3-5, on track for 3-9 in the regular season.
Bowls and playoffs: 4-1
2019Cotton Bowl ClassicL 39-53
2020Montgomery BowlW 25-10
2022First Responder BowlW 38-10
2023Liberty BowlW 36-26
2024Frisco BowlW 42-37
Sat Nov 7, 12:45 pm ET 
· Auburn is 4-4 · Silverfield vs. Alex Golesh: 2-0 (not counting 1 game in seasons either team changed coaches) · Arkansas’s chance to win: 21% (the site’s model)
Yahoo SportsCould Mike Norvell reunite with Ryan Silverfield at Arkansas?Tue Nov 3Yahoo SportsRyan Silverfield can't be his own 2027 offensive coordinatorTue Nov 3
Sports IllustratedRyan Silverfield Can't Have It Both Ways With Arkansas' Struggling OffenseTue Nov 3Sports IllustratedRyan Silverfield Has One Advantage Over Auburn's Alex Golesh That Could Help ArkansasMon Nov 2
On3Ryan Silverfield speaks on possibility of in-season staff changes at ArkansasMon Nov 2
Saturday Down SouthEli Drinkwitz trolls Ryan Silverfield with acknowledgement of new light bulbs at Razorback StadiumSun Nov 1
Whole Hog SportsArkansas football coach Ryan Silverfield fed up with turnover troublesMon Nov 2Whole Hog SportsArkansas football notebook: Ryan Silverfield not opposed to in-season staff changeMon Nov 2
Arkansas RazorbacksArkansas Football with Ryan Silverfield – Week 9Sun Nov 1
RoundtableArkansas football, Ryan Silverfield need a real QB solutionSun Nov 1
Locked OnShould Ryan Silverfield Change His Staff In The Middle Of The Season?Tue Nov 3Being worse than Arkansas on offense is an achievment
After last week I thought Arkansas was improving. I was wrong.
Arkansas never had a chance, even when they did have a chance the refs ruined it with made up flags. Ik Arkansas sucks but I'm tired of seeing us suck on top of the refs sucking and ruining any tiny momentum we ever have.
Fan mood · last 3 weeks · more negative than 3 in 4 FBS fan bases
21%12%Percent: Arkansas’s chance to win, from the site’s model. Records are through today. Networks as announced; the rest are set closer to kickoff.
Where Arkansas stood among 138 FBS programs by stature after each game (1st is the highest; the CFB Zeitgeist ledger).
Whole Hog SportsYahoo Sports“Tough times don't last, tough people do”Arkansas football coach Ryan Silverfield on Vanderbilt win, Oct 19Sports IllustratedSports IllustratedSports IllustratedSports IllustratedEach week as this page showed it at the time. Weeks marked rebuilt came before this page existed: they were built afterward from only what was known by the end of that week.
Watch the biggest plays from Arkansas’s games, ranked by how much each moved the chance to win.
This season
Our hot-seat model, on his record so far, the win chances for every game he has left, and his contract (a bigger buyout, relative to pay, makes a change costlier). Ranked against the 132 FBS head coaches with 3+ games this season.
His first rated season here.
The chance he’s out by the end of that season, as it stood after every week of his tenure here, by today’s model.
The biggest factors, each against the typical FBS job today.
Tenure is one of this model’s strongest inputs, but its weight was set when retirements like Nick Saban’s and Bob Stoops’ still counted as being pushed out, so it overstates how much tenure matters.
A different comparison: past coaches, not today’s, grouped by one fact at a time. Neither line knows the games he has left or his contract, so they can sit above or below his chance.
How good is this number? Checked on every FBS coach from 2010 to 2025, with its percentages calibrated each season on earlier years only: they track what happened — coaches it put near 25% were out about a quarter of the time — and a version pricing the games left with the previous season’s ratings ranked jobs as well as the ranking this page used before. Each week it learns from coaches who were still on the job at that point, so a firing during the season counts. In the Boiling zone it has run a few points high. Every job, and the method.
Silverfield going for that buyout moneyArkansas fan
Sorry man, all I can afford after my contribution to Silverfield’s buyout fund.Arkansas fan
So Silverfield will say the same thing he says after every loss. We have to get better on offense, defense and special teams.Arkansas fan
Is our head coach Ryan Silverfield wearing a god damn t shirt?Arkansas fan
I like you utes. Most if not all fans are rooting for Silverfield it’s the admin that’s incompetent that we have issues with.Arkansas fan
The kind of revolutionary innovation only Ryan Silverfield could conceive.Arkansas fan
We’re halfway through week 2 and I’m already on the fire silverfield train. I’ve never been hyped by this hire and knew not much was going to change.Arkansas fan
Very few Arkansas fans are excited about the Silverfield era. He will be gone when Yurachek is gone.Arkansas fan
Sat Nov 7: Auburn
24th of 104 FBS head coaches · from several outlets and r/CFB
Could Mike Norvell Reunite With Ryan Silverfield As Arkansas OC?
