cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Carter Shaw /UCLA

Carter Shaw

WR · UCLA · So · #14

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

2026 TRANSFERTransferred UCLA → Stanford for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Stanford

2025UCLA
2026Stanford

WR · UCLA · BIG TEN

Carter Shaw

  • 2
  • #14
  • 6-3 | 195 lb
  • Atherton, CA

CFB Zeitgeist WR Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#2192

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
UCLA
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class2
Jersey14
Measurements6-3 | 195 lb
HometownAtherton, CA
Primary teamUCLA

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Stanford 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 27, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 UCLA -> Stanford 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2192Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2983Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Carter Shaw

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Carter Shaw

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 2g
0Rec yards
0Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
0Rec yards
0Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
0Rec yards
0Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 0): needs 63.6/game over remaining 11.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 0): needs 90.9/game over remaining 11.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 0): needs 5.5/game over remaining 11.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 0): needs 7.3/game over remaining 11.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 0.7/game over remaining 11.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 0.9/game over remaining 11.

What we can say about this player

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Carter Shaw's page is mostly roster and pedigree right now — there isn't measurable current-season production on file for UCLA yet. As box scores and snaps land, the on-field story fills in here.

Current place #2192 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 2.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions -- -- rec TD
Receiving yards -- -- per catch
Scrimmage yards 0 Total offensive yardage
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 2 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 7W 38-13@ Michigan State
Wk 12L 10-48@ Ohio State
Total
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024UCLA5-7HC: Deshaun Foster · Balanced, slow tempo
2025UCLA3-9HC: Deshaun Foster · Balanced, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025UCLA----------
2024UCLA24522.50--
Career2 loaded seasons24522.50--
SeasonTeam
2025UCLA----------
2024UCLA29------
Career2 loaded seasons29------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 2.1% 2.0% pass-game share | #1094/1137 (4th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Usage Pass share 2.0% #1094/1137 4th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 2.9% #739/1137 35th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 2.6% #751/1137 34th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 2.3% #81/1137 93rd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 2.1% #933/1137 18th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 1.9% #890/1137 22nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 1.4% #960/1137 16th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 1.2% #994/1137 13th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 2 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Road2g

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins1g
Losses1g

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-71g
Weeks 8+1g

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Deshaun Foster

Pass share

48.9%

358 pass / 374 run

Plays / game

61.0

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.3%

280 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Deshaun Foster
UCLA
2025
Deshaun Foster
UCLA

Played his entire career under Deshaun Foster.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownAtherton, CA
Height6'3"
Weight195 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey14

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 UCLA WR2 #2192 #2983 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 UCLA WR2 #3470 #3183 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UCLA Big Ten WR 2 No. 14 | 6-3 | 195 lb | Atherton, CA
2024 UCLA Big Ten WR 2 No. 14 | 6-3 | 195 lb | Atherton, CA
2023 UCLA Pac-12 WR 2 No. 14 | 6-3 | 195 lb | Atherton, CA