CFB Zeitgeist
DMDante Moore

Dante Moore

Dante Moore was a projected top-five NFL pick. He said no, and came back to Oregon -- to finish something a 56-22 playoff beating left undone. The most interesting quarterback decision of the offseason now has a full season to be judged.

QB · Oregon · Cl 2 · #5

CFB Zeitgeist 74

Dante Moore was a projected top-five NFL pick. He said no, and came back to Oregon -- to finish something a 56-22 playoff beating left undone. The most interesting quarterback decision of the offseason now has a full season to be judged.

Aura™ · Him Watch the full board →
Hype = tape +2aura tax
Fans rank this player in the 98th percentile of QBs; the tape says 96th — the discourse is fair.
Aura — fan perception98th pctl
Production — on-field96th pctl
n=268 mentions · cohort: QBs · 160 qualified · perception = conversation volume, production = wepa_passing

Most quarterbacks with Moore's draft stock are gone. He left it on the table. After a 13-2 season -- 71.8% completions, 3,565 yards, 30 touchdowns -- that ended in a 56-22 Playoff semifinal humbling by Indiana, the projected first-rounder turned down the draft and returned to Eugene. His reasons were unusually candid: only 20 career starts across stops at UCLA and Oregon, a sense he 'wasn't prepared yet,' and a title that got away.

It's a bet on himself in the most public way possible -- and it reshaped the sport's offseason. His return convinced the Ducks' five-star transfer, Dylan Raiola, that 2026 would be a redshirt year in the wings.

So the forward stakes cut two ways. For Oregon, Moore is a Playoff-tested starter with unfinished business and a roster built to contend. For Moore personally, it's a referendum: a season to prove the extra year was wisdom, not hesitation -- and to make sure the last image of his Oregon career isn't a 34-point semifinal loss.

PLAY STYLE

Moore is a clean, efficient pocket passer, and the metrics are emphatic about it: 97th percentile in efficiency, 98th in both explosive-pass rate and touchdown rate, with a sack rate in the top tenth -- he gets it out, he hits the big one, he finishes drives. What the resume lacks isn't production, it's volume: just 20 career starts across UCLA and Oregon, the real reason a projected top-five pick came back. The blemish the tape keeps is the stage -- a 56-22 semifinal where the moment swallowed the offense whole. So 2026 isn't a skills audit; the numbers passed it. It's an experience-and-poise one: whether a full season as the unquestioned starter turns an elite-efficient college passer into one who carries a playoff night instead of being buried by one.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#724 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Big Ten

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Dan Lanning
Oregon
2024
Dan Lanning
Oregon
2025
Dan Lanning
Oregon

Played his entire career under Dan Lanning.

2025 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2023UCLA8-5HC: Chip Kelly · Run-leaning
2024Oregon13-1HC: Dan Lanning · Balanced
2025Oregon13-2HC: Dan Lanning · Run-leaning

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

74Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: completion % (97th). Strength: pass tds (96th). Concern: interceptions (14th).

Completion %#5 / 183 · 98th pct
71.8%pass
Pass TDs#6 / 183 · 96th pct
30pass
Pass yards#12 / 183 · 93rd pct
3565pass
Yards / att#17 / 183 · 91st pct
8.7pass
Rush yards#80 / 183 · 57th pct
156rush
Rush TDs#101 / 183 · 39th pct
2rush
Fumbles lost#87 / 174 · 38th pct
2fumb
Interceptions#153 / 183 · 14th pct
10pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Awards

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Big Ten

Career stats

Passing

Season-by-season quarterback passing line in a familiar scoreboard layout.

Season Team CMPATTCMP%YDSY/ATDINTRATELNGSACK
2025 OregonFinal snapshot 29641271.8%3,5658.73010163.7----
2024 OregonFinal snapshot 7887.5%496.100138.9----
2023 UCLAFinal snapshot 11421353.5%1,6107.6119125.6----
Career 3 loaded seasonsCareer row reflects the stat seasons currently loaded in this database. 41763365.9%5,2248.34119150.6----

Rushing

Ground contribution that rounds out the quarterback profile.

