Next game
at Angelo State
Sat Oct 24 · 7 pm ET
LeGrand Stadium at 1st Community Credit Union Field · series 1-4
Texas A&M-Kingsville 61% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Texas A&M-Kingsville
4-3Lone Star · Javelina Stadium · 15,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 49-52 vs Central Washington
Our model gave Texas A&M-Kingsville 30% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Three real tests left: UT Permian Basin 36%, Midwestern State 57%, Angelo State 61%
Win out 12% · expect 2.5 of 4 more wins
Texas A&M-Kingsville's chance to win each game left, from our model: Angelo State 61%, Midwestern State 57%, Sul Ross State 95%, UT Permian Basin 36%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Angelo State · our model 61% Texas A&M-Kingsville
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Texas A&M-Kingsville · 2026 schedule and results4-3Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 44%.Our rank entering each game: #378 to #354
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | #378 | #279 | — | Northwest Missouri State | L 3-48 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 1 | Sep 5 | #378 | #346 | — | @Saginaw Valley State | L 24-41 | 0-2 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 3 | Sep 19 | #379 | #393 | — | Eastern New Mexico | W 56-22 | 1-2 | 1-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #378 | #423 | — | @Western New Mexico | W 52-14 | 2-2 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #373 | #342 | — | West Texas | W 28-21 | 3-2 | 3-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #371 | #301 | — | @Western Oregon | W 58-51 | 4-2 | 4-0 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #354 | #266 | — | Central Washington | L 49-52 | 4-3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #339 | #355 | @Angelo State | 7 pm ET61% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #339 | #324 | Midwestern State | 8 pm ET57% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Sul Ross State | 8 pm ET95% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @UT Permian Basin | 3 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Texas A&M-Kingsville, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Texas A&M-Kingsville: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Texas A&M-Kingsville has won four of its last five.
6-4 over the last 10, and lost the last one.
Streak L1Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 6-4
Range of outcomes · Texas A&M-Kingsville · 2026
Range of outcomes · Texas A&M-Kingsville · 2026Texas A&M-Kingsville’s most likely regular season is 7-4. 100% of outcomes land from 5-6 to 8-3.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
5 wins 12%; 6 wins 37%; 7 wins 38%; 8 wins 12%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor5-7Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base7-5Mid-table finish.
Ceiling9-3Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-3
Game feel74even gamescombined pts / game5th highest-scoring of 10 in the Lone Star
Heart rate2-1some dramain one-score games (3 of 7)4th most one-score games of 10 in the Lone Star
Margin+3.0competitiveavg scoring margin5th best margin of 10 in the Lone Star
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Lone Star teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Texas A&M-Kingsville enters the 2026 season at 4-3.
2026 Record4-3
Game day
The experience
Texas A&M-Kingsville is the Lone Star program known for the javelinas.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site