cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Ryan Manning /Maryland

Ryan Manning

WR · Maryland · So · #11

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

25 REC YDS · 3 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Maryland for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Maryland for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Maryland

Returning around him

  • 13% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 1 Maryland player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -1 net (15 in / 16 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Maryland · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #52 · 2026 recruiting class #25

WR · MARYLAND · BIG TEN

Ryan Manning

  • 2
  • #11
  • 5-11 | 191 lb
  • Glenn Dale, MD

CFB Zeitgeist Score

3

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 7th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2020

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
18.02023
28.02024
25.02025

+39%

Up 39% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1166 national
CFB
College
Maryland
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#1 in market ▲ from #2 · 5 books

+70012.5% implied▼ lengthened from +650

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class2
Jersey11
Measurements5-11 | 191 lb
HometownGlenn Dale, MD
Primary teamMaryland

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1166 recruit
Composite rating 0.8583 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2023
Origin St. Frances Academy Baltimore, MD, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8583 No. 1166 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2020Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2142Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8583

#1166 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Ryan Manning

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Ryan Manning

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 2g
25Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
12.5Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
162.5Rec yards
20Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 25): needs 61.4/game over remaining 11.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 25): needs 88.6/game over remaining 11.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 3): needs 5.2/game over remaining 11.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 3): needs 7/game over remaining 11.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 0.7/game over remaining 11.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 0.9/game over remaining 11.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Ryan Manning's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Maryland, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2020 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 3 0 rec TD | #811/1110 (27th pct)
Receiving yards 25 8.3 per catch | #892/1107 (20th pct)
Scrimmage yards 25 Total offensive yardage | #892/1107 (20th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
3 27th
YDS
25 20th
YPR
8.3 18th
TD
0 45th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 2 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 39-7vs Florida Atlantic144.004
Wk 3W 44-17vs Towson22110.5013Season-high 21 yds
Total3257.2013
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Maryland8-5HC: Mike Locksley · Pass-leaning
2024Maryland4-8HC: Mike Locksley · Pass-leaning
2025Maryland4-8HC: Mike Locksley · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Maryland3258.30--
2024Maryland3289.30--
2023Maryland2189.00--
Career3 loaded seasons8718.90--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 3.4% 6.4% pass-game share | #743/1137 (35th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #615/1111 (45th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 3 #811/1110 27th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 25 #892/1107 20th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #615/1111 45th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 8.3 #903/1106 18th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 6.4% #743/1137 35th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 13 #899/1105 19th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 6.5% #504/1137 56th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 6.1% #586/1137 49th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.1% #633/1137 44th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 3.4% #696/1137 39th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 2.0% #884/1137 22nd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 1.6% #938/1137 18th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 2 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home2g1.512.57.20.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins2g1.512.57.20.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-72g1.512.57.20.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

3Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (0th).

Rec TDs#482 / 558 · 7th pct
0rece
Yards / catch#528 / 558 · 5th pct
8.3rece
Long catch#554 / 558 · 1st pct
13rece
Rec yards#559 / 558 · 0th pct
25rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
3rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Ryan ManningMarylandMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 47% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 42% simAaron TurnerRice· 39% sim
Rec TDs
7
Manning
24
III
7
Gibson
68
Turner
Yards / catch
5
Manning
9
III
15
Gibson
1
Turner
Long catch
1
Manning
16
III
56
Gibson
65
Turner
Rec yards
0
Manning
70
III
74
Gibson
48
Turner
Receptions
0
Manning
92
III
92
Gibson
92
Turner

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mike Locksley

Pass share

61.9%

491 pass / 302 run

Plays / game

66.1

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

2.3%

383 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Mike Locksley
Maryland
2024
Mike Locksley
Maryland
2025
Mike Locksley
Maryland

Played his entire career under Mike Locksley.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownGlenn Dale, MD
Height5'11"
Weight191 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Maryland WR2 #2020 #2142 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Maryland WR2 #2960 #2897 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Maryland Big Ten WR 2 No. 11 | 5-11 | 191 lb | Glenn Dale, MD
2024 Maryland Big Ten WR 2 No. 11 | 5-11 | 191 lb | Glenn Dale, MD
2023 Maryland Big Ten WR 2 No. 11 | 5-11 | 191 lb | Glenn Dale, MD