CFB Zeitgeist Score
18
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 84th percentile.
Dylan Goffney
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
16 REC YDS · 1 REC · 0 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to SMU for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Wide receiver · SMU
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
SMU · Last season: 9-4 (AP #25) · Talent rank #25 · 2026 recruiting class #31
WR · SMU · ACC
CFB Zeitgeist Score
18
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 84th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#4576
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepBackup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2021–2025Sharp dropoff (-88%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8804 | No. 511 recruit | HighSchool |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Colorado State -> SMU | 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate |
| 2023 | SMU -> Colorado State | 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8804
#511 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Dylan Goffney's story is about how role and output meet each other. For SMU, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 1 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 42-13vs East Texas A&M | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | 0 | 16 | Season-high 16 yds |
| Total | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | 0 | 16 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | SMU | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Colorado State | 23 | 298 | 13.0 | 2 | -- |
| 2022 | SMU | 18 | 369 | 20.5 | 2 | -- |
| 2021 | SMU | 14 | 131 | 9.4 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 56 | 814 | 14.5 | 4 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | SMU | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Colorado State | -- | -- | 176 | 3 | -- |
| 2022 | SMU | -- | -- | 15 | -- | -- |
| 2021 | SMU | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | -- | -- | 191 | 3 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 1 | #973/1110 | 12th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 16 | #958/1107 | 14th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #615/1111 | 45th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 16.0 | #205/1106 | 82nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 3.3% | #1007/1137 | 12th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 16 | #845/1105 | 24th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 5.3% | #673/1137 | 41st pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 5.0% | #509/1137 | 55th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 1.6% | #1017/1137 | 11th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 0.0% | #1017/1137 | 11th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 0.0% | #937/1137 | 18th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/1137 | 66th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 0.0% | #1080/1137 | 5th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 1 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home1g | 1.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins1g | 1.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-71g | 1.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
Elite: yards / catch (83rd). Concern: receptions (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Rhett Lashlee
Pass share
53.7%
460 pass / 396 run
Plays / game
65.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
5.4%
333 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Jim Leavitt → Rhett Lashlee. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Colorado State | WR4 | #4576 | #4917 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2023 | Colorado State | WR4 | #1812 | #2382 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2022 | SMU | WR4 | #1308 | #1545 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2021 | SMU | WR4 | #1451 | #1273 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | American Athletic |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | SMU | ACC | WR | 4 | No. 18 | 6-0 | 216 lb | Cypress, TX |
| 2024 | Colorado State | Mountain West | WR | 4 | No. 18 | 6-0 | 216 lb | Cypress, TX |
| 2023 | Colorado State | Mountain West | WR | 4 | No. 18 | 6-0 | 216 lb | Cypress, TX |
| 2022 | SMU | American Athletic | WR | 4 | No. 18 | 6-0 | 216 lb | Cypress, TX |
| 2021 | SMU | American Athletic | WR | 4 | No. 18 | 6-0 | 216 lb | Cypress, TX |