Brown

4-3

Player stats

Player stats · 2026 season

No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.

How scary each game got

Brown lost at Rhode Island after being 86% to win; the closest win was against Cornell, down to 4%

50%W3L4L5W6L7W8W9

Tap a game for its score and win chances.

Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Brown during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.

More in this tab

Scheme claimsFive specific, testable claims about how this team plays.

How much of Brown’s number is the schedule?

Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.03; adjusted for opponent strength, it's 0.01. The widest gap came in week 5: −0.09 raw vs. −0.02 adjusted.

0.08-0.02-0.12Wk 4Wk 7Wk 10Raw EPA/playOpponent-adjusted
0.08-0.02-0.12Wk 4Wk 7Wk 10RawAdjusted
Source CFB Zeitgeist · season-to-date, opponent-adjusted model
Havoc & trenchesDefense havoc rate 0.163, 53th percentile

Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc rate (D) 0.163
53rd
Havoc allowed (O) 0.158
40th
Front-seven havoc (D) 0.091
37th
Secondary havoc (D) 0.072
77th
Stuff rate (D) 0.169
25th
Stuff rate allowed (O) 0.233
8th
Line yards (O) 2.484
5th
Line yards allowed (D) 2.698
69th
Standard-downs success (O) 0.463
41st
Standard-downs success allowed (D) 0.469
36th
Passing-downs success (O) 0.228
5th
Passing-downs success allowed (D) 0.272
69th
Screened 12 claims, 12 survived · 2026 season, FBS only, min. 3 games with data this season
Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Brown

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

Historical echoPrograms whose arc bent the same way — then what happened.

Brown’s breakout has happened before — and 3 of the 4 closest programs couldn’t hold it.

Programs whose stature climbed in the same shape. The grey line is their run; the color is what came next for them.

Army 1985–1990
held the gain
Northwestern 2014–2019
fell back
Virginia 2001–2006
fell back
Bowling Green 2001–2006
fell back

An analogy on the shape of a program’s Zeitgeist stature arc — not a prediction. Interim calibration; matched among current FBS programs at a comparable level.

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site