Season Team CARYDSAVGTDLNG
2025 OregonFinal snapshot 731562.12--
2024 OregonFinal snapshot 166.00--
2023 UCLAFinal snapshot 45-83-1.80--
Career 3 loaded seasonsCareer row reflects the stat seasons currently loaded in this database. 119790.72--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 18 · 2025

W 23–0

at Texas Tech

234 yds · 0 TD · 1 INT  ·  QBR 62.3  ·  -12 rush yds (10 car)

Dominant 23-point win on the road against Texas Tech.

Game log

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 15 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1W 59-13vs Montana State18/23213309.376.8Season-high 313 yds
Wk 2W 69-3vs Oklahoma State16/212663012.786.03 TD passes
Wk 3W 34-14@ Northwestern16/20178118.990.8
Wk 4W 41-7vs Oregon State21/31305409.881.44 TD passes
Wk 5W 30-24@ Penn State29/39248306.480.73 TD passes
Wk 7L 20-30vs Indiana21/34186125.533.2
Wk 8W 56-10@ Rutgers15/202904114.599.14 TD passes
Wk 9W 21-7vs Wisconsin9/1586005.736.4
Wk 11W 18-16@ Iowa13/21112015.339.7
Wk 12W 42-13vs Minnesota27/303062010.291.4Clean 2-TD game
Wk 13W 42-27vs USC22/30257218.690.0
Wk 14W 26-14@ Washington20/29286109.987.3
BowlW 51-34vs James Madison19/273134211.699.1
BowlW 23-0@ Texas Tech26/33234017.162.3
BowlL 22-56@ Indiana24/39285217.367.9
Total296/412356530108.974.8

How he plays

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

74Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: completion % (97th). Strength: pass tds (96th). Concern: interceptions (14th).

Completion %#5 / 183 · 98th pct
71.8%pass
Pass TDs#6 / 183 · 96th pct
30pass
Pass yards#12 / 183 · 93rd pct
3565pass
Yards / att#17 / 183 · 91st pct
8.7pass
Rush yards#80 / 183 · 57th pct
156rush
Rush TDs#101 / 183 · 39th pct
2rush
Fumbles lost#87 / 174 · 38th pct
2fumb
Interceptions#153 / 183 · 14th pct
10pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

PLAY STYLE

Moore is a clean, efficient pocket passer, and the metrics are emphatic about it: 97th percentile in efficiency, 98th in both explosive-pass rate and touchdown rate, with a sack rate in the top tenth -- he gets it out, he hits the big one, he finishes drives. What the resume lacks isn't production, it's volume: just 20 career starts across UCLA and Oregon, the real reason a projected top-five pick came back. The blemish the tape keeps is the stage -- a 56-22 semifinal where the moment swallowed the offense whole. So 2026 isn't a skills audit; the numbers passed it. It's an experience-and-poise one: whether a full season as the unquestioned starter turns an elite-efficient college passer into one who carries a playoff night instead of being buried by one.

2026 Outlook

Returning to Oregon for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Quarterback · Oregon

Returning around him

  • 19% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 7 Oregon players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -17 net (13 in / 30 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Oregon · Last season: 13-2 (AP #5) · Talent rank #5 · 2026 recruiting class #5

Perception vs tape

Dante Moore was a projected top-five NFL pick. He said no, and came back to Oregon — to finish something a 56-22 playoff beating left undone. The most interesting quarterback decision of the offseason now has a full season to be judged.

Most quarterbacks with Moore's draft stock are gone. He left it on the table. After a 13-2 season — 71.8% completions, 3,565 yards, 30 touchdowns — that ended in a 56-22 Playoff semifinal humbling by Indiana, the projected first-rounder turned down the draft and returned to Eugene. His reasons were unusually candid: only 20 career starts across stops at UCLA and Oregon, a sense he 'wasn't prepared yet,' and a title that got away.

It's a bet on himself in the most public way possible — and it reshaped the sport's offseason. His return convinced the Ducks' five-star transfer, Dylan Raiola, that 2026 would be a redshirt year in the wings.

