Furman at Mercer

Away
Furman
1-1 W1 · Mixed
Home
Mercer
2-0 L1 · Cooling
Sat, Sep 12 · 10:00 PM · Five Star Stadium at the Moye Complex

How they got here

Last two games

Furman · 1-1

Picked #202 in the preseason · now #171 — better than expected.

1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 9–56 @ TennesseeTop 25 #43 of 669

lost by 47 as a 49-point underdog

W 20–3 vs Anderson (SC) #282 of 669

Last two games

Mercer · 2-0

Picked #167 in the preseason · now #179.

Two straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.

W 62–3 vs Presbyterian #207 of 669

won by 59 as a 22.5-point favorite

W 23–15 vs East Texas A&M #222 of 669

won by 8 as a 22.5-point favorite

What’s at stake

Furman

  • Furman needs 5 more wins in the final 9 to reach bowl eligibility.
  • Furman football is built on the pride of 1988—a national championship claimed by a private school that proved it could compete with anyone. The Paladins carry that legacy while chasing a return to the national stage from within the Southern Conference, where they remain one of the FCS's most consistent programs.

Mercer

  • Mercer needs 5 more wins in the final 9 to reach bowl eligibility.
  • Mercer is the reinstatement program that shocked the SoCon with back-to-back titles and a perfect 2025 conference record — the bears that went from FCS reinstatement to conference dynasty in a decade.

The series

Furman leads the series 13-7-2

22 meetings since 1921 · Furman won the last meeting

  • 2026Furman 20–13
  • 2025Mercer 52–28
  • 2024Mercer 49–23
  • 2023Furman 38–14
  • 2022Furman 23–13

The line, and the room

The model and the market don’t fully agree on Mercer’s chances here.

evenModel · 72%Market · 89%FurmanMercer

Home −15.5 · O/U 54.5

Conditions

78°F · 7 mph wind · Heavy Rain

Mercer is worth +54.1 points more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 100th percentile.

100% at home, 0% on the road against FBS opponents (1–0 home, 0–10 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +3.3 at home vs. away over 49 games — inside the ±9.5 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 161 miles to get here.

Furman 20 – Mercer 13

Mercer 13: 39%Furman 20: 61%

Missed — picked Mercer, Furman won.

Recent games

Mercer

  • Wk 1Wvs East Texas A&M23-15
  • Wk 1Wvs Presbyterian62-3

Furman

  • Wk 1Wvs Anderson (SC)20-3
  • Wk 1Lat Tennessee9-56

Trajectory

-6.71-8.19-9.66Wk 0Wk 1Wk 2FurmanMercer

Conference standings

  • Mercer#70-1
  • Furman#31-0

The pregame pick missed: Furman beat Mercer 20-13.