cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / A.J. Campbell /Kent State

A.J. Campbell

DL · Kent State · Sr · #11

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

19 TACKLES · 2 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Kent State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Kent State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · Kent State

Returning around him

  • 11% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -4 net (11 in / 15 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Kent State · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #128 · 2026 recruiting class #93

DL · KENT STATE · MID-AMERICAN

A.J. Campbell

  • 4
  • #11
  • 6-3 | 250 lb
  • Copley, OH

CFB Zeitgeist Score

57

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 80th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#15705

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#923 national
CFB
College
Kent State
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class4
Jersey11
Measurements6-3 | 250 lb
HometownCopley, OH
Primary teamKent State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 923 recruit
Composite rating 0.8596 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2021
Origin Copley Akron, OH, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8596 No. 923 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#15705Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#15800Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8596

#923 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on A.J. Campbell

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about A.J. Campbell

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
19Tackles
4.5Tackles for loss
2Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
27Tackles
6.5Tackles for loss
2.9Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 19): needs 15.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 19): needs 20.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 2): needs 1/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 2): needs 2/game over remaining 4.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

A.J. Campbell is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Kent State's defense, with 2.0 sacks, 4.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #15705 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 19 8 solo | #2072/4942 (58th pct)
TFL 4.5 Backfield disruption | #648/4972 (87th pct)
Sacks 2.0 Pass-rush finish | #491/4972 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
19 58th
SOLO
8 50th
TFL
4.5 87th
SACK
2.0 90th
QBH
1 44th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 2L 14-62@ Texas Tech321.00.00
Wk 3L 28-31vs Buffalo311.01.00
Wk 4L 10-66@ Florida State200.00.01
Wk 6L 0-44@ Oklahoma210.00.00
Wk 7W 42-6vs Massachusetts000.00.00
Wk 8L 10-45@ Toledo100.00.00
Wk 9W 24-21vs Bowling Green422.01.00Season-high 4 tackles
Wk 12W 42-35@ Akron110.00.00
Wk 13L 16-28vs Central Michigan310.50.00
Total1984.52.01
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Kent State5-7HC: Sean Lewis · Run-leaning
2023Kent State1-11HC: Kenni Burns · Run-leaning
2025Kent State5-7HC: Mark Carney · Run-leaning, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Kent State1984.52.01----
2023Kent State431.00.0------
2022Kent State110.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons24125.52.01----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 19 #2072/4942 58th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 4.5 #648/4972 87th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 2.0 #491/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 8 #2283/4584 50th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home4g2.50.90.50.0
Road5g1.80.20.00.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins3g1.70.70.30.0
Losses6g2.30.40.20.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g2.00.40.20.2
Weeks 8+4g2.20.60.20.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

57Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: solo tackles (21st).

Sacks#487 / 2975 · 80th pct
2.0defe
Tackles for loss#648 / 2975 · 77th pct
4.5defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Tackles#2072 / 2975 · 29th pct
19defe
Solo tackles#2282 / 2975 · 21st pct
8defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
A.J. CampbellKent StateMichael MontgomerySouthern Miss· 59% simJackson KuwatchMiami (OH)· 57% simTJ DotteryOle Miss· 57% sim
Sacks
80
Campbell
89
Montgomery
96
Kuwatch
74
Dottery
Tackles for loss
77
Campbell
85
Montgomery
96
Kuwatch
83
Dottery
QB hurries
55
Campbell
22
Montgomery
55
Kuwatch
55
Dottery
Passes defended
48
Campbell
67
Montgomery
48
Kuwatch
67
Dottery
Tackles
29
Campbell
99
Montgomery
98
Kuwatch
98
Dottery
Solo tackles
21
Campbell
82
Montgomery
95
Kuwatch
97
Dottery

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The 3-Tech Penetrator

Disruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to NaNa Osafo-Mensah’s 2024 season.

NaNa Osafo-Mensah

87%match

TCU · 2024

#2

Marques White

Massachusetts · 2025

All-MAC
87%
#3

Elijah Alston

Marshall · 2023

All-Sun Belt
86%
#4

Ethan Hurkett

Iowa · 2024

84%
#5

C.J. Nunnally

Akron · 2024

84%

Matches NaNa on

Weight
Height
TFL rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Jordan Domineck's senior season at Colorado (2023).

Jordan Domineck

97%match

Colorado · 2023

#2

Connor O'Toole

Utah · 2024

89%
#3

Kevin Swint

Georgia State · 2023

All-Sun Belt
87%
#4

Taijh Alston

Colorado · 2023

86%
#5

Elijah Alston

Marshall · 2023

All-Sun Belt
86%

Matches Jordan on

Class year
Height
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mark Carney

Pass share

42.8%

292 pass / 390 run

Plays / game

56.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.5%

242 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

3 coaches
2022
Sean Lewis
Kent State
2023
Kenni Burns
Kent State
era →
2025
Mark Carney
Kent State
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Sean Lewis, Kenni Burns, and Mark Carney. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCopley, OH
Height6'3"
Weight250 lb
Class4
PositionDL
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Kent State DL4 #15705 #15800 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mid-American
2023 Kent State DL4 #15558 #15698 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mid-American
2022 Kent State DL4 #14284 #14327 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mid-American
2021 UCLA DL4 #11059 #10771 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Kent State Mid-American DL 4 No. 11 | 6-3 | 250 lb | Copley, OH
2024 Kent State Mid-American DL 4 No. 11 | 6-3 | 250 lb | Copley, OH
2023 Kent State Mid-American DL 4 No. 11 | 6-3 | 250 lb | Copley, OH
2022 Kent State Mid-American DL 4 No. 11 | 6-3 | 250 lb | Copley, OH
2021 UCLA Pac-12 DL 4 No. 11 | 6-3 | 250 lb | Copley, OH