Next game
vs Ferrum
Sat Oct 24 · 3 pm ET
J.W. Babb Stadium · series 0-1
Erskine College 53% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Erskine College
2-5Carolinas · J.W. Babb Stadium · 4,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 7-37 at Chowan
Our model gave Erskine College 24% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: North Greenville 4%, Ferrum 53%
Win out 2% · expect 1.3 of 3 more wins
Erskine College's chance to win each game left, from our model: Ferrum 53%, North Greenville 4%, Barton 73%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Ferrum · our model 53% Erskine College
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Erskine College · 2026 schedule and results2-5Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 51%.Our rank entering each game: #422 to #420
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | #422 | — | — | @BLUEFIELD | W 37-20 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #421 | — | — | @Thomas | W 62-3 | 2-0 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #414 | #452 | — | Brevard | L 14-27 | 2-1 | 0-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #414 | #392 | — | Shorter | L 24-31 | 2-2 | 0-1 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #412 | #268 | — | @Valdosta State | L 0-56 | 2-3 | 0-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #413 | #309 | — | @UNC Pembroke | L 3-44 | 2-4 | 0-2 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #420 | #371 | — | @Chowan | L 7-37 | 2-5 | 0-3 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #437 | #420 | Ferrum | 3 pm ET53% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #437 | #310 | @North Greenville | 12 pm ET4% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Barton | 1:30 pm ET73% to win |
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Erskine College, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Erskine College: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Erskine College has lost five straight.
2-8 over the last 10, and lost the last five.
Streak L5Last 5 · 0-5Last 10 · 2-8
Range of outcomes · Erskine College · 2026
Range of outcomes · Erskine College · 2026Erskine College’s most likely regular season is 3-7. 98% of outcomes land from 2-8 to 4-6.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
2 wins 12%; 3 wins 47%; 4 wins 39%; 5 wins 2%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor2-10Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base3-9Mid-table finish.
Ceiling6-6Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 2-5
Game feel52shootoutscombined pts / game2nd highest-scoring of 7 in the Carolinas
Heart rate0-1rarely closein one-score games (1 of 7)6th most one-score games of 7 in the Carolinas
Margin-10.1competitiveavg scoring margin5th best margin of 7 in the Carolinas
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Carolinas teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Erskine is the relaunch program struggling to find footing — a small South Carolina college that restarted football in 2021 and is rebuilding the Flying Fleet after a 69-year hiatus.
Standard GapA small Presbyterian liberal arts college in South Carolina with…
Fans here believe no chip — Erskine is in survival mode. The program needs a coaching change or major reset to build competitiveness.
Game day
The experience
Erskine is the relaunch program struggling to find footing — a small South Carolina college that restarted football in 2021 and is rebuilding the Flying Fleet after a 69-year hiatus.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site