cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Cecil Powell /Sam Houston

Cecil Powell

DB · Sam Houston · Sr · #2

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

42 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Sam Houston for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Sam Houston for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive back · Sam Houston

Returning around him

  • 90% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +5 net (20 in / 15 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Sam Houston · Last season: 2-10 · Talent rank #123 · 2026 recruiting class #122

DB · SAM HOUSTON · CONFERENCE USA

Cecil Powell

  • 4
  • #2
  • 6-0 | 205 lb
  • Deerfield Beach, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

56

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 86th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#13334

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1077 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDB
Class4
Jersey2
Measurements6-0 | 205 lb
HometownDeerfield Beach, FL
Primary teamSam Houston

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1077 recruit
Composite rating 0.8548 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2019
Origin Piper Fort Lauderdale, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2019 3-star | 0.8548 No. 1077 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#13334Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#13546Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8548

#1077 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Cecil Powell

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Cecil Powell

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
42Tackles
3.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
55Tackles
4.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 42): needs 12.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 42): needs 19.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 3.3/game over remaining 3.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Cecil Powell is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Sam Houston's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 3.5 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #13334 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 42 34 solo | #834/4942 (83rd pct)
TFL 3.5 Backfield disruption | #869/4972 (83rd pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

Coverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
42 83rd
SOLO
34 92nd
TFL
3.5 83rd
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
1 44th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
4 84th
INT
1 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 24-41@ Western Kentucky540.00.01
Wk 1L 21-38vs UNLV330.00.00
Wk 2L 20-37@ Hawai'i440.00.02
Wk 6L 10-37@ New Mexico State530.50.00
Wk 7L 27-29vs Jacksonville State760.00.00Season-high 7 tackles
Wk 8L 17-35vs UTEP321.00.00
Wk 11W 21-17@ Oregon State320.50.01
Wk 12W 26-23vs Delaware540.50.010
Wk 13L 17-31@ Middle Tennessee441.00.00
Wk 14L 16-56vs Florida International320.00.00
Total42343.50.014
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023NC State9-4HC: Dave Doeren · Run-leaning
2024Troy4-8HC: Gerad Parker · Run-leaning
2025Sam Houston2-10HC: Phil Longo · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Sam Houston42343.50.041--
2024Troy2481.00.01----
2023NC State520.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons71444.50.051--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 1 0 pick-six TD | #308/869 (65th pct)
Pass breakups 4 Coverage disruption | #340/2184 (84th pct)
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 42 #834/4942 83rd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 3.5 #869/4972 83rd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 1 #308/869 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 4 #340/2184 84th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 34 #386/4584 92nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g4.20.30.00.0
Road5g4.20.40.00.8

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins2g4.00.50.00.5
Losses8g4.20.30.00.4

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g4.80.10.00.6
Weeks 8+5g3.60.60.00.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort

56Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: solo tackles (86th). Strength: passes defended (85th). Concern: sacks (23rd).

Solo tackles#386 / 2975 · 87th pct
34defe
Passes defended#340 / 2975 · 86th pct
4defe
Tackles#834 / 2975 · 71st pct
42defe
Tackles for loss#866 / 2975 · 69th pct
3.5defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct
1inte
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Cecil PowellSam HoustonRobert FitzgeraldNorthwestern· 88% simTyler MartinMassachusetts· 83% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 82% sim
Solo tackles
87
Powell
100
Fitzgerald
87
Martin
100
Ra-El
Passes defended
86
Powell
86
Fitzgerald
67
Martin
91
Ra-El
Tackles
71
Powell
99
Fitzgerald
98
Martin
99
Ra-El
Tackles for loss
69
Powell
85
Fitzgerald
63
Martin
56
Ra-El
QB hurries
55
Powell
55
Fitzgerald
22
Martin
22
Ra-El
Forced fumbles
47
Powell
47
Fitzgerald
47
Martin
47
Ra-El
Interceptions
31
Powell
31
Fitzgerald
31
Martin
Sacks
24
Powell
24
Fitzgerald
24
Martin
24
Ra-El

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Hybrid Nickel

Moves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Tyler Rudolph’s 2023 season.

Tyler Rudolph

90%match

Massachusetts · 2023

#2

Makyle Sanders

North Texas · 2021

89%
#3

Kaevon Merriweather

Iowa · 2021

87%
#4

Collin Duncan

Mississippi State · 2021

86%
#5

Jordan Howden

Minnesota · 2021

NFL Rd 5
84%

Matches Tyler on

PD rate
Tackle volume
Interceptions

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Tyler Rudolph's senior season at Massachusetts (2023).

Tyler Rudolph

95%match

Massachusetts · 2023

#2

R.J. Mickens

Clemson · 2023

NFL Rd 6
88%
#3

Sage Ryan

LSU · 2024

89%
#4

Mitchell Kulkin

Tulsa · 2023

88%
#5

Cam Miller

Rutgers · 2025

NFL Rd 6
87%

Matches Tyler on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Phil Longo

Pass share

51.3%

388 pass / 368 run

Plays / game

63.0

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.1%

324 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
K.C. Keeler
Sam Houston
2024
K.C. Keeler
Sam Houston
2025
Phil Longo
Sam Houston
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: K.C. Keeler → Phil Longo. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownDeerfield Beach, FL
Height6'0"
Weight205 lb
Class4
PositionDB
Jersey2

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Troy DB4 #13334 #13546 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 NC State DB4 #9055 #8608 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 NC State DB4 #10148 #9940 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC
2021 NC State DB4 #8884 #8558 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Sam Houston Conference USA DB 4 No. 2 | 6-0 | 205 lb | Deerfield Beach, FL
2024 Troy Sun Belt DB 4 No. 2 | 6-0 | 205 lb | Deerfield Beach, FL
2023 NC State ACC DB 4 No. 2 | 6-0 | 205 lb | Deerfield Beach, FL
2022 NC State ACC DB 4 No. 2 | 6-0 | 205 lb | Deerfield Beach, FL
2021 NC State ACC DB 4 No. 2 | 6-0 | 205 lb | Deerfield Beach, FL