South Dakota State

2-1

MVFC · Dana J. Dykhouse Stadium · 19,340 · 19,102 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetvs Youngstown State · our model 79% South Dakota State · a number, not a pick

LastW 57–14 vs New Haven · Sat Sep 12 · Chase Mason 255 pass yds, 3 TD, 14 rush yds

Nextvs Youngstown State · Sat Sep 19 · 7 pm ET · Dana J. Dykhouse Stadium · series 14-3, won the last 6 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Key stats — 2026 — FBS rank
Points/game
48.3
Pts allowed/game
18.3
All 4 stats
Other
2nd-half EPA/play0.20.1/gm
Pass rate, 1st downs#1 / 8 · 100th pct
56.4%56.4%
Red zone pass rate#1 / 3 · 100th pct
44.4%44.4%

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats — 2026 season

No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.

Home-field advantage · South Dakota State · 2018–present · FBS opponents

South Dakota State is worth +6.3 points more at home than on the road.

Top third of FBS, 83rd percentile of 133 programs

75% at home, 47% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (6–2 home, 7–8 away). Interval ±9.1.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, South Dakota State has beaten the number by −0.0 more at home than away over 53 games — inside the ±7.5 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Dana J. Dykhouse Stadium seats 19,340 and has averaged 84% full (16,250, 17 games reported). Visitors cover a median 603 miles to get here (2018-present).

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 58 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.

Home6–2Away7–8Edge+6.3 ±9.1Visitor trip603 mi

More in this tab

Havoc & trenchesDisruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc & trenches

Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc Rate (D) 0.179
86th
Havoc Allowed (O) 0.110
86th
Front-Seven Havoc (D) 0.094
50th
Secondary Havoc (D) 0.086
86th
Stuff Rate (D) 0.174
50th
Stuff Rate Allowed (O) 0.119
95th
Line Yards (O) 3.573
95th
Line Yards Allowed (D) 2.912
50th
Standard-Downs Success (O) 0.538
86th
Standard-Downs Success Allowed (D) 0.457
77th
Passing-Downs Success (O) 0.342
68th
Passing-Downs Success Allowed (D) 0.183
86th
Screened 12 claims, 12 survived · 2026 season, FBS only, min. 3 games with data this season
Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · South Dakota State

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

56°F average kickoff temp; 0% of games had measurable precipitation; 12 mph average wind.

Based on 44 home games with weather data.

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