Furman

2-1

Southern · Paladin Stadium · 16,000 · 8,147 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetvs South Carolina State · our model 33% Furman · a number, not a pick

LastW 20–13 at Mercer · Sat Sep 12 · Trevor Short 2 sacks, 2 TFL, 2 tackles

Nextvs South Carolina State · Sat Sep 19 · 7 pm ET · Paladin Stadium · series 2-1 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Player stats — 2026 season

No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.

Home-field advantage · Furman · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Furman is worth +43.3 points more at home than on the road.

Top tenth of FBS, 100th percentile of 133 programs

100% at home, 10% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (1–0 home, 1–9 away).

model 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Furman has beaten the number by −2.2 more at home than away over 52 games — inside the ±8.3 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Paladin Stadium seats 16,000 and has averaged 54% full (8,564, 12 games reported). Visitors cover a median 163 miles to get here (2018-present).

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across 39 of 40 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.

Home1–0Away1–9Edge+43.3Visitor trip163 mi

More in this tab

Havoc & trenchesDisruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc & trenches

Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc Rate (D) 0.160
77th
Havoc Allowed (O) 0.185
5th
Front-Seven Havoc (D) 0.105
77th
Secondary Havoc (D) 0.055
50th
Stuff Rate (D) 0.236
77th
Stuff Rate Allowed (O) 0.183
50th
Line Yards (O) 3.109
68th
Line Yards Allowed (D) 2.614
59th
Standard-Downs Success (O) 0.378
5th
Standard-Downs Success Allowed (D) 0.484
32nd
Passing-Downs Success (O) 0.195
5th
Passing-Downs Success Allowed (D) 0.184
86th
Screened 12 claims, 12 survived · 2026 season, FBS only, min. 3 games with data this season
Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Furman

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

Historical echoPrograms whose arc bent the same way -- then what happened.

Historical echo

Furman’s breakout has happened before — and 1 of the 4 closest programs couldn’t hold it.

Programs whose stature climbed in the same shape. The grey line is their run; the color is what came next for them.

Minnesota 1984–1989
fell back
Colorado State 1993–1998
kept climbing
Kansas 1945–1950
held the gain
Boise State 1998–2003
kept climbing

An analogy on the shape of a program’s Zeitgeist stature arc — not a prediction. Interim calibration, medium confidence; matched among current FBS programs at a comparable level.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

73°F average kickoff temp; 6% of games had measurable precipitation; 7 mph average wind.

Based on 31 home games with weather data.

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