cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Cardell Williams /Tulsa

Cardell Williams

QB · Tulsa · Jr · #7

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Sacramento State → Maryland for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Maryland

2025Sacramento State
2026Maryland

QB · TULSA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Cardell Williams

  • 3
  • #7
  • 6-2 | 181 lb
  • Houston, TX

CFB Zeitgeist QB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#1091

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2023–2024
1,1492023
37.02024

-97%

Sharp dropoff (-97%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Tulsa
2023–2024
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#21 in market ▼ from #18 · 6 books

+35002.8% implied▼ lengthened from +3000

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class3
Jersey7
Measurements6-2 | 181 lb
HometownHouston, TX
Primary teamTulsa

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Maryland 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate May 30, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Sacramento State -> Maryland 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate
2025 Tulsa -> Sacramento State 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1091Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1393Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Cardell Williams

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Cardell Williams

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Cardell Williams's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Tulsa, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1091 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 5.5% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2024 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2024 season snapshot | final

2024 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 37 0 TD | 0 INT | #320/382 (16th pct)
Completion rate 45.5% 5/11 completions | #349/383 (9th pct)
Yards/attempt 3.4 Explosiveness through the air | #356/382 (7th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Balanced quarterback against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Balanced profile

2024 Season · Final

2024 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
5 22nd
ATT
11 30th
CMP%
45.5% 9th
Y/A
3.4 7th

Passing Production

YDS
37 16th
TD
0 30th
INT
0 100th

Rushing

CAR
13 41st
YDS
65 58th
YPC
5.0 77th
TD
2 73rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 1 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 2L 17-20@ Nevada11/131581112.2--Season-high 158 yds
Total11/131581112.2
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Tulsa4-8HC: Kevin Wilson · Run-heavy
2024Tulsa3-9HC: Kevin Wilson · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2024Tulsa51145.5%373.40073.7----
2023Tulsa7913259.8%1,1498.7107147.4----
Career2 loaded seasons8414358.7%1,1868.3107141.7----
SeasonTeam
2024Tulsa13655.02--
2023Tulsa572003.55--
Career2 loaded seasons702653.87--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 65 2 rush TD | #174/408 (58th pct)
Usage 5.5% 6.0% pass share | 5.1% rush share | #335/428 (22nd pct)
Passing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 37 #320/382 16th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 0 #285/407 30th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 5 #298/383 22nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 45.5% #349/383 9th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 3.4 #356/382 7th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 65 #174/408 58th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Usage Role share 5.5% #335/428 22nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 11 #287/407 30th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 0 #1/407 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 28 #117/391 70th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 13 #240/408 41st pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.0 #93/407 77th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 2 #113/408 73rd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 8.9% #323/428 25th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 6.0% #336/428 22nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 5.6% #348/428 19th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 5.5% #325/428 24th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 5.3% #327/428 24th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 5.1% #276/428 36th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 4.5% #327/428 24th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 1 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Road1g1581.012.21.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Losses1g1581.012.21.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-71g1581.012.21.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tre Lamb

Pass share

45.9%

407 pass / 480 run

Plays / game

73.9

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.2%

357 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2024

1 coach
2023
Kevin Wilson
Tulsa
2024
Kevin Wilson
Tulsa

Played his entire career under Kevin Wilson.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHouston, TX
Height6'2"
Weight181 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey7

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Tulsa QB3 #1091 #1393 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Tulsa QB3 #491 #749 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 Tulsa QB3 #2286 #2437 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2024 Tulsa American Athletic QB 3 No. 7 | 6-2 | 181 lb | Houston, TX
2023 Tulsa American Athletic QB 3 No. 7 | 6-2 | 181 lb | Houston, TX
2022 Tulsa American Athletic QB 3 No. 7 | 6-2 | 181 lb | Houston, TX