CFB Zeitgeist Score
28
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 99th percentile.
Cam Fancher
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
333 PASS YDS · 0 PASS TD · 170 RUSH YDS
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Michigan State
2025UCF
2026Michigan State
QB · UCF · BIG 12
Cam Fancher
- 4
- #14
- 6-2 | 200 lb
- Dayton, OH
Heisman Heat
#1651
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2021–2025+624%
Up 624% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8281 | No. 1798 recruit | HighSchool | Marshall |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | UCF -> Michigan State | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
| 2025 | Florida Atlantic -> UCF | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
| 2024 | Marshall -> Florida Atlantic | 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Marshall
Composite
0.8281
#1798 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Cam Fancher
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=4
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Cam Fancher
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
ESPN QBR (season average)
51.4
QBR
P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 2 games
National rank #72 of 92
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 2 games 22nd
Why it matters
#72 of 92 P4 + Notre Dame QBs by ESPN QBR — 51.4 across 3 games.
Vs cohort
This player 51.4 (22th)
HIGH cohort 92
- Also strong
- Third-down snap share#80 / 93
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 3g
333Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Per game
111Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
1,443Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 333): needs 266.7/game over remaining 10.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 333): needs 366.7/game over remaining 10.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 2.5/game over remaining 10.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 3/game over remaining 10.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 3.5/game over remaining 10.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Cam Fancher's story is about how role and output meet each other. For UCF, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
41 53rd
ATT
72 54th
CMP%
56.9% 32nd
Y/A
4.6 15th
Passing Production
YDS
333 47th
TD
0 30th
INT
0 100th
Rushing
CAR
31 58th
YDS
170 77th
YPC
5.5 81st
TD
1 63rd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 3 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 17-10vs Jacksonville State | 5/9 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 3.6 | 66.0 | |
| Wk 6 | L 20-27vs Kansas | 8/14 | 79 | 0 | 0 | 5.6 | 27.1 | |
| Wk 7 | L 11-20@ Cincinnati | 28/49 | 222 | 0 | 0 | 4.5 | 61.0 | Season-high 222 yds |
| Total | 41/72 | 333 | 0 | 0 | 4.6 | 51.4 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Marshall7-5HC: Charles Huff · Balanced, fast tempo
2022Marshall9-4HC: Charles Huff · Run-heavy
2023Marshall6-7HC: Charles Huff · Balanced
2025UCF5-7HC: Scott Frost · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 333 | #202/382 | 47th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 0 | #285/407 | 30th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 41 | #182/383 | 53rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 56.9% | #261/383 | 32nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 4.6 | #326/382 | 15th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 170 | #96/408 | 77th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.08 | #193/200 | 4th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 74 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 43.0% | #132/428 | 69th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 72 | #187/407 | 54th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 0 | #1/407 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 31 | #173/408 | 58th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 25 | #138/391 | 65th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.5 | #79/407 | 81st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #151/408 | 63rd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 60.2% | #169/428 | 61st pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 56.3% | #123/428 | 71st pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 49.4% | #87/428 | 80th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 43.8% | #170/428 | 61st pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 36.3% | #132/428 | 69th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 33.0% | #148/428 | 66th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 24.6% | #38/428 | 91st pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/258 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 3 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home2g | 55.5 | 0.0 | 4.6 | 0.0 |
| Road1g | 222 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins1g | 32.0 | 0.0 | 3.6 | 0.0 |
| Losses2g | 150 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-73g | 111 | 0.0 | 4.6 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
28Below cohort
Elite: interceptions (99th). Strength: fumbles lost (91st). Concern: pass tds (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 yds72%of completions
28 comp5.2 yds avg
Middle
10–19 yds15%of completions
6 comp14.2 yds avg
Deep
20+ yds13%of completions
5 comp22.6 yds avg
Overall 54.9% completion on 71 attempts.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Concerns: EPA / dropback.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.08Below (<p25) (n=94)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Cam FancherUCFNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 60% simDrake LindseyMinnesota· 54% simAvery JohnsonKansas State· 54% sim
Interceptions
Fumbles lost
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Completion %
Yards / att
Pass yards
Pass TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Scott Frost
Pass share
51.7%
403 pass / 377 run
Plays / game
65.0
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.5%
324 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coaches2021
Gus Malzahn
UCF
2022
Gus Malzahn
UCF
2023
Gus Malzahn
UCF
2025era →
Scott Frost
UCF
Coaching transition mid-career: Gus Malzahn → Scott Frost. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownDayton, OH
Height6'2"
Weight200 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey14
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamUCF
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Florida Atlantic | QB4 | #1651 | #1912 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2023 | Marshall | QB4 | #340 | #527 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2022 | Marshall | QB4 | #155 | #171 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2021 | Marshall | QB4 | #709 | #562 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Conference USA |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | UCF | Big 12 | QB | 4 | No. 14 | 6-2 | 200 lb | Dayton, OH |
| 2024 | Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | QB | 4 | No. 14 | 6-2 | 200 lb | Dayton, OH |
| 2023 | Marshall | Sun Belt | QB | 4 | No. 14 | 6-2 | 200 lb | Dayton, OH |
| 2022 | Marshall | Sun Belt | QB | 4 | No. 14 | 6-2 | 200 lb | Dayton, OH |
| 2021 | Marshall | Conference USA | QB | 4 | No. 14 | 6-2 | 200 lb | Dayton, OH |