cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Bryan Whitehead II /Arkansas State

Bryan Whitehead II

DE · Arkansas State · Sr · #4

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

21 TACKLES · 4 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Arkansas State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Arkansas State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive end · Arkansas State

Returning around him

  • 59% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -13 net (24 in / 37 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Arkansas State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #88 · 2026 recruiting class #75

DE · ARKANSAS STATE · SUN BELT

Bryan Whitehead II

  • 4
  • #4
  • 6-1 | 265 lb
  • Bartlett, TN

CFB Zeitgeist Score

62

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 93rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#14938

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDE
Class4
Jersey4
Measurements6-1 | 265 lb
HometownBartlett, TN
Primary teamArkansas State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#14938Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#14997Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Bryan Whitehead II

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Bryan Whitehead II

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
21Tackles
9Tackles for loss
4Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.8Tackles for loss
0.3Sacks
Projected (13g)
23Tackles
9.8Tackles for loss
4.3Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 21): needs 59/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 21): needs 79/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 4): needs 2/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 4): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Bryan Whitehead II is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Arkansas State's defense, with 4.0 sacks, 9.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #14938 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 21 12 solo | #1929/4942 (61st pct)
TFL 9.0 Backfield disruption | #142/4972 (97th pct)
Sacks 4.0 Pass-rush finish | #169/4972 (97th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
21 61st
SOLO
12 62nd
TFL
9.0 97th
SACK
4.0 97th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 42-24vs Southeast Missouri State100.50.00
Wk 2L 14-56@ Arkansas210.00.00
Wk 3L 16-24vs Iowa State100.50.50
Wk 4L 21-28@ Kennesaw State111.01.00
Wk 5L 16-28@ UL Monroe221.00.00
Wk 8W 15-14@ South Alabama100.00.00
Wk 9W 34-24vs Georgia Southern111.00.00
Wk 10W 23-10@ Troy321.50.50
Wk 11L 21-27vs Southern Miss422.00.51Season-high 4 tackles
Wk 13L 30-34vs Louisiana321.01.00
Wk 14W 30-29@ App State000.00.01
BowlW 34-28vs Missouri State210.50.50
Total21129.04.02
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Liberty13-1HC: Jamey Chadwell · Run-heavy
2025Arkansas State7-6HC: Butch Jones · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Arkansas State21129.04.02----
2023Liberty1342.00.5------
Career2 loaded seasons341611.04.52----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 21 #1929/4942 61st pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 9.0 #142/4972 97th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 4.0 #169/4972 97th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 12 #1735/4584 62nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g2.00.90.40.2
Road6g1.50.60.20.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins6g1.30.60.20.2
Losses6g2.20.90.50.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g1.50.60.30.0
Weeks 8+6g2.00.90.30.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DE cohort

62Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles for loss (94th). Strength: sacks (93rd). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Tackles for loss#142 / 2975 · 95th pct
9.0defe
Sacks#169 / 2975 · 93rd pct
4.0defe
Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Solo tackles#1735 / 2975 · 40th pct
12defe
Tackles#1929 / 2975 · 34th pct
21defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Bryan Whitehead IIArkansas StateMichael MontgomerySouthern Miss· 68% simJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 65% simAhmaad MosesSMU· 65% sim
Tackles for loss
95
II
85
Montgomery
85
Vaughns
83
Moses
Sacks
93
II
89
Montgomery
63
Vaughns
63
Moses
Passes defended
67
II
67
Montgomery
48
Vaughns
78
Moses
Forced fumbles
47
II
47
Vaughns
47
Moses
Solo tackles
40
II
82
Montgomery
96
Vaughns
98
Moses
Tackles
34
II
99
Montgomery
99
Vaughns
99
Moses
QB hurries
22
II
22
Montgomery
22
Vaughns
22
Moses

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Power Rusher

Bull-rushes through contact and sets a hard edge against the run.

EDGE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to B.J. Green II’s 2022 season.

B.J. Green II

78%match

Arizona State · 2022

#2

B.J. Green II

Colorado · 2024

66%
#3

Zayin West

Kent State · 2022

62%
#4

Amaris Williams

Auburn · 2025

61%
#5

B.J. Green II

Arizona State · 2023

57%

Matches B.J. on

Sack rate
Weight
Height

Differs from B.J. on

Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Latrell Bankston's junior season at Houston (2022).

Latrell Bankston

78%match

Houston · 2022

#2

Jasheen Davis

Wake Forest · 2022

75%
#3

Bo Richter

Air Force · 2023

All-Mountain West
73%
#4

Mohamed Kamara

Colorado State · 2022

All-Mountain WestNFL Rd 5
71%
#5

De'Jon Benton

USC · 2023

All-Mountain West
68%

Matches Latrell on

Class year
Weight
TFL rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Butch Jones

Pass share

53.7%

506 pass / 437 run

Plays / game

72.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.6%

367 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Butch Jones
Arkansas State
2025
Butch Jones
Arkansas State

Played his entire career under Butch Jones.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownBartlett, TN
Height6'1"
Weight265 lb
Class4
PositionDE
Jersey4

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Arkansas State DE4 #14938 #14997 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Liberty DE4 #8845 #8664 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Arkansas State Sun Belt DE 4 No. 4 | 6-1 | 265 lb | Bartlett, TN
2024 Arkansas State Sun Belt DE 4 No. 4 | 6-1 | 265 lb | Bartlett, TN
2023 Liberty Conference USA DE 4 No. 4 | 6-1 | 265 lb | Bartlett, TN