Sports Illustrated +1 Nov 3 · a few outlets
The headlines for each topic are on the News tab.
from dozens of outlets and r/CFB
Arkansas football coach Ryan Silverfield seeking to turn around Razorbacks fortunes
Bozeman Daily Chronicle +4 Aug 20 · several outlets
The headlines for each topic are on the News tab.
Stories we tracked, by school.
ArkansasDozens of stories2026 to nowMost about: press conference and quotes, game preview, quarterback and depth chart.
Sports Illustrated +3Arkansas football beats North Alabama 31-14 in Ryan Silverfield's debutSep 5
FOX Sports +2New Arkansas coach Ryan Silverfield isn't into a long rebuild. He is eager for a quick turnaroundAug 24
MemphisOne story2020 to 2025Most about: linked to another job.
Could another school hire him? What has he said?
Stories are headlines grouped by what they are about, counted through Nov 4.
Pick a job to see its years on their own.
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
Just 1-3 against Willie Fritz.
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
0-1 against his rivals at Arkansas.
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
0-1 against his rivals. Just 1-3 against Willie Fritz.
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
ATS is his record against the spread: did his team beat the closing betting line, winning by more than it or losing by less? Lines start in 2013; a dash means fewer than 6 of those games had one. One-score games carry no spread record: a big favorite that wins a close game has almost always failed to cover, so that number would say nothing about the coach.
Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next, against the FBS-wide average of 41% pass. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.
Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 449 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2004–2025.
Five numbers on how he actually stocks a roster, from signing day to draft day.
None of his Arkansas classes is ranked and fully his yet. Across his other stops, his own classes averaged #58 nationally.
MemphisArkansasAcross every program: 5 ranked classes of his own, averaging #58 nationally.
His class — he had the full signing cycleTransition — he was hired mid-cycle
Rank is each signing class’s national recruiting rank (#1 is best). Only a class he had a full signing cycle to build counts as his; inherited and mid-transition classes still show here, faded, but stay out of the average.
Memphis→Arkansas2026Players who transferred from his old program to his new one through the portal in the same year he made the move. Name-matching across data sources misses some, so every count is a floor, not an exact number.
of his 2026 roster arrived on his watch — 82 of 121 players. The other 39 are holdovers from before he was hired.
Of his own players on this roster, 43% came through the transfer portal; the rest are non-portal arrivals (high-school signees, JUCO transfers, walk-ons).
Everyone he has brought in, 2026–2026Counting players who have since left: 43% of the 82 arrivals we can classify came through the portal.
“His own” means the player arrived while he was head coach; “inherited” means a predecessor brought him in.
Offensive linemen on his Memphis rosters have averaged 8 lb lighter than the FBS average (2020–2025) — lighter than 92% of FBS coaching runs since 2010. In the three seasons before he arrived, Memphis’s line averaged 4 lb lighter than the FBS average.
Average listed weight of every offensive lineman on each season’s roster, holdovers included, against every FBS roster that season (2010 on; a program needs 3+ seasons under him to appear). Weights are the ones programs publish, and programs list differently. This describes size only — not scheme, and not quality.
is his biggest recruiting state: 11 of 25 signees (44%) across his 2026–2026 tenure, drawn from 9 states in all. Next: TX (4).
76% of his signees come from AR and its 6 border states (TX 4, MS 2, OK 2).
Off this map: 1 signee to the west (CA) and 1 to the north (OH).
The map counts signed recruits across his tenure; the distance figures cover his current roster, transfers and walk-ons included. Two different groups, kept separate on purpose.
Headlines, grouped by what they are about. Each is the outlet’s own.
