Villanova

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Patriot · Villanova Stadium · 12,500 · 5,221 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetat Long Island University · our model 60% Villanova · a number, not a pick

LastL 13–59 at Louisville · Fri Sep 11 · Ja'briel Mace 20 rush yds, 73 rec yds, 1 TD

Nextat Long Island University · Sat Sep 19 · 12 pm ET · Shark Stadium · series 3-0, won the last 3 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Player stats — 2026 season

No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.

Home-field advantage · Villanova · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Villanova is worth +6.3 points more at home than on the road.

Top third of FBS, 83rd percentile of 133 programs

75% at home, 42% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (3–1 home, 5–7 away). Interval ±12.8.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Villanova has beaten the number by +1.7 more at home than away over 54 games — inside the ±8.7 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Villanova Stadium seats 12,500 and has averaged 35% full (4,321, 16 games reported). Visitors cover a median 205 miles to get here (2018-present).

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 45 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.

Home3–1Away5–7Edge+6.3 ±12.8Visitor trip205 mi

More in this tab

Havoc & trenchesDisruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc & trenches

Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc Rate (D) 0.126
5th
Havoc Allowed (O) 0.136
68th
Front-Seven Havoc (D) 0.109
77th
Secondary Havoc (D) 0.018
5th
Stuff Rate (D) 0.166
41st
Stuff Rate Allowed (O) 0.179
59th
Line Yards (O) 2.314
14th
Line Yards Allowed (D) 2.787
59th
Standard-Downs Success (O) 0.447
32nd
Standard-Downs Success Allowed (D) 0.510
23rd
Passing-Downs Success (O) 0.245
32nd
Passing-Downs Success Allowed (D) 0.366
5th
Screened 12 claims, 12 survived · 2026 season, FBS only, min. 3 games with data this season
Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Villanova

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

61°F average kickoff temp; 9% of games had measurable precipitation; 7 mph average wind.

Based on 34 home games with weather data.

CFB Zeitgeist · team-pages v1.0 “They don't talk about it, they do it.” Historical view →
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