cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Brock Purdy /Iowa State

Brock Purdy

QB · Iowa State · Sr · #15

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

NOW IN NFLSan Francisco — drafted 2022, Rd 7, Pick 41, #262 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

San FranciscoEntering 5th NFL season

#262Rd 7 · Pick 41
San FranciscoEntering 5th NFL season

QB · IOWA STATE · BIG 12

Brock Purdy

  • 4
  • #15
  • 6-1 | 220 lb
  • Gilbert, AZ

CFB Zeitgeist QB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#59

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#839 national
CFB
College
Iowa State
2021
NFL
NFL Draft
R7 &middot; #262
San Francisco &middot; 2022

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey15
Measurements6-1 | 220 lb
HometownGilbert, AZ
Primary teamIowa State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 839 recruit
Composite rating 0.8594 HighSchool
Signed with Iowa State 2018
Origin Perry Gilbert, AZ, USA
Class Profile Context
2018 3-star | 0.8594 No. 839 recruit | HighSchool | Iowa State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2021 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 20
Current nowcast#59Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#75Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Iowa State

Composite

0.8594

#839 national

NFL Draft

2022 · Rd 7, Pick 41

#262 overall · San Francisco

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Brock Purdy

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Brock Purdy

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Brock Purdy already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #59 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 56.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2021 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2021 season snapshot | final

2021 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 3,188 19 TD | 8 INT | #25/382 (94th pct)
Completion rate 71.7% 292/407 completions | #56/383 (86th pct)
Yards/attempt 7.8 Explosiveness through the air | #103/382 (73rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume passer | Highly efficient | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

High-volume passerHighly efficientDual-threat

2021 Season · Final

2021 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
292 97th
ATT
407 95th
CMP%
71.7% 86th
Y/A
7.8 73rd

Passing Production

YDS
3,188 94th
TD
19 89th
INT
8 17th

Rushing

CAR
85 83rd
YDS
238 81st
YPC
2.8 51st
TD
1 63rd

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Iowa State7-5HC: Matt Campbell · Balanced, fast tempo
SeasonTeam
2021Iowa State29240771.7%3,1887.8198149.0----
Career1 loaded season29240771.7%3,1887.8198149.0----
SeasonTeam
2021Iowa State852382.81--
Career1 loaded season852382.81--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 238 1 rush TD | #77/408 (81st pct)
Usage 56.6% 92.7% pass share | 16.9% rush share | #27/428 (94th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.55 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #5/200 (98th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 3,188 #25/382 94th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 19 #44/407 89th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 292 #14/383 97th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 71.7% #56/383 86th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 7.8 #103/382 73rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 238 #77/408 81st pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.55 #5/200 98th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 364 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 56.6% #27/428 94th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 407 #22/407 95th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 8 #339/407 17th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 85 #72/408 83rd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 23 #153/391 61st pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 2.8 #202/407 51st pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #151/408 63rd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 92.7% #44/428 90th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 77.9% #11/428 98th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 77.7% #11/428 98th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 64.6% #11/428 98th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 48.1% #46/428 89th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 43.3% #84/428 81st pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 16.9% #85/428 80th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.26 #67/140 53rd pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 55 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 2 #163/258 37th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2021

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Matt Campbell

Pass share

42.4%

345 pass / 469 run

Plays / game

67.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.8%

296 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021

1 coach
2021
Matt Campbell
Iowa State

Played his entire career under Matt Campbell.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownGilbert, AZ
Height6'1"
Weight220 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey15

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2021)

All-Big 12

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2021 All-Big 12 all_conference Big 12 QB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2021 Iowa State QB4 #59 #75 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2021 Iowa State Big 12 QB 4 No. 15 | 6-1 | 220 lb | Gilbert, AZ