Player stats
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Biggest plays from Idaho’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Idaho’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q1, 12:40 · Utah tiedDevon Dampier finds Wayshawn Parker for a 9-yard touchdownIdaho at Utah, week 1Q1, 12:40 · Utah 7, Idaho 0Utah opened the scoringUtah opened the scoringD.Dampier pass complete short left to W.Parker caught at IDA08, for 9 yards to the IDA00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q2, 4:39 · Utah up 10Devon Dampier finds Braden Pegan for a 7-yard touchdownIdaho at Utah, week 1Q2, 4:39 · Utah 24, Idaho 724-7score after the play24-7score after the playD.Dampier pass complete short right to B.Pegan caught at IDA05, for 7 yards to the IDA00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q1, 14:17 · Idaho down 7Trey Reynolds intercepts Joshua WoodIdaho at Utah, week 1Q1, 14:17 · Idaho 0, Utah 77Idaho’s turnover led to a touchdown7Idaho’s turnover led to a touchdownIdaho’s turnover led to a touchdownJ.Wood pass intercepted by T.Reynolds at IDA31 T.Reynolds return 2 yards to the IDA29, out of bounds at IDA29▶Watch from this play
Q1, 12:30 · Idaho down 7I. Carter fumbles and Utah recoversIdaho at Utah, week 1Q1, 12:30 · Idaho 0, Utah 73Idaho’s turnover led to a field goal3Idaho’s turnover led to a field goalIdaho’s turnover led to a field goalI.Carter rush middle for 8 yards loss to the IDA12 fumbled by I.Carter at IDA14 recovered by UTA R.Evans at IDA12, End Of Play▶Watch from this play
Q2, 0:32 · Utah up 17Devon Dampier finds Wayshawn Parker for a 3-yard touchdownIdaho at Utah, week 1Q2, 0:32 · Utah 31, Idaho 7Utah scored with 0:32 left in the halfUtah scored with 0:32 left in the halfD.Dampier pass complete short right to W.Parker caught at IDA04, for 3 yards to the IDA00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q3, 13:15 · Utah up 24Braden Pegan runs 12 yards for a touchdownIdaho at Utah, week 1Q3, 13:15 · Utah 38, Idaho 738-7score after the play38-7score after the playNo Huddle B.Pegan rush right for 12 yards gain to the IDA00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
Idaho lost at Sacramento State after being 96% to win
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Idaho during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
How they play
Idaho fields a strong offense behind a leaky defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Idaho reads strongest in rushing EPA (top 16%) and EPA / play (top 26%); the crux lives in passing EPA allowed, where Idaho sits at the 20th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Idaho is worth +6.8 points more at home than on the road.
Top tenth of FBS, 91st percentile of 133 programs
50% at home, 12% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (1-1 home, 2-15 away). Interval ±13.1.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Idaho has beaten the number by −2.0 more at home than away over 60 games. That is inside the ±7.5 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Kibbie Dome seats 16,000 and has averaged 60% full (9,595, 16 games reported). Visitors cover a median 615 miles to get here (2018-present).
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 43 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.
More in this tab
Scheme claims
How much of Idaho’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.21; adjusted for opponent strength, it's 0.08. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.27 raw vs. 0.07 adjusted.
Tendency drift
How Idaho’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Idaho
Reads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.