Calvin Hill Player Card

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2020–2023

5362020

7142021

3382022

98.02023

-82%

Sharp dropoff (-82%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS

Recruit

★★★

#2404 national

CFB

College

Texas State

2020–2023

NFL

NFL Draft

—

Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB

Class3

Jersey11

Measurements5-8 | 200 lb

HometownBaytown, TX

Primary teamTexas State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2404 recruit

Composite rating 0.8056 HighSchool

Signed with Texas State 2019

Origin Sterling Baytown, TX, USA

Class	Profile	Context
2019	3-star \| 0.8056	No. 2404 recruit \| HighSchool \| Texas State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file

Latest destination UTEP 2024

Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context

Eligibility Immediate Dec 11, 2023

Season	Move	Context
2024	Texas State -> UTEP	3-star \| 0.8500 \| Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2023 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 19

Current nowcast#2381Latest modeled ballot order

Season forecast#2454Where the full season sim points

Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy

Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier

Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot

Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP—

FWAA—

AFCA—

WCFF—

SN—

SI—

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Texas State

Composite

0.8056

#2404 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Calvin Hill's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Texas State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2381 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist

Role load 16.2% Overall usage share

Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2023 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2023 season snapshot | final

2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level

Scrimmage yards 126 98 rush | 28 rec | #436/735 (41st pct)

Rush TD 0 31 carries | #447/739 (40th pct)

Yards/carry 3.2 Per-rush efficiency | #611/735 (17th pct)

Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

Rushing

CAR

31 48th

YDS

98 41st

YPC

3.2 17th

TD

0 40th

Receiving

REC

4 38th

YDS

28 36th

YPR

7.0 51st

TD

0 70th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2020Texas State2-10HC: Jake Spavital · Balanced

2021Texas State4-8HC: Jake Spavital · Run-leaning

2022Texas State4-8HC: Jake Spavital · Balanced

2023Texas State8-5HC: G.J. Kinne · Run-leaning

Season	Team
2023	Texas State	31	98	3.2	0	--
2022	Texas State	76	338	4.4	1	--
2021	Texas State	128	714	5.6	3	--
2020	Texas State	101	536	5.3	5	--
Career	4 loaded seasons	336	1,686	5.0	9	--

Season	Team
2023	Texas State	4	28	7.0	--
2022	Texas State	8	46	5.8	--
2021	Texas State	18	78	4.3	--
2020	Texas State	24	173	7.2	--
Career	4 loaded seasons	54	325	6.0	--

Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context

Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 4 28 rec yds | #343/552 (38th pct)

Usage 16.2% 27.6% rush share | #151/738 (80th pct)

Rushing WEPA +0.19 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #67/362 (82nd pct)

Open full stat explorer

Group	Metric	Value	Rank	Pct	Why it matters
Rushing	Rushing yards	98	#436/735	41st pct	Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing	Rush TD	0	#447/739	40th pct	Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing	Yards / carry	3.2	#611/735	17th pct	Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving	Receptions	4	#343/552	38th pct	Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving	Receiving yards	28	#354/548	36th pct	Volumevs FBS RB
Value	Rushing WEPA	+0.19	#67/362	82nd pct	Opponent-adjusted rushing value \| 103 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage	Role share	16.2%	#151/738	80th pct	Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing	Carries	31	#383/739	48th pct	Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing	Rushing LONG	13	#513/733	30th pct	Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving	Receiving LONG	8	#438/540	19th pct	Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving	Yards / catch	7.0	#267/548	51st pct	Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving	Receiving TD	0	#169/552	70th pct	Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage	Rush share	27.6%	#148/738	80th pct	Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage	Standard-down usage	19.5%	#138/738	81st pct	Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage	1st-down usage	18.9%	#162/738	78th pct	Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage	2nd-down usage	17.2%	#136/738	82nd pct	Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage	3rd-down usage	10.6%	#180/738	76th pct	Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage	Passing-down usage	10.2%	#193/738	74th pct	Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage	Pass share	5.0%	#156/738	79th pct	Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security	Fumbles lost	0	#1/256	100th pct	Turnoversvs FBS RB

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

Status—Awaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

EPA / dropback—

awaiting

CPOE—

awaiting

Success rate—

awaiting

Explosive rate (20+)—

awaiting

aDOT—

awaiting

Deep-ball accuracy—

awaiting

Pressure-to-sack—

awaiting

3rd-down EPA—

awaiting

Red-zone TD rate—

awaiting

Play-action EPA—

awaiting

Scramble EPA—

awaiting

Turnover-worthy play rate—

awaiting

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

G.J. Kinne

Pass share

39.5%

358 pass / 549 run

Plays / game

69.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.4%

267 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2020–2023

2 coaches

2020

Jake Spavital

Texas State

2021

Jake Spavital

Texas State

2022

Jake Spavital

Texas State

2023

G.J. Kinne

Texas State

era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Jake Spavital → G.J. Kinne. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

HometownBaytown, TX

Height5'8"

Weight200 lb

Class3

PositionRB

Jersey11

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season	Honor	Scope	Team / Selector	Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season	Team	Role	Latest Model	Forecast	Win	Finalist	Official Finish	Points	Context
2023	Texas State	RB3	#2381	#2454	0.0%	0.0%	--	--	W19 snapshot \| Sun Belt
2022	Texas State	RB3	#2475	#3030	0.0%	0.0%	--	--	W20 snapshot \| Sun Belt
2021	Texas State	RB3	#902	#1315	0.0%	0.0%	--	--	W20 snapshot \| Sun Belt
2020	Texas State	RB3	#36	#58	0.0%	0.0%	--	--	W16 snapshot \| Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season	Team	Conference	Pos	Class	Bio
2023	Texas State	Sun Belt	RB	3	No. 11 \| 5-8 \| 200 lb \| Baytown, TX
2022	Texas State	Sun Belt	RB	3	No. 11 \| 5-8 \| 200 lb \| Baytown, TX
2021	Texas State	Sun Belt	RB	3	No. 11 \| 5-8 \| 200 lb \| Baytown, TX
2020	Texas State	Sun Belt	RB	3	No. 11 \| 5-8 \| 200 lb \| Baytown, TX

Calvin Hill

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

-82%

Identity & Role

Recruiting Pedigree

Transfer Arc

Heisman Lens · 2023 Season · Final

The Room on Calvin Hill

How rival fanbases talk about Calvin Hill

Awaiting candidate metric

What made this player interesting

2023 Season · Final

RB season snapshot

What kind of player is this?

2023 Season · Final

Traditional Stats

Advanced Metrics

Player Standing

Percentile Card

Advanced Savant

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Trophy Case · Detail

No formal honors on the ledger yet

Honors Timeline

Heisman By Year

Roster Timeline