cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Gunnar Holmberg /Florida International

Gunnar Holmberg

QB · Florida International · Sr · #12

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

ALUMNUSFlorida International 2022 alumnus

QB · FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL · CONFERENCE USA

Gunnar Holmberg

  • 4
  • #12
  • 6-3 | 205 lb
  • Wake Forest, NC

CFB Zeitgeist QB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#1459

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R00 · Walk-on

Walk-on. Earning a roster spot is the starting line.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2021–2022
2,3582021
1032022

-96%

Sharp dropoff (-96%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#557 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2022
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey12
Measurements6-3 | 205 lb
HometownWake Forest, NC
Primary teamFlorida International

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 557 recruit
Composite rating 0.8743 HighSchool
Signed with Duke 2018
Origin Heritage Wake Forest, NC, USA
Class Profile Context
2018 3-star | 0.8743 No. 557 recruit | HighSchool | Duke

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2022 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 20
Current nowcast#1459Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1944Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Duke

Composite

0.8743

#557 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Gunnar Holmberg

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Gunnar Holmberg

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Gunnar Holmberg's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Florida International, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1459 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 47.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2022 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2022 season snapshot | final

2022 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 103 1 TD | 0 INT | #269/382 (30th pct)
Completion rate 70.0% 14/20 completions | #67/383 (83rd pct)
Yards/attempt 5.2 Explosiveness through the air | #305/382 (20th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Efficient | Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

EfficientPocket-leaning

2022 Season · Final

2022 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
14 37th
ATT
20 37th
CMP%
70.0% 83rd
Y/A
5.2 20th

Passing Production

YDS
103 30th
TD
1 44th
INT
0 100th

Rushing

CAR
7 30th
YDS
17 38th
YPC
2.4 45th
TD
0 44th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Duke3-9HC: David Cutcliffe · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2022Florida International4-8HC: Mike MacIntyre · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2022Florida International142070.0%1035.210129.8----
2021Duke21732467.0%2,3587.378130.3----
Career2 loaded seasons23134467.2%2,4617.288130.3----
SeasonTeam
2022Florida International7172.40--
2021Duke881671.96--
Career2 loaded seasons951841.96--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 17 0 rush TD | #255/408 (38th pct)
Usage 47.0% 84.6% pass share | 15.3% rush share | #106/428 (75th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.30 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #82/200 (60th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 103 #269/382 30th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 1 #228/407 44th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 14 #242/383 37th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 70.0% #67/383 83rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 5.2 #305/382 20th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 17 #255/408 38th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.30 #82/200 60th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 308 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 47.0% #106/428 75th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 20 #257/407 37th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 0 #1/407 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 11 #281/391 28th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 7 #286/408 30th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 2.4 #226/407 45th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #230/408 44th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 84.6% #101/428 77th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 61.4% #101/428 77th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 59.8% #105/428 76th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 45.0% #68/428 84th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 42.5% #129/428 70th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 40.3% #107/428 75th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 15.3% #101/428 77th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.20 #93/140 34th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 69 weighted playsvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2022

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Willie Simmons

Pass share

47.3%

428 pass / 476 run

Plays / game

69.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.9%

290 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2022

2 coaches
2021
Butch Davis
Florida International
2022
Mike MacIntyre
Florida International
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Butch Davis → Mike MacIntyre. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownWake Forest, NC
Height6'3"
Weight205 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey12

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2022 Florida International QB4 #1459 #1944 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA
2021 Duke QB4 #145 #193 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2022 Florida International Conference USA QB 4 No. 12 | 6-3 | 205 lb | Wake Forest, NC
2021 Duke ACC QB 4 No. 12 | 6-3 | 205 lb | Wake Forest, NC