Player stats
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Biggest plays from Villanova’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Villanova’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q2, 14:50 · Villanova down 14Pat McQuaide finds Ja'briel Mace for a 65-yard touchdownVillanova at Louisville, week 2Q2, 14:50 · Villanova 10, Louisville 176565-yard touchdown pass6565-yard touchdown pass65-yard touchdown passP.McQuaide pass complete deep left to J.Mace caught at LOU41, for 65 yards to the LOU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q2, 13:24 · Louisville up 7Lincoln Kienholz finds Lawayne McCoy for a 61-yard touchdownVillanova at Louisville, week 2Q2, 13:24 · Louisville 24, Villanova 106161-yard touchdown pass6161-yard touchdown pass61-yard touchdown passL.Kienholz pass complete deep right to L.McCoy caught at VIL27, for 61 yards to the VIL00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play- Q1, 4:33 · Louisville breaks the tieLincoln Kienholz runs 19 yards for a touchdownVillanova at Louisville, week 2Q1, 4:33 · Louisville 10, Villanova 3Louisville took the lead in the first quarterLouisville took the lead in the first quarterL.Kienholz rush middle for 19 yards gain to the VIL00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q1, 0:14 · Louisville up 7Lincoln Kienholz finds Jaleel Skinner for a 69-yard touchdownVillanova at Louisville, week 2Q1, 0:14 · Louisville 17, Villanova 36969-yard touchdown pass6969-yard touchdown pass69-yard touchdown passL.Kienholz pass complete short right to J.Skinner caught at LOU32, for 69 yards to the VIL00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q3, 7:59 · Louisville up 21M. Davis fumbles but keeps the ballVillanova at Louisville, week 2Q3, 7:59 · Louisville 31, Villanova 1031-10score after the play31-10score after the playM.Davis rush middle for 6 yards gain to the VIL15 fumbled by M.Davis at VIL15 forced by N.Essiem recovered by LOU C.Gorin at VIL15, End Of Play▶Watch from this play
- Q3, 7:50 · Louisville up 21Braxton Jennings runs 15 yards for a touchdownVillanova at Louisville, week 2Q3, 7:50 · Louisville 38, Villanova 1038-10score after the play38-10score after the playB.Jennings rush right for 15 yards gain to the VIL00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
Villanova lost to William & Mary after being 96% to win; the closest win was at Long Island University, down to 18%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Villanova during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Villanova is worth +6.3 points more at home than on the road.
Top third of FBS, 86th percentile of 133 programs
75% at home, 42% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (3-1 home, 5-7 away). Interval ±12.8.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Villanova has beaten the number by +0.1 more at home than away over 61 games. That is inside the ±8.1 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Villanova Stadium seats 12,500 and has averaged 36% full (4,464, 19 games reported). Visitors cover a median 199 miles to get here (2018-present).
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 48 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.
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Scheme claims
How much of Villanova’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.16; adjusted for opponent strength, it's 0.07. The widest gap came in week 9: 0.15 raw vs. 0.06 adjusted.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Villanova
Most similar programs · VillanovaReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.