Brown

5-52025 record

Ivy · Brown Stadium · 20,000 · 3,434 avg in 2025

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetat New Haven · our model 60% Brown · a number, not a pick

Openerat New Haven · Sat Sep 19 · 12 pm ET · Ralph F. DellaCamera Stadium · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · preseason

Player stats — 2025 season

No player stats logged for this program's 2025 season.

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Scheme claimsFive specific, testable claims about how this team plays.

Schedule mirage

How much of Brown's number is the schedule?

Raw EPA/play through week 21 is 0.14; adjusted for opponent strength, it's 0.03. The widest gap came in week 4: 0.22 raw vs. 0.01 adjusted.

0.260.10-0.06Wk 4Wk 13Wk 21Raw EPA/playOpponent-adjusted
Source CFB Zeitgeist · season-to-date, opponent-adjusted model
Havoc & trenchesDisruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc & trenches

Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc Rate (D) 0.049
1st
Havoc Allowed (O) 0.037
99th
Front-Seven Havoc (D) 0.025
1st
Secondary Havoc (D) 0.024
1st
Stuff Rate (D) 0.149
8th
Stuff Rate Allowed (O) 0.241
7th
Line Yards (O) 2.479
5th
Line Yards Allowed (D) 3.309
2nd
Standard-Downs Success (O) 0.479
54th
Standard-Downs Success Allowed (D) 0.507
10th
Passing-Downs Success (O) 0.284
31st
Passing-Downs Success Allowed (D) 0.323
27th
Screened 12 claims, 12 survived · 2025 season, FBS only, min. 3 games with data this season
RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Model Consensus

Where the Models Rank Brown

CFB Zeitgeist

—

-10.5

SRS

—

-30.2

National rank of 136 FBS teams · 2025 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Brown

Reads like

Abilene ChristianUACSame tier of program · Same prestige bandAustin PeayUACSame tier of program · Same prestige bandCal PolyBig SkySame tier of program · Same prestige band

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

Historical echoPrograms whose arc bent the same way -- then what happened.

Historical echo

Brown’s breakout has happened before — and 3 of the 4 closest programs couldn’t hold it.

Programs whose stature climbed in the same shape. The grey line is their run; the color is what came next for them.

Army 1985–1990
held the gain
Northwestern 2014–2019
fell back
Virginia 2001–2006
fell back
Bowling Green 2001–2006
fell back

An analogy on the shape of a program’s Zeitgeist stature arc — not a prediction. Interim calibration, medium confidence; matched among current FBS programs at a comparable level.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

62°F average kickoff temp; 8% of games had measurable precipitation; 9 mph average wind.

Based on 25 home games with weather data.

CFB Zeitgeist · team-pages v1.0 “Ever True to Brown”
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