MID AMERICA CONFERENCE · 2025 SEASON BASELINE · 2026 OUTLOOK
Northwest Missouri St
Rank #380
Team Mood Card — Offseason Mode
Northwest Missouri St fan conversation is quiet right now.
The Mood Card lights up during the season, when live fan, national, and rival chatter clears the publish gate. In the offseason we hold the frame open rather than print fake precision. Live signal returns once weekly conversation volume rebuilds.
Cohort Signal
Not enough fan conversation has cleared this week's publish threshold yet (we wait for ≥30 weighted posts before showing a number). How we set the bar ›
Fanbase Archetype
How this fanbase sorts in the Fan Intelligence taxonomy (N° 04 on the Hub).
Fanbase Archetype
The Content Mid-Major
Primary: 68% confidence
Programs that win more than they should, given resources. The fanbase is proud but realistic. They know the ceiling. They celebrate the overachievements.
SIGNATURE PHRASE
“Punching above our weight”
MODIFIERS
· Entrenched
5-Season Migration
Performance Narrative
Season Rating Journey
One line tells the story. Hover or tap any marker to see the exact game and how many power points it moved the rating. Larger markers mean bigger swings.
Rating rose
Rating fell
Little movement
Ring shows opponent level
Result
--
Power Swing
--
Rating Path
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Week 7 · @ Central Missouri
Week 8 · vs Fort Hays State
Week 5 · vs Central Oklahoma
Betting Lens
Market context is a second read on the season: how often this team rewarded believers, disappointed them, or played into totals differently than expected.
Efficiency Dashboard
Opponent-adjusted efficiency cards organized as a premium team dashboard.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Why The Model Has Them Here
A team page should explain the ranking, not just print it.
Power -3.4
Currently -3.4 versus the all-level average team on a neutral field. Offensive Efficiency currently grades around the 0th percentile.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
Resume 67
Body of work: best signal beat Central Missouri 49-32. Closest call lost to Pittsburg St 14-27. 67th percentile season.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
2-2 over the last 4 (W10 W11 L12 L13)
Last four games: 2-2 over the last 4 (W10 W11 L12 L13). Resume is 24 points ahead of power through the most recent season — results are outpacing the underlying strength rating.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
2025 Season
Biggest slice of the season so far: Regular Season at 9-2. Even if a bowl or playoff game lands in early 2026, it still belongs to this season page.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
Placement Context
This is where the team sits inside the all-level board, its own subdivision, and its own conference ecosystem.
Overall Board#380
Inside DII#110 of 163
Inside Mid America#4 of 10
Power-3.4pts vs avg NCAA team
Resume6767th percentile season
Cross-Level NeighborWisconsin-Whitewater
Use these shortcuts to jump from this team to the neighbors that best explain its place on the board, including the closest cross-level comparison.
Closest Neighbors
The quickest way to explain a ranking is often to show the teams immediately around it.
Overall Ahead
Power +0.0 | Resume -35
#379 Concord University
DII | Mountain East
Overall Behind
Power -0.1 | Resume -33
#381 Fairmont State
DII | Mountain East
DII Ahead
Power +0.0 | Resume -35
#379 Concord University
DII | Mountain East
Mid America Ahead
Power +0.1 | Resume -31
#375 Nebraska-Kearney
DII | Mid America
Cross-Level Neighbor
Power +0.1 | Resume -9
#376 Wisconsin-Whitewater
DIII | Wisconsin
Historical Snapshot
Fans should be able to see the short version immediately: how big the loaded sample is, what this program's standard looks like, and where the current season sits inside that arc.
Program Arc
Bars track win rate. The line tracks end-of-season power, so users can see whether the program is actually getting stronger or just stacking wins.
Season Phase Split
How this season breaks apart inside the same year-defined competitive cycle.
Regular Season 9-2 in 11 gamesPlayoff 0-1 in 1 game
| Phase | Record | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Regular Season | 9-2 | 11 |
| Playoff | 0-1 | 1 |
Loaded History Signals
This is the fastest way to explain what the last few seasons say about the program, and why prior success should matter in the next preseason cycle.
Impact Cards
A card-based alternate view of the same rating swings for fans who want the season game by game.
