Next game
vs Western New Mexico
Sat Oct 24 · 7 pm ET
Buffalo Stadium · series 4-1, won the last 3
West Texas 85% to win · our ratings after 7 games
West Texas
2-5Lone Star · Buffalo Stadium · 12,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 41-27 at Eastern New Mexico
Our model gave West Texas 75% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Two real tests left: Central Washington 15%, Western Oregon 19%
Win out 2% · expect 2.0 of 4 more wins
West Texas's chance to win each game left, from our model: Western New Mexico 85%, Sul Ross State 81%, Western Oregon 19%, Central Washington 15%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Western New Mexico · our model 85% West Texas
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
West Texas · 2026 schedule and results2-5Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 57%.Our rank entering each game: #311 to #349
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 27 | #311 | #271 | — | Western Colorado | L 21-52 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 1 | Sep 3 | #311 | #290 | — | @Grand Valley State | L 14-56 | 0-2 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 3 | Sep 19 | #318 | #353 | — | @Angelo State | W 27-19 | 1-2 | 1-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #326 | #349 | — | Midwestern State | L 31-41 | 1-3 | 1-1 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #342 | #373 | — | @Texas A&M-Kingsville | L 21-28 | 1-4 | 1-2 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #347 | #270 | — | UT Permian Basin | L 17-24 | 1-5 | 1-3 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #349 | #414 | — | @Eastern New Mexico | W 41-27 | 2-5 | 2-3 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #348 | #429 | Western New Mexico | 7 pm ET85% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #349 | #450 | @Sul Ross State | 8 pm ET81% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Western Oregon | 4:05 pm ET19% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Central Washington | 3 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for West Texas, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for West Texas: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
West Texas has won two of its last five.
5-5 over the last 10, and won the last one.
Streak W1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 5-5
Range of outcomes · West Texas · 2026
Range of outcomes · West Texas · 2026West Texas’ most likely regular season is 4-7. 96% of outcomes land from 3-8 to 5-6.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
2 wins 2%; 3 wins 20%; 4 wins 55%; 5 wins 21%; 6 wins 2%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor2-10Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base3-9Mid-table finish.
Ceiling6-6Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 2-5
Game feel60rock fightscombined pts / game9th highest-scoring of 10 in the Lone Star
Heart rate1-2white-knucklein one-score games (3 of 7)2nd most one-score games of 10 in the Lone Star
Margin-10.7competitiveavg scoring margin7th best margin of 10 in the Lone Star
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Lone Star teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
West Texas enters the 2026 season at 2-5.
2026 Record2-5
Game day
The experience
West Texas is the Lone Star program known for the buffaloes.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site