Furman beats Anderson (SC) 20-3

Anderson (SC)0-13
Furman1-020Final
Thu, Aug 27 · Paladin Stadium, Greenville, S.C. · Crowd 8,147ESPN+

Furman beat Anderson (SC) 20-3.

Next: Anderson (SC) beat Keiser (Fl) 21-14, Sat Sep 5

Next: Furman lost to Tennessee 56-9, Sat Sep 5

How it swung

The turning point: Croasdale 1-yd TD run, Furman leads 17-3 (Q2, 0:00). Furman went from 77% to 94% to win.

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Furman a 94% chance.

Furman won by 17, after dipping to 42% in the second quarter.

Anderson (SC) never had better than a 58% chance.

FinalFurman 20-3 Anderson (SC)Furman wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q494% at halfFurmanWon20-31+17Scores
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q494% at halfFurmanWon20-31Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q46% at halfFurmanLowest 0%Lost3-201−17Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q46% at halfFurmanLowest 0%Lost3-201Scores

The play that swung it

  1. 1Q2 0:00Croasdale 1-yd TD run, Furman leads 17-3Furman 77% → 94% (+17)

The play that swung it

  1. 1Q2 0:00Croasdale 1-yd TD run, Furman leads 17-3Anderson (SC) 23% → 6% (−17)
Furman’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartNot adjusted for the pregame line. Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Every drive

Furman scored on 4 of its 12 drives; Anderson (SC) on 1 of its 11.

Furman’s drives are teal, Anderson (SC)’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Anderson (SC): Fumble, from 85 yards out to 60FumbleFurman: Missed field goal, from 40 yards out to 25Missed FGAnderson (SC): Punt, from 75 yards out to 37PuntFurman: Punt, from 90 yards out to 69PuntAnderson (SC): Punt, from 68 yards out to 66PuntFurman: Punt, from 78 yards out to 70PuntAnderson (SC): Punt, from 83 yards out to 80PuntQ2Furman: Punt, from 65 yards out to 71PuntAnderson (SC): Punt, from 78 yards out to 63PuntFurman: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 23Field goalAnderson (SC): Punt, from 75 yards out to 76PuntFurman: Touchdown, from 63 yards out to 0TouchdownAnderson (SC): Field goal, from 75 yards out to 11Field goalFurman: Touchdown, from 73 yards out to 0TouchdownQ3Furman: Interception, from 73 yards out to 19InterceptionAnderson (SC): Punt, from 96 yards out to 62PuntFurman: Missed field goal, from 90 yards out to 12Missed FGAnderson (SC): Punt, from 80 yards out to 81PuntQ4Furman: Field goal, from 55 yards out to 13Field goalAnderson (SC): Punt, from 75 yards out to 71PuntFurman: Punt, from 65 yards out to 43PuntAnderson (SC): Punt, from 95 yards out to 84PuntFurman: Uncategorized, from 58 yards out to 44Uncategorized

Box score

Furman 20, Anderson (SC) 3

Anderson (SC) leaders

  • Passing Wilson Edwards 19 of 31, 154 yds
  • Rushing Zaidon Gunn 7 for 14 yds; Darren Lloyd 6 for 8 yds
  • Receiving Kenneth Brown 6 for 75 yds; Seth Fischbach 1 for 25 yds

Furman leaders

  • Passing Jake Garcia 15 of 28, 183 yds, 1 INT
  • Rushing CJ Nettles 10 for 99 yds; Ben Croasdale 11 for 67 yds, 2 TD
  • Receiving Daniel Haughton 5 for 87 yds; Ethan Harris 3 for 49 yds

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games · 2025 season

Anderson (SC) · 5-6

Rated 369th in our preseason ratings.

L 20-44 @ Catawba #311 of 667

L 21-24 vs Newberry #310 of 667

L 3-30 vs Wingate #278 of 667

L 6-28 vs Carson Newman #288 of 667

W 35-28 @ Lenoir Rhyne #299 of 667

W 50-7 vs UVA Wise #394 of 667

L 13-42 @ Emory & Henry #321 of 667

L 14-21 @ Mars Hill #288 of 667

W 30-0 vs Tusculum #404 of 667

W 35-7 vs Erskine #424 of 667

W 34-7 @ Shorter #410 of 667

Last three games · 2025 season

Furman · 6-6

Rated 202nd in our preseason ratings.

L 10-45 @ ClemsonTop 25 #27 of 667

lost by 35 as a 43.5-point underdog

Furman lost 10-45 at Clemson. Chance to win started at 1%, low under 1%, high 1%.

W 32-14 vs VMI #271 of 667

won by 18 as a 20.5-point favorite

L 28-45 @ Chattanooga #177 of 667

lost by 17 as a 6-point underdog

L 28-52 vs Mercer #93 of 667

lost by 24 as a 15.5-point underdog

W 24-14 vs The Citadel #203 of 667

won by 10 as a 2.5-point favorite

L 13-31 @ Wofford #171 of 667

lost by 18 as a 2.5-point underdog

L 7-52 @ Western Carolina #150 of 667

lost by 45 as a 3.5-point underdog

W 31-22 vs East Tennessee State #155 of 667

won by 9 as a 0.5-point favorite

W 31-13 @ Samford #224 of 667

won by 18 as a 7-point favorite

W 28-24 @ Campbell #243 of 667

won by 4 as a 1.5-point favorite

L 38-39 vs Presbyterian #209 of 667

lost by 1 as an 8.5-point favorite

W 23-21 vs William & Mary #164 of 667

won by 2 as a 2.5-point favorite

Line, fans and home field

Home field

Home-field advantage: Bottom third of FBS.

0% at home, 10% on the road against FBS opponents (0-0 home, 1-9 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -2.4 at home vs. away over 57 games — inside the ±7.7 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 122 miles to get here.

Where next