Week 13
Playoff
@ Harding University
Result
Loss
Pregame
-16.00
Power
-0.10
Resume
-0.14
Postgame
-16.10
Week 12
Regular Season
@ Pittsburg St
Result
Loss
Pregame
-15.83
Power
-0.17
Resume
-0.15
Postgame
-16.00
Week 11
Regular Season
vs Missouri Western
Result
Win
Pregame
-16.29
Power
+0.46
Resume
+0.05
Postgame
-15.83
Week 10
Regular Season
@ Emporia State University
Result
Win
Pregame
-16.87
Power
+0.58
Resume
+0.07
Postgame
-16.29
Week 9
Regular Season
vs Nebraska-Kearney
Result
Win
Pregame
-17.07
Power
+0.20
Resume
+0.03
Postgame
-16.87
Week 8
Regular Season
vs Fort Hays State
Result
Win
Pregame
-17.86
Power
+0.79
Resume
+0.07
Postgame
-17.07
Week 7
Regular Season
@ Central Missouri
Result
Win
Pregame
-18.69
Power
+0.83
Resume
+0.11
Postgame
-17.86
Week 5
Regular Season
vs Central Oklahoma
Result
Win
Pregame
-19.71
Power
+0.75
Resume
+0.11
Postgame
-18.96
Week 4
Regular Season
@ Missouri Southern State
Result
Win
Pregame
-20.04
Power
+0.33
Resume
+0.11
Postgame
-19.71
Week 3
Regular Season
vs Texas A&M-Kingsville
Result
Win
Pregame
-20.45
Power
+0.41
Resume
+0.36
Postgame
-20.04
Week 2
Regular Season
@ Washburn
Result
Win
Pregame
-20.45
Power
+0.00
Resume
+0.49
Postgame
-20.45
Week 1
Regular Season
@ Minnesota State Mankato
Result
Loss
Pregame
-20.99
Power
+0.54
Resume
+0.00
Postgame
-20.45
2025 Season Schedule And Rating Movement
Every result, every phase, and how the rating changed because of it.
| Week | Date | Game | Phase | Result | Close | ATS | Total | Pregame | Power Change | Resume Change | Postgame |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28, 2025 | @ Minnesota State Mankato DII | Regular Season | L 14-38 | -- | -- | -- | -20.99 | +0.54 | +0.00 | -20.45 |
| 2 | Sep 6, 2025 | @ Washburn DII | Regular Season | W 34-7 | -- | -- | -- | -20.45 | +0.00 | +0.49 | -20.45 |
| 3 | Sep 13, 2025 | vs Texas A&M-Kingsville DII | Regular Season | W 49-20 | -- | -- | -- | -20.45 | +0.41 | +0.36 | -20.04 |
| 4 | Sep 20, 2025 | @ Missouri Southern State DII | Regular Season | W 21-14 | -- | -- | -- | -20.04 | +0.33 | +0.11 | -19.71 |
| 5 | Sep 27, 2025 | vs Central Oklahoma DII | Regular Season | W 38-16 | -- | -- | -- | -19.71 | +0.75 | +0.11 | -18.96 |
| 7 | Oct 11, 2025 | @ Central Missouri DII | Regular Season | W 49-32 | -- | -- | -- | -18.69 | +0.83 | +0.11 | -17.86 |
| 8 | Oct 18, 2025 | vs Fort Hays State DII | Regular Season | W 52-3 | -- | -- | -- | -17.86 | +0.79 | +0.07 | -17.07 |
| 9 | Oct 25, 2025 | vs Nebraska-Kearney DII | Regular Season | W 14-0 | -- | -- | -- | -17.07 | +0.20 | +0.03 | -16.87 |
| 10 | Nov 1, 2025 | @ Emporia State University DII | Regular Season | W 41-14 | -- | -- | -- | -16.87 | +0.58 | +0.07 | -16.29 |
| 11 | Nov 8, 2025 | vs Missouri Western DII | Regular Season | W 38-7 | -- | -- | -- | -16.29 | +0.46 | +0.05 | -15.83 |
| 12 | Nov 15, 2025 | @ Pittsburg St DII | Regular Season | L 14-27 | -- | -- | -- | -15.83 | -0.17 | -0.15 | -16.00 |
| 13 | Nov 22, 2025 | @ Harding University DII | Playoff | L 16-38 | -- | -- | -- | -16.00 | -0.10 | -0.14 | -16.10 |
Year-By-Year Results
The competitive story by season, kept cleanly tied to the year each season began.
| Season | Lens | Record | Final Rank | End Power | End Resume | Games | Points For | Points Against | Margin |
|---|