Next game
at UNC Pembroke
Sat Oct 24 · 3 pm ET
Grace P. Johnson Stadium · series 0-1
Chowan University 23% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Chowan University
4-3Carolinas · Garrison Stadium · 5,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 37-7 vs Erskine
Our model gave Chowan University 76% before kickoff
The rest of the season
One real test left: UNC Pembroke 23%
Win out 15% · expect 1.9 of 3 more wins
Chowan University's chance to win each game left, from our model: UNC Pembroke 23%, Ferrum 80%, Shorter 82%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at UNC Pembroke · our model 23% Chowan University
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Chowan University · 2026 schedule and results4-3Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 46%.Our rank entering each game: #383 to #371
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | #383 | #368 | — | @West Virginia State | L 24-56 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 1 | Sep 5 | #383 | #388 | — | @UVA Wise | W 24-20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #390 | #342 | — | Virginia Union | L 19-34 | 1-2 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #400 | #418 | — | Barton | W 34-0 | 2-2 | 1-0 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | #392 | #308 | — | @West Alabama | L 26-29 | 2-3 | 1-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #386 | #332 | — | @North Greenville | W 16-13 | 3-3 | 2-0 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #371 | #420 | — | Erskine | W 37-7 | 4-3 | 3-0 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #351 | #293 | @UNC Pembroke | 3 pm ET23% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #351 | #420 | @Ferrum | 2 pm ET80% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Shorter | 1 pm ET82% to win | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Chowan University, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Chowan University: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Chowan University has won three of its last five.
6-4 over the last 10, and won the last two.
Streak W2Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 6-4
Range of outcomes · Chowan University · 2026
Range of outcomes · Chowan University · 2026Chowan University’s most likely regular season is 6-4. 97% of outcomes land from 5-5 to 7-3.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
4 wins 3%; 5 wins 24%; 6 wins 57%; 7 wins 15%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor5-7Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base7-5Mid-table finish.
Ceiling9-3Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-3
Game feel48even gamescombined pts / game4th highest-scoring of 7 in the Carolinas
Heart rate2-1some dramain one-score games (3 of 7)5th most one-score games of 7 in the Carolinas
Margin+3.0competitiveavg scoring margin3rd best margin of 7 in the Carolinas
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Carolinas teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Chowan is the fallen program that hit a peak it couldn't sustain — a 2024 Division II Sweet Sixteen contender that collapsed in 2025 and is now searching for a way back to relevance.
Standard GapA historically Black university in North Carolina with a storied NJCAA…
Fans here believe no active chip — Chowan is in introspection mode. The wound is self-inflicted. Coach Paul Johnson needs to figure out what broke.
Game day
The experience
Chowan is the fallen program that hit a peak it couldn't sustain — a 2024 Division II Sweet Sixteen contender that collapsed in 2025 and is now searching for a way back to relevance.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site