cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Ryan Browne /Purdue

Ryan Browne

QB · Purdue · So · #15

Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22

Ryan Browne arrives at Purdue with a new fit to prove and an old chapter behind him.

2,153PASS YDS9PASS TD206RUSH YDS

PERCEPTION ABOVE TAPE · PCTL GAP

-29

perception vs production percentile · 2025

The room sees a 66th-percentile name; the tape grades at the 38th — is the buzz ahead of the production?

Read the story so far

Ryan Browne arrived as a 3-star prospect. He lines up at QB for Purdue.

On the field, the headline is 2,153 pass yds, with 9 pass td.

He inherited the QB job from Hudson Card (4-star).

The number to watch: -29 — perception above tape · pctl gap.

QB successioncontinuity
  • Inherited fromHudson Card 4★
Why nowHe changed programs heading into 2026 — a fresh fit to prove out.
  • season totals
  • perception vs production percentile · 2025
  • throne-line + Filling-the-Shoes

AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Purdue for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Purdue for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Quarterback · Purdue

Returning around him

  • 54% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +5 net (29 in / 24 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Purdue · Last season: 2-10 · Talent rank #54 · 2026 recruiting class #99

QB · PURDUE · BIG TEN

Ryan Browne

  • 2
  • #15
  • 6-4 | 210 lb
  • Clarkston, MI

CFB Zeitgeist Score

35

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by pass yards at the 56th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#492

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Aura™ · Him Watch the full board →
Aura tax +29aura tax
Fans rank this player in the 66th percentile of QBs; the tape says 37th — more hype than the tape.
Aura — fan perception66th pctl
Production — on-field37th pctl
n=9 mentions · cohort: QBs · 160 qualified · perception = conversation volume, production = wepa_passing

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2023–2025
1042023
5322024
2,1532025

+1970%

Up 1970% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1024 national
CFB
College
Purdue
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class2
Jersey15
Measurements6-4 | 210 lb
HometownClarkston, MI
Primary teamPurdue

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1024 recruit
Composite rating 0.8633 HighSchool
Signed with Purdue 2023
Origin Milford Academy New Berlin, NY, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8633 No. 1024 recruit | HighSchool | Purdue

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Purdue 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Apr 18, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 North Carolina -> Purdue 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#492Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#682Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in passing yards (2153).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Purdue

Composite

0.8633

#1024 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Ryan Browne

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

56

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 9 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 10 mentions · belief +56 · "Was anyone in attendance? How’d the team look? I’ve seen some reports about the "Own fans
  • Own fans · n=10

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Ryan Browne

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Combined WEPA per play (pass + rush)

+0.264

EPA

P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 280 touches

National rank #47 of 57
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 280 touches 18th

Why it matters

#47 of 57 P4 + Notre Dame QBs in combined passing + rushing weighted-EPA per play — +0.264 EPA on 378 touches.

Vs cohort

This player +0.264 (18th)

MODERATE · n=378 cohort 57

  • Also strong
  • WEPA per dropback#49 / 58
  • Total weighted-EPA passing#46 / 58
  • Passing yards (total)#48 / 72

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
2,153Pass yards
9Pass TDs
10INT
Per game
179.4Pass yards
1Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
2,332Pass yards
10Pass TDs
11INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 2,153): needs 847/game over remaining 1.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 2,153): needs 1,847/game over remaining 1.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 9): needs 16/game over remaining 1.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 9): needs 21/game over remaining 1.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 9): needs 26/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Ryan Browne's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Purdue, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #492 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 51.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 2,153 9 TD | 10 INT | #81/382 (79th pct)
Completion rate 58.9% 199/338 completions | #232/383 (40th pct)
Yards/attempt 6.4 Explosiveness through the air | #233/382 (39th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume passer | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

High-volume passerDual-threat

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
199 82nd
ATT
338 86th
CMP%
58.9% 40th
Y/A
6.4 39th

Passing Production

YDS
2,153 79th
TD
9 71st
INT
10 8th

Rushing

CAR
66 77th
YDS
206 80th
YPC
3.1 56th
TD
4 82nd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1W 31-0vs Ball State18/263112012.082.7Season-high 311 yds
Wk 2W 34-17vs Southern Illinois14/23170217.479.5
Wk 3L 17-33vs USC24/39305137.827.03 INTs — rough day
Wk 4L 30-56@ Notre Dame21/34250117.470.3
Wk 6L 27-43vs Illinois30/50302106.060.3
Wk 7L 20-27@ Minnesota21/40203025.148.2
Wk 8L 0-19@ Northwestern5/1031003.117.7
Wk 9L 24-27vs Rutgers11/20117105.930.6
Wk 10L 16-21@ Michigan19/24133105.579.1
Wk 11L 10-34vs Ohio State10/1976014.070.8
Wk 12L 13-49@ Washington1/617012.86.7
Wk 14L 3-56vs Indiana25/47238015.145.3
Total199/33821539106.051.5
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Purdue4-8HC: Ryan Walters · Run-leaning
2024Purdue1-11HC: Ryan Walters · Balanced, slow tempo
2025Purdue2-10HC: Barry Odom · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Purdue19933858.9%2,1536.4910115.3----
2024Purdue437656.6%5327.042127.5----
2023Purdue121675.0%1046.502104.6----
Career3 loaded seasons25443059.1%2,7896.51314117.0----
SeasonTeam
2025Purdue662063.14--
2024Purdue501553.10--
2023Purdue21854.00--
Career3 loaded seasons1374463.34--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 206 4 rush TD | #84/408 (80th pct)
Usage 51.4% 83.2% pass share | 14.8% rush share | #68/428 (84th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.25 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #113/200 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 2,153 #81/382 79th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 9 #117/407 71st pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 199 #70/383 82nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 58.9% #232/383 40th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 6.4 #233/382 39th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 206 #84/408 80th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.25 #113/200 44th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 331 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 51.4% #68/428 84th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 338 #58/407 86th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 10 #377/407 8th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 66 #94/408 77th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 26 #127/391 68th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 4 #74/408 82nd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 3.1 #180/407 56th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 83.2% #106/428 75th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 65.3% #77/428 82nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 61.7% #92/428 79th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 52.8% #58/428 87th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 46.3% #59/428 86th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 44.7% #77/428 82nd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 14.8% #104/428 76th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.36 #22/140 85th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 47 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 3 #213/258 18th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home7g2171.06.90.9
Road5g1270.44.80.8