So the forward stakes cut two ways. For Oregon, Moore is a Playoff-tested starter with unfinished business and a roster built to contend. For Moore personally, it's a referendum: a season to prove the extra year was wisdom, not hesitation — and to make sure the last image of his Oregon career isn't a 34-point semifinal loss.

How he plays

Moore is a clean, efficient pocket passer, and the metrics are emphatic about it: 97th percentile in efficiency, 98th in both explosive-pass rate and touchdown rate, with a sack rate in the top tenth — he gets it out, he hits the big one, he finishes drives. What the resume lacks isn't production, it's volume: just 20 career starts across UCLA and Oregon, the real reason a projected top-five pick came back. The blemish the tape keeps is the stage — a 56-22 semifinal where the moment swallowed the offense whole. So 2026 isn't a skills audit; the numbers passed it. It's an experience-and-poise one: whether a full season as the unquestioned starter turns an elite-efficient college passer into one who carries a playoff night instead of being buried by one.

2026 outlook · as of 2026-06-13

DNA match

Player DNA

The Pocket Passer

Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.

QB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Carson Beck’s 2023 season.

Carson Beck

63%match

Georgia · 2023

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 1
#2

J.J. McCarthy

Michigan · 2023

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 10
63%
#3

Carson Beck

Miami · 2025

All-ACCNFL Rd 3 · Pk 1
61%
#4

Kenny Pickett

Pittsburgh · 2021

Unitas Golden Arm1st-team All-AmericanNFL Rd 1 · Pk 20
60%
#5

Drew Mestemaker

North Texas · 2025

BurlsworthAll-AAC
60%

Differs from Carson on

Class year (lower)
TD rate (higher)
INT rate (higher)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Skylar John Thompson’s path through Kansas State.

Skylar John Thompson

88%match

Kansas State · 2021

#2

Drew Mestemaker

North Texas · 2025

BurlsworthAll-AAC
85%
#3

Dustin Crum

Kent State · 2021

All-MAC
84%
#4

Jayden Maiava

USC · 2025

All-Big Ten
80%
#5

Desmond Ridder

Cincinnati · 2021

All-AACNFL Rd 3 · Pk 10
77%

Matches Skylar on

Yards per attempt
Completion %
Height

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to J.J. McCarthy's junior season at Michigan (2023).

J.J. McCarthy

65%match

Michigan · 2023

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 10
#2

Shedeur Sanders

Colorado · 2024

Unitas Golden ArmAll-Big 12NFL Rd 5
56%
#3

Caleb Williams

USC · 2023

53%
#4

Joey Aguilar

Tennessee · 2025

All-Sun Belt
51%
#5

Carson Beck

Georgia · 2023

All-ACCNFL Rd 3 · Pk 1
50%

Matches J.J. on

Rush yards / carry

Differs from J.J. on

Recruiting rating (lower)
Class year (lower)
INT rate (higher)

Peer comparator

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Dante MooreOregonJoey AguilarTennessee· 88% simJosh HooverTCU· 85% simCJ BaileyNC State· 85% sim
Completion %
98
Moore
86
Aguilar
77
Hoover
91
Bailey
Pass TDs
96
Moore
85
Aguilar
95
Hoover
89
Bailey
Pass yards
93
Moore
93
Aguilar
92
Hoover
83
Bailey
Yards / att
91
Moore
92
Aguilar
87
Hoover
73
Bailey
Rush yards
57
Moore
43
Aguilar
22
Hoover
62
Bailey
Rush TDs
39
Moore
59
Aguilar
39
Hoover
74
Bailey
Fumbles lost
38
Moore
18
Aguilar
38
Hoover
38
Bailey
Interceptions
14
Moore
14
Aguilar
2
Hoover
22
Bailey

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Heisman trajectory

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#3 in market ▲ from #5 · 4 books

+90010.0% implied▲ tightened from +1200

Development

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2023–2025
1,6102023
49.02024
3,5652025

+121%

Up 121% from first season to most-recent.