pine Bluff
1-2SWAC · Golden Lion Stadium · 16,000
LastL 51–53 vs Alcorn State · Sat Sep 12 · Garrison Davis 167 pass yds, 4 TD, 1 INT
Nextvs Central State · Sat Sep 19 · 5 pm ET · Golden Lion Stadium · series 0-1 · Game preview
Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Home-field advantage · Arkansas-Pine Bluff · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Arkansas-Pine Bluff is worth +52.1 points more at home than on the road.
Top tenth of FBS, 100th percentile of 133 programs
100% at home, 0% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (4–0 home, 0–7 away). Interval ±8.0.
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3.
Golden Lion Stadium seats 16,000 and has averaged 42% full (6,792, 10 games reported). Visitors cover a median 262 miles to get here (2018-present).
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across 29 of 34 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.
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Havoc & trenches
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Reads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Conditions
76°F average kickoff temp; 8% of games had measurable precipitation; 7 mph average wind.
Based on 25 home games with weather data.