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins2g2402.09.70.5
Losses10g1670.55.30.9

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-76g2571.27.61.2
Weeks 8+6g1020.34.40.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

35Below cohort
8 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: interceptions (14th).

Rush yards#71 / 183 · 61st pct
206rush
Rush TDs#67 / 183 · 59th pct
4rush
Pass yards#81 / 183 · 56th pct
2153pass
Pass TDs#117 / 183 · 33rd pct
9pass
Completion %#130 / 183 · 29th pct
58.9%pass
Yards / att#139 / 183 · 23rd pct
6.4pass
Fumbles lost#132 / 174 · 18th pct
3fumb
Interceptions#153 / 183 · 14th pct
10pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)

Where the throws are landing

128/215 (59.5%) · 7 TD · 6 INT

Short

0–9 yds
47%of completions
60 comp5.8 yds avg1 TD

Middle

10–19 yds
38%of completions
49 comp13.9 yds avg2 TD

Deep

20+ yds
15%of completions
19 comp28.6 yds avg4 TD

Overall 59.5% completion on 215 attempts · 19 deep completions averaging 28.6 yds.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Concerns: EPA / dropback.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback0.250
29th pct
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_passing0.25Low (p25–p50) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.36High (p75–p90) (n=72)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Ryan BrownePurdueMalik WashingtonMaryland· 83% simTa'Quan RobersonBuffalo· 82% simNoah KimEastern Michigan· 81% sim
Rush yards
61
Browne
73
Washington
49
Roberson
59
Kim
Rush TDs
59
Browne
59
Washington
49
Roberson
74
Kim
Pass yards
56
Browne
79
Washington
68
Roberson
76
Kim
Pass TDs
33
Browne
68
Washington
68
Roberson
72
Kim
Completion %
29
Browne
20
Washington
22
Roberson
42
Kim
Yards / att
23
Browne
21
Washington
49
Roberson
46
Kim
Fumbles lost
18
Browne
38
Washington
8
Roberson
18
Kim
Interceptions
14
Browne
22
Washington
5
Roberson
10
Kim

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Pocket Passer

Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.

QB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Tayven Jackson’s 2025 season.

Tayven Jackson

77%match

UCF · 2025

#2

Hudson Card

Purdue · 2023

66%
#3

Ben Gulbranson

Oregon State · 2022

66%
#4

Grant Wells

Marshall · 2020

All-Conference USA
60%
#5

Rocky Lombardi

Northern Illinois · 2023

64%

Matches Tayven on

INT rate
Completion %

Differs from Tayven on

Recruiting rating (lower)
Class year (lower)
Rush yards / carry (higher)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Joe Fagnano’s path through UConn.

Joe Fagnano

92%match

UConn · 2025

#2

Darren Grainger

Georgia State · 2023

90%
#3

Hayden Wolff

Western Michigan · 2024

85%
#4

Kedon Slovis

BYU · 2023

85%
#5

Riley Leonard

Notre Dame · 2024

NFL Rd 6
84%

Matches Joe on

Height
Yards per attempt
Completion %

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jalen Mayden's junior season at San Diego State (2023).

Jalen Mayden

58%match

San Diego State · 2023

#2

Jack Layne

New Mexico · 2025

57%
#3

Jackson Brousseau

Colorado State · 2025

56%
#4

Matthew Caldwell

Troy · 2024

54%
#5

Riley Leonard

Duke · 2023

NFL Rd 6
54%

Matches Jalen on

Yards / attempt
Height

Differs from Jalen on

Class year (lower)
Rush usage (lower)
Weight (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Barry Odom

Pass share

52.0%

404 pass / 373 run

Plays / game

64.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.9%

348 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Ryan Walters
Purdue
2024
Ryan Walters
Purdue
2025
Barry Odom
Purdue
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Ryan Walters → Barry Odom. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownClarkston, MI
Height6'4"
Weight210 lb
Class2
PositionQB
Jersey15

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Purdue QB2 #492 #682 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Purdue QB2 #1223 #1366 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Purdue Big Ten QB 2 No. 15 | 6-4 | 210 lb | Clarkston, MI
2024 Purdue Big Ten QB 2 No. 15 | 6-4 | 210 lb | Clarkston, MI
2023 Purdue Big Ten QB 2 No. 15 | 6-4 | 210 lb | Clarkston, MI