Yale

4-3

Player stats

Player stats · 2026 season

No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.

How scary each game got

Yale lost at Pennsylvania after being 83% to win; the closest win was at Holy Cross, down to 8%

50%W3L4W5W6L7L8W9

Tap a game for its score and win chances.

Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Yale during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.

More in this tab

Scheme claimsFive specific, testable claims about how this team plays.

How much of Yale’s number is the schedule?

Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.06; adjusted for opponent strength, it's 0.02. The widest gap came in week 4: 0.23 raw vs. 0.03 adjusted.

0.270.12-0.02Wk 4Wk 7Wk 10Raw EPA/playOpponent-adjusted
0.270.12-0.02Wk 4Wk 7Wk 10RawAdjusted
Source CFB Zeitgeist · season-to-date, opponent-adjusted model
Havoc & trenchesDefense havoc rate 0.219, 96th percentile

Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc rate (D) 0.219
96th
Havoc allowed (O) 0.118
90th
Front-seven havoc (D) 0.139
93rd
Secondary havoc (D) 0.080
90th
Stuff rate (D) 0.279
97th
Stuff rate allowed (O) 0.176
59th
Line yards (O) 3.102
64th
Line yards allowed (D) 2.329
94th
Standard-downs success (O) 0.440
24th
Standard-downs success allowed (D) 0.351
98th
Passing-downs success (O) 0.329
63rd
Passing-downs success allowed (D) 0.215
97th
Screened 12 claims, 12 survived · 2026 season, FBS only, min. 3 games with data this season
Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Yale

Reads like

FurmanSouthernSame tier of program · Same prestige band · Same kind of fanbaseAir ForceMountain WestSame tier of program · Same prestige bandAkronMid-AmericanSame tier of program · Same prestige band

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

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