Press conference and quotes
Whole Hog SportsRyan Silverfield press conference: Arkansas football coach, players recap loss to MissouriNov 1On3Ryan Silverfield previews Auburn gameNov 2Whole Hog SportsRyan Silverfield press conference: Arkansas football coach previews Week 10 at AuburnNov 2On3Ryan Silverfield speaks on possibility of in-season staff changes at ArkansasNov 2Quarterback and depth chart
Arkansas RazorbacksSilverfield talks after Arkansas’ loss to #23 Missouri in Battle Line RivalryNov 1RoundtableArkansas football, Ryan Silverfield need a real QB solutionNov 1Sports IllustratedDrinkwitz Takes A Couple Shots At Arkansas, Silverfield After Fifth Straight Battle Line WinNov 1Coaching staff
Game preview
Arkansas RazorbacksArkansas Football with Ryan Silverfield – Week 9Nov 1Loss
Sports IllustratedRyan Silverfield Can't Have It Both Ways With Arkansas' Struggling OffenseNov 3Press conference and quotes
FOX Sports +2New Arkansas coach Ryan Silverfield isn't into a long rebuild. He is eager for a quick turnaroundAug 24Whole Hog Sports +1Ryan Silverfield press conference: Arkansas football coach previews Week 1 game vs. North AlabamaAug 31Sports Illustrated +1Ryan Silverfield Says Razorbacks Are 'Pissed' After Blowout Loss To UtahSep 13Game preview
Sports Illustrated +1Silverfield: Arkansas' 'Monumental' Win Vs Vanderbilt A 'Sigh Of Relief' For ManyOct 21Sports Illustrated +1What Is The Biggest Obstacle Facing Ryan Silverfield At Arkansas?Oct 23Sports IllustratedSilverfield's Fingerprints All Over Arkansas' Season Opener Against North AlabamaAug 16Sports Illustrated5 Bold Predictions for Arkansas Football in Silverfield's First SeasonAug 29Quarterback and depth chart
Sports Illustrated +1What Ryan Silverfield Said About Decision To Name KJ Jackson Razorbacks' QB1Aug 23Sports Illustrated +1Silverfield Still Unsure Of Arkansas' QB Situation Ahead Of TulsaSep 21Loss
On3Ryan Silverfield was not going to let Miguel Mitchell slip away for a third timeAug 10Yahoo SportsArkansas football routed by Utah for Ryan Silverfield's first lossSep 12Whole Hog SportsRyan Silverfield, players press conferences: Arkansas football loses at UtahSep 13Win
Sports Illustrated +3Arkansas football beats North Alabama 31-14 in Ryan Silverfield's debutSep 5Sports Illustrated +1A Road Win Over No. 20 Utah Would Earn Ryan Silverfield Some GraceSep 10Locked OnRazorbacks Football—Will Ryan Silverfield win over Fans in First Game?Sep 3Profile and feature
Sports Illustrated +1Silverfield: 'Zero Doubt' Arkansas Football Is Going To Turn Things AroundSep 17Sports IllustratedArkansas Fans Have Learned to Accept Excuses. Ryan Silverfield Can Change That in Year OneAug 27Ryan Silverfield probably has the toughest job of all these guys
You know, Ryan Silverfield probably has the toughest job of all these guys. I mean, I think they only won 2 games last year or whatever, so probably needs to do a lot
He’s a world-class track athlete
I don’t know, when we line up, how we even match up against Utah. I don’t know how we match up with Georgia in our first SEC game from a talent standpoint
The bigger question is: Why hasn’t there been success? It’s easy to just say it’s coaching
Hired into programs rated 33 to 33 (National Program II tier). Rough match, not calibrated yet — ranked on what the job inherited alone. Coaches hired into this same job aren’t used as comps.
The arc of his career is on Now.
Steady no large move in either direction on our stature ladder
Followed Bobby Petrino (2025).
Brings in bigger-than-position-typical players than most.
Recruits younger transfers than most — more of a development bet.
AI Narratives — “Arkansas — stat check”.
4th-best Memphis tenure of 15 by the numbers.
Followed Mike Norvell (2016–2019) · succeeded by Charles Huff (2026–now).
| Season | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||||||
| Record | 8-3 | 6-6 | 7-6 | 10-3 | 11-2 | 8-4 | |
| Postseason | W bowl | — | W bowl | W bowl | W bowl | — | |
| Coordinators | |||||||
| OC | Kevin Johns | Kevin Johns | Tim Cramsey | Tim Cramsey | Tim Cramsey / Larry Smith | Tim Cramsey / Larry Smith | |
| DC | Mike MacIntyre | Mike MacIntyre | Matt Barnes | Matt Barnes | Spence Nowinsky / Jordon Hankins | Jordon Hankins | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||||||
| Offense | 59 | 51 | 57 | 95 | 90 | 69 | |
| Defense | 41 | 41 | 88 | 46 | 31 | 37 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | |||||||
| 1st-down pass% | 45.6 | 50.0 | 45.3 | 48.4 | 49.2 | 42.9 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 49.6 | 48.0 | 37.4 | 34.6 | 42.0 | 27.8 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 39.0 | 45.2 | 32.6 | 47.5 | 37.2 | 37.8 | |
Outperforms his recruiting talent on offense and performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on defense.
A portal-built roster.
Typical size for position, once adjusted for position mix.
Recruits older, more experienced transfers than most.
5 NFL Draft picks: Kenneth Gainwell (2021), Dylan Parham (2022), Calvin Austin III (2022), Kobee Minor (2025), Travis Burke (2026)
Wins at programs this site tracks, 1936–present — one consistent count for every coach, not each program’s own historically reported total.
2nd all-time at Memphis
The data leans positive, where the data can separate from zero: every conclusive reading points the same way.
+0.9 pts at Memphis · #620 of 1290 · middle halfModel fit as of 2026-09-04.
