Next game
at Missouri Western
Sat Oct 24 · 3 pm ET
Craig Field at Spratt Memorial Stadium · series 1-4, lost the last 2
Missouri Southern State 21% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Missouri Southern State
1-6Mid America · Fred G. Hughes Stadium · 7,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
L 13-16 at Nebraska Kearney
Our model gave Missouri Southern State 38% before kickoff
The rest of the season
Underdogs in all 4 games left, best shot: Pittsburg State 38%
Win out <1% · expect 0.8 of 4 more wins
Missouri Southern State's chance to win each game left, from our model: Missouri Western 21%, Pittsburg State 38%, Central Oklahoma 16%, Washburn 11%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line at Missouri Western · our model 21% Missouri Southern State
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Missouri Southern State · 2026 schedule and results1-6Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 62%.Our rank entering each game: #375 to #373
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | #375 | #322 | — | @Midwestern State | L 23-30 | 0-1 | 0-0 | |
| 1 | Sep 5 | #375 | #300 | — | Upper Iowa | W 21-19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | |
| 2 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 3 | Sep 19 | #375 | #288 | — | @Northwest Missouri State | L 3-65 | 1-2 | 0-1 | |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #372 | #312 | — | Central Missouri | L 14-24 | 1-3 | 0-2 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #368 | #311 | — | @Fort Hays | L 7-31 | 1-4 | 0-3 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #372 | #298 | — | Emporia State | L 21-35 | 1-5 | 0-4 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #373 | #359 | — | @Nebraska Kearney | L 13-16 | 1-6 | 0-5 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #373 | #346 | @Missouri Western | 3 pm ET21% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #373 | #332 | Pittsburg State | 1 pm ET38% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Central Oklahoma | 2 pm ET16% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Washburn | 1 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Missouri Southern State, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Missouri Southern State: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Missouri Southern State has lost five straight.
1-9 over the last 10, and lost the last five.
Streak L5Last 5 · 0-5Last 10 · 1-9
Range of outcomes · Missouri Southern State · 2026
Range of outcomes · Missouri Southern State · 2026Missouri Southern State’s most likely regular season is 2-9. 97% of outcomes land from 1-10 to 3-8.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
1 wins 37%; 2 wins 44%; 3 wins 17%; 4 wins 3%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor1-11Rebuild year. Below .500.
Base2-10Mid-table finish.
Ceiling5-7Conference title race. Bracket qualifier in range.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 1-6
Game feel46rock fightscombined pts / game9th highest-scoring of 10 in the Mid America
Heart rate1-2some dramain one-score games (3 of 7)6th most one-score games of 10 in the Mid America
Margin-16.9outgunnedavg scoring margin10th best margin of 10 in the Mid America
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Mid America teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Missouri Southern State enters the 2026 season at 1-6.
2026 Record1-6
Game day
The experience
Missouri Southern State is the Mid America program known for the lions.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site