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OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / A'Marion McCoy /Boise State

A'Marion McCoy

DB · Boise State · Sr · #7

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

27 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Boise State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Boise State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive back · Boise State

Returning around him

  • 58% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 1 Boise State player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -8 net (11 in / 19 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Boise State · Last season: 9-5 (AP #25) · Talent rank #81 · 2026 recruiting class #62

DB · BOISE STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

A'Marion McCoy

  • 4
  • #7
  • 6-0 | 176 lb
  • East Palo Alto, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

54

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 95th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#8213

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

2 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2023

Boise State · DB

2025

Boise State · DB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#104 national
CFB
College
Boise State
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDB
Class4
Jersey7
Measurements6-0 | 176 lb
HometownEast Palo Alto, CA
Primary teamBoise State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 104 recruit
Composite rating 0.8453 JUCO
Signed with Boise State 2023
Origin Laney College Oakland, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8453 No. 104 recruit | JUCO | Boise State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#8213Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#7909Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Boise State

Composite

0.8453

#104 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on A'Marion McCoy

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about A'Marion McCoy

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
27Tackles
2.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
35Tackles
3.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 27): needs 17.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 27): needs 24.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 3.3/game over remaining 3.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

A'Marion McCoy is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Boise State's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 2.5 tackles for loss, and 4 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #8213 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 27 16 solo | #1543/4942 (69th pct)
TFL 2.5 Backfield disruption | #1236/4972 (75th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash against FBS defenders.

Coverage splash

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
27 69th
SOLO
16 71st
TFL
2.5 75th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
3 76th
INT
4 97th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 7-34@ South Florida000.00.01
Wk 2W 51-14vs Eastern Washington110.00.01
Wk 4W 49-37@ Air Force641.00.00Season-high 6 tackles
Wk 5W 47-14vs App State210.00.010
Wk 6L 7-28@ Notre Dame530.50.00
Wk 7W 41-25vs New Mexico110.00.010
Wk 8W 56-31vs UNLV100.00.010
Wk 9W 24-3@ Nevada330.00.010
Wk 10L 7-30vs Fresno State631.00.01
Wk 12L 7-17@ San Diego State200.00.00
Total27162.50.043
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Boise State8-6HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-heavy
2025Boise State9-5HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Boise State27162.50.034--
2023Boise State29222.01.053--
Career2 loaded seasons56384.51.087--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 4 2 pick-six TD | #23/869 (97th pct)
Pass breakups 3 Coverage disruption | #521/2184 (76th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 27 #1543/4942 69th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.5 #1236/4972 75th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 4 #23/869 97th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 3 #521/2184 76th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 82 #34/578 94th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 20.5 #201/578 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 16 #1348/4584 71st pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Defensive TD 2 #4/200 98th pct Scoringvs FBS DEF
Defense Pick-six TD 2 #1/119 100th pct Scoringvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g2.20.20.00.4
Road5g3.20.30.00.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins6g2.30.20.00.2
Losses4g3.20.40.00.5

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.50.20.00.3
Weeks 8+4g3.00.20.00.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort

54Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (95th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Interceptions#23 / 817 · 95th pct
4inte
Passes defended#517 / 2975 · 78th pct
3defe
Tackles for loss#1222 / 2975 · 56th pct
2.5defe
Solo tackles#1348 / 2975 · 53rd pct
16defe
Tackles#1543 / 2975 · 47th pct
27defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
A'Marion McCoyBoise StateTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 71% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 70% simDevin LafayetteTroy· 69% sim
Interceptions
95
McCoy
95
Johnson
75
Lafayette
Passes defended
78
McCoy
91
Ra-El
96
Johnson
91
Lafayette
Tackles for loss
56
McCoy
56
Ra-El
47
Johnson
56
Lafayette
Solo tackles
53
McCoy
100
Ra-El
97
Johnson
98
Lafayette
Tackles
47
McCoy
99
Ra-El
98
Johnson
99
Lafayette
Sacks
24
McCoy
24
Ra-El
63
Johnson
63
Lafayette
QB hurries
22
McCoy
22
Ra-El
22
Johnson
22
Lafayette

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Centerfielder

Single-high range who erases the deep middle of the field.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Damarius McGhee’s 2025 season.

Damarius McGhee

87%match

Florida Atlantic · 2025

#2

Jack Kane

Oregon State · 2023

87%
#3

Cristian Williams

Tulsa · 2021

86%
#4

Quadric Bullard

UCF · 2022

85%
#5

Ryan Melton

South Alabama · 2020

80%

Matches Damarius on

Class year
Height
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Quadric Bullard's junior season at UCF (2022).

Quadric Bullard

99%match

UCF · 2022

#2

Jordan Mahoney

Massachusetts · 2023

93%
#3

Ar'mani Johnson

SMU · 2022

88%
#4

Rashad Ajayi

West Virginia · 2022

87%
#5

Damarius McGhee

Florida Atlantic · 2025

87%

Matches Quadric on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Spencer Danielson

Pass share

46.6%

472 pass / 540 run

Plays / game

72.3

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.4%

358 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Spencer Danielson
Boise State
2025
Spencer Danielson
Boise State

Played his entire career under Spencer Danielson.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownEast Palo Alto, CA
Height6'0"
Weight176 lb
Class4
PositionDB
Jersey7

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Mountain West

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Mountain West all_conference Boise State | Mountain West DB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Boise State DB4 #8213 #7909 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Boise State DB4 #8517 #8897 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Boise State Mountain West DB 4 No. 7 | 6-0 | 176 lb | East Palo Alto, CA
2024 Boise State Mountain West DB 4 No. 7 | 6-0 | 176 lb | East Palo Alto, CA
2023 Boise State Mountain West DB 4 No. 7 | 6-0 | 176 lb | East Palo Alto, CA