cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Christian Washington /San Diego State

Christian Washington

RB · San Diego State · Jr · #40

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

560 RUSH YDS · 4 RUSH TD · 97 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to San Diego State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to San Diego State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · San Diego State

Returning around him

  • 80% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 1 San Diego State player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +0 net (26 in / 26 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

San Diego State · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #86 · 2026 recruiting class #78

RB · SAN DIEGO STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Christian Washington

  • 3
  • #40
  • 5-10 | 200 lb
  • San Diego, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

51

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 82nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3044

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2022

2022

New Mexico · RB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2023

New Mexico · RB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2025

San Diego State · RB

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2022–2025
3102022
11.02023
5602025

+81%

Up 81% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class3
Jersey40
Measurements5-10 | 200 lb
HometownSan Diego, CA
Primary teamSan Diego State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination San Diego State 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 19, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 Coastal Carolina -> San Diego State 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate
2024 New Mexico -> Coastal Carolina 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3044Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3018Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Christian Washington

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

100

Grounded Optimism

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 2 mentions · belief +100 · "The San Diego State Aztecs are finally in the Pac-12 under 3rd-year head coach S"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Christian Washington

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

final
Through 13g
560Rush yards
97Carries
4Rush TDs
Per game
43.1Rush yards
7Carries
0Rush TDs
Final
560Rush yards
97Carries
4Rush TDs

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Christian Washington already has 2 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #3044 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 12.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 605 560 rush | 45 rec | #133/735 (82nd pct)
Rush TD 4 97 carries | #154/739 (79th pct)
Yards/carry 5.8 Per-rush efficiency | #139/735 (81st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Efficient runner against FBS RB peers.

Efficient runner

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
97 77th
YDS
560 82nd
YPC
5.8 81st
TD
4 79th

Receiving

REC
7 51st
YDS
45 46th
YPR
6.4 44th
TD
1 89th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 42-0vs Stony Brook7385.4127
Wk 2L 13-36@ Washington State3113.707
Wk 4W 34-0vs California9485.3011
Wk 5W 6-3@ Northern Illinois12221.808
Wk 6W 45-24vs Colorado State8283.5110
Wk 7W 44-10@ Nevada9515.7016
Wk 9W 23-0@ Fresno State4164.007
Wk 10W 24-7vs Wyoming294.506
Wk 11L 6-38@ Hawai'i3155.0012
Wk 12W 17-7vs Boise State99810.9041Season-high 98 yds
Wk 13W 25-3vs San José State10707.0118
Wk 14L 17-23@ New Mexico11777.0029
BowlL 47-49vs North Texas10777.7138
Total975605.5441
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022New Mexico2-10HC: Danny Gonzales · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2023New Mexico4-8HC: Danny Gonzales · Run-leaning
2025San Diego State9-4HC: Sean Lewis · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025San Diego State975605.84--
2023New Mexico12110.90--
2022New Mexico733104.20--
Career3 loaded seasons1828814.84--
SeasonTeam
2025San Diego State7456.41--
2023New Mexico133.00--
2022New Mexico12816.80--
Career3 loaded seasons201296.51--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 7 45 rec yds | #270/552 (51st pct)
Usage 12.1% 18.1% rush share | #248/738 (67th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.14 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #141/362 (61st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 560 #133/735 82nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 4 #154/739 79th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.8 #139/735 81st pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 7 #270/552 51st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 45 #296/548 46th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.14 #141/362 61st pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 87 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 12.1% #248/738 67th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 97 #173/739 77th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 41 #225/733 69th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 11 #395/540 27th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 6.4 #310/548 44th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #60/552 89th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 59 #90/200 56th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 19.7 #86/199 57th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 3 #85/206 59th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 18.1% #288/738 61st pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 13.2% #261/738 65th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 12.9% #274/738 63rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 12.9% #241/738 67th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.9% #206/738 72nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 9.7% #218/738 71st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 2.4% #369/738 50th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 2 #205/256 20th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home7g52.66.30.6
Road6g32.04.50.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins9g42.25.30.3
Losses4g45.05.80.2

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-77g39.34.70.4
Weeks 8+6g47.56.40.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

51Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / carry (81st). Concern: fumbles lost (13th).

