Next game
vs Central Missouri
Sat Oct 24 · 8 pm ET
Francis G. Welch Stadium · series 2-3
Emporia State 65% to win · our ratings after 7 games
Emporia State
7-0Mid America · Francis G. Welch Stadium · 10,000 seats
Last game · Sat Oct 17
W 23-16 vs Central Oklahoma
Our model gave Emporia State 62% before kickoff
The rest of the season
4 of 4 games under 70%, the hardest: Northwest Missouri State 32%
Win out 8% · expect 2.2 of 4 more wins
Emporia State's chance to win each game left, from our model: Central Missouri 65%, Northwest Missouri State 32%, Washburn 65%, Fort Hays 62%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The marketno line yetBetting line vs Central Missouri · our model 65% Emporia State
Updated Sat Oct 24 · through week 7
Schedule and results
Emporia State · 2026 schedule and results7-0Soft slateAverage opponent win rate 36%.Our rank entering each game: #296 to #304
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 27 | #296 | #331 | — | @Minot State | W 36-30 | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 1 | Sep 5 | #296 | #292 | — | @Pittsburg State | W 21-10 | 2-0 | 1-0 | |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #293 | #301 | — | Michigan Tech | W 34-20 | 3-0 | 1-0 | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #292 | #349 | — | Nebraska Kearney | W 19-9 | 4-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 5 | Oct 3 | #296 | #358 | — | Missouri Western | W 34-22 | 5-0 | 3-0 | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #298 | #372 | — | @Missouri Southern State | W 35-21 | 6-0 | 4-0 | |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #304 | #296 | — | Central Oklahoma | W 23-16 | 7-0 | 5-0 | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #299 | #311 | Central Missouri | 8 pm ET65% to win | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | #301 | #286 | @Northwest Missouri State | 3 pm ET32% to win | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | Washburn | 2 pm ET65% to win | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @Fort Hays | 2 pm ET | ||||||
How to read this table
Win chances are our model for Emporia State, through 7 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
Line is the closing point spread for Emporia State: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
Ahead
The forecast
The games that decide the season
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
Emporia State has won seven straight.
8-2 over the last 10, and won the last seven.
Streak W7Last 5 · 5-0Last 10 · 8-2
Range of outcomes · Emporia State · 2026
Range of outcomes · Emporia State · 2026Emporia State’s most likely regular season is 9-2. 88% of outcomes land from 8-3 to 10-1.
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
7 wins 3%; 8 wins 18%; 9 wins 38%; 10 wins 32%; 11 wins 8%What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor10-2Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
Base12-0Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
Ceiling12-0Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.
Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 7 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
Worth watching
What it is like to watch them2026 · 7-0
Game feel47even gamescombined pts / game7th highest-scoring of 10 in the Mid America
Heart rate2-0some dramain one-score games (2 of 7)7th most one-score games of 10 in the Mid America
Margin+10.6comfortableavg scoring margin2nd best margin of 10 in the Mid America
Measured from 7 games · ranks are among Mid America teams the same season
Team story
The weekly grind
Emporia State enters the 2026 season at 7-0.
2026 Record7-0
Game day
The experience
Emporia State is the Mid America program known for the hornets.
Recruiting buzz
Community pulse
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site