Next game
at Erskine
Sat Oct 24 · 3 pm ET
J.W. Babb Stadium · series 1-0
Ferrum 47% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Ferrum
2-5Carolinas · W.B. Adams Stadium · 5,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 7-24 vs Delta State
Our model gave Ferrum 35% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Underdogs in all 5 games left, best shot: Erskine 47%
Win out <1% · expect 1.1 of 5 more wins
Ferrum's chance to win each game left, from our model: Erskine 47%, Chowan 20%, UNC Pembroke 8%, Concord 16%, Concord 16%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Erskine · our model 47% Ferrum
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Ferrum · 2026 schedule and results2-5Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 45%.Our rank entering each game: #426 to #412
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | #426 | #319 | — | Catawba | L 7-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 1 | Sep 5 | #426 | #359 | — | Emory & Henry | L 16-55 | 0-2 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #423 | #404 | — | @Shaw | L 28-34 | 0-3 | 0-0 | |
| 3 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 4 | Sep 26 | #420 | #348 | — | North Greenville | L 10-41 | 0-4 | 0-1 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #418 | #419 | — | @Barton | W 21-0 | 1-4 | 1-1 | |
| 6 | Oct 9 | #414 | #391 | — | @Shorter | W 17-10 | 2-4 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #412 | #316 | — | Delta State | L 7-24 | 2-5 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #420 | #437 | @Erskine | 3 pm ET47% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #420 | #351 | Chowan | 2 pm ET20% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | UNC Pembroke | 2 pm ET8% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Concord | 1 pm ET | ||||||
| 12 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 13 | Nov 24 | @Concord | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Ferrum, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Ferrum: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Ferrum has won two of its last five.
3-7 over the last 10, and lost the last one.
Streak L1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 3-7
Range of outcomes · Ferrum · 2026
Range of outcomes · Ferrum · 2026Ferrum’s most likely regular season is 3-9. 94% of outcomes land from 2-10 to 4-8.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
2 wins 27%; 3 wins 44%; 4 wins 23%; 5 wins 5%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor2-10Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base3-9Mid-table finish.
Ceiling6-6Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 2-5
Game feel40rock fightscombined pts / game7th highest-scoring of 7 in the Carolinas
Heart rate1-2some dramain one-score games (3 of 7)4th most one-score games of 7 in the Carolinas
Margin-10.1outgunnedavg scoring margin6th best margin of 7 in the Carolinas
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Carolinas teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
The Panthers of Ferrum, a small Virginia college whose Hank Norton teams won four junior-college national titles and reached the 1989 NCAA Division III national semifinals.
Standard GapA program with a genuine championship past at the junior-college…
Ferrum once won four national junior-college titles and reached a Division III Final Four, and now the wider football world acts like a small Virginia college never had a glory era at all.
Game day
The experience
The Panthers of Ferrum, a small Virginia college whose Hank Norton teams won four junior-college national titles and reached the 1989 NCAA Division III national semifinals.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site