Yards / carry#60 / 349 · 82nd pct
5.8rush
Rush yards#133 / 349 · 62nd pct
560rush
Rush TDs#153 / 349 · 50th pct
4rush
Carries#173 / 349 · 50th pct
97rush
Long run#196 / 349 · 43rd pct
41rush
Receptions#240 / 338 · 27th pct
7rece
Rec yards#251 / 338 · 26th pct
45rece
Fumbles lost#154 / 201 · 14th pct
2fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.14Mid (p50–p75) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Christian WashingtonSan Diego StateJeremiah CobbAuburn· 79% simSire GainesBoise State· 77% simKamari MoultonIowa· 75% sim
Yards / carry
82
Washington
71
Cobb
53
Gaines
62
Moulton
Rush yards
62
Washington
88
Cobb
82
Gaines
84
Moulton
Rush TDs
50
Washington
62
Cobb
84
Gaines
62
Moulton
Carries
50
Washington
88
Cobb
84
Gaines
86
Moulton
Long run
43
Washington
51
Cobb
51
Gaines
33
Moulton
Receptions
27
Washington
45
Cobb
45
Gaines
63
Moulton
Rec yards
26
Washington
47
Cobb
41
Gaines
53
Moulton
Fumbles lost
14
Washington
14
Gaines

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Speed Merchant

Cuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jaquez Moore’s 2023 season.

Jaquez Moore

85%match

Duke · 2023

#2

Charvis Thornton

Louisiana Tech · 2022

80%
#3

Colby McDonald

Maryland · 2021

79%
#4

Daijun Edwards

Georgia · 2022

79%
#5

Davon Booth

Utah State · 2023

78%

Matches Jaquez on

Total rush EPA (college ability)
Weight
EPA / carry (adj)

Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Tyler Goodson’s path through Iowa.

Tyler Goodson

98%match

Iowa · 2021

All-Big Ten
#2

Chance Bell

San Diego State · 2022

98%
#3

Demetric Felton

UCLA · 2020

NFL Rd 6
97%
#4

Peytton Pickett

Jackson State · 2021

97%
#5

Joshua Samuel

Austin Peay · 2022

96%

Matches Tyler on

Height
Yards per carry
Weight

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Jalen Buckley's senior season at Western Michigan (2025).

Jalen Buckley

76%match

Western Michigan · 2025

All-MAC
#2

Aidan Laughery

Illinois · 2025

All-Big Ten
76%
#3

Rocko Griffin

UTSA · 2023

69%
#4

Ajay Allen

Tulsa · 2025

68%
#5

Sam Franklin

South Florida · 2025

67%

Matches Jalen on

Yards / carry
Rush TD rate
Height

Differs from Jalen on

Weight (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sean Lewis

Pass share

35.3%

290 pass / 532 run

Plays / game

63.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.6%

224 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Brady Hoke
San Diego State
2023
Brady Hoke
San Diego State
2025
Sean Lewis
San Diego State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Brady Hoke → Sean Lewis. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSan Diego, CA
Height5'10"
Weight200 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey40

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

2 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2023)

All-Mountain West

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

2 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2023 All-Mountain West all_conference New Mexico | Mountain West RET
2022 All-Mountain West all_conference New Mexico | Mountain West RET

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Coastal Carolina RB3 #3044 #3018 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 New Mexico RB3 #4228 #4517 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West
2022 New Mexico RB3 #2855 #3534 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 San Diego State Mountain West RB 3 No. 40 | 5-10 | 200 lb | San Diego, CA
2024 Coastal Carolina Sun Belt RB 3 No. 40 | 5-10 | 200 lb | San Diego, CA
2023 New Mexico Mountain West RB 3 No. 40 | 5-10 | 200 lb | San Diego, CA
2022 New Mexico Mountain West RB 3 No. 40 | 5-10 | 200 lb | San Diego, CA