Next game
at Nebraska Kearney
Sat Oct 24 · 2 pm ET · on NCN
Ron & Carol Cope Stadium at Foster Field · series 4-1
Northwest Missouri State 92% to win · our ratings after 6 games
Northwest Missouri State
5-1Mid America · Bearcat Stadium · 6,500 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 24-23 at Fort Hays
Our model gave Northwest Missouri State 76% before kickoff
The rest of the season
One real test left: Emporia State 68%
Win out 44% · expect 3.3 of 4 more wins
Northwest Missouri State's chance to win each game left, from our model: Nebraska Kearney 92%, Emporia State 68%, Missouri Western 80%, Pittsburg State 88%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Nebraska Kearney · our model 92% Northwest Missouri State
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Northwest Missouri State · 2026 schedule and results5-1Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 49%.Our rank entering each game: #279 to #284
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | #279 | #378 | — | @Texas A&M-Kingsville | W 48-3 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #280 | #380 | — | Washburn | W 31-24 | 2-0 | 1-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #288 | #375 | — | Missouri Southern State | W 65-3 | 3-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #290 | #330 | — | @Central Oklahoma | L 14-19 | 3-1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 6 | Oct 10 | #287 | #302 | — | Central Missouri | W 42-20 | 4-1 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #284 | #319 | — | @Fort Hays | W 24-23 | 5-1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #287 | #362 | @Nebraska Kearney | 2 pm ET · NCN92% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #286 | #301 | Emporia State | 3 pm ET68% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Missouri Western | 3 pm ET80% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Pittsburg State (N) | 2:30 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Northwest Missouri State, through 6 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Northwest Missouri State: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Northwest Missouri State has won four of its last five.
7-3 over the last 10, and won the last two.
Streak W2Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 7-3
Range of outcomes · Northwest Missouri State · 2026
Range of outcomes · Northwest Missouri State · 2026Northwest Missouri State’s most likely regular season is 9-1. 98% of outcomes land from 7-3 to 9-1.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
6 wins 1%; 7 wins 13%; 8 wins 42%; 9 wins 44%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor8-4Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base10-2Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling11-1Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 6 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 5-1
Game feel53even gamescombined pts / game3rd highest-scoring of 10 in the Mid America
Heart rate2-1some dramain one-score games (3 of 6)5th most one-score games of 10 in the Mid America
Margin+22.0comfortableavg scoring margin1st best margin of 10 in the Mid America
Measured from 6 games · ranks are among Mid America teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Northwest Missouri State enters the 2026 season at 5-1.
2026 Record5-1
Game day
The experience
Northwest Missouri State is the Mid America program known for the bearcats.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site