CFB Zeitgeist Score
67
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 90th percentile.
Jacob Clark
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
3,244 PASS YDS · 28 PASS TD · -16 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Missouri State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Quarterback · Missouri State
Returning around him
- Transfer portal: +8 net (19 in / 11 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Missouri State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #129 · 2026 recruiting class #133
QB · MISSOURI STATE · CONFERENCE USA
Jacob Clark
- 4
- #12
- 6-5 | 220 lb
- Rockwall, TX
Heisman Heat
#1343
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR05 · Part-time starter
Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Missouri State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 3-star | 0.8889 | No. 447 recruit | HighSchool | Minnesota |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2021 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 20Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 3244 passing yards — clears the 2,500-QB volume bar.
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in passing yards (3244).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Minnesota
Composite
0.8889
#447 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jacob Clark
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jacob Clark
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 12g
3,244Pass yards
28Pass TDs
11INT
Per game
270.3Pass yards
2Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
3,514Pass yards
30Pass TDs
12INT
✓ Hit 3,000-yard season · finished with 3,244.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 3,244): needs 756/game over remaining 1.
✓ Hit 25 passing TDs · finished with 28.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 28): needs 2/game over remaining 1.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 28): needs 7/game over remaining 1.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Jacob Clark already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-volume passer | Efficient | Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
247 91st
ATT
376 90th
CMP%
65.7% 68th
Y/A
8.6 84th
Passing Production
YDS
3,244 95th
TD
28 97th
INT
11 5th
Rushing
CAR
94 85th
YDS
-16 8th
YPC
-0.2 16th
TD
3 77th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 13-73@ USC | 16/24 | 147 | 1 | 2 | 6.1 | 18.9 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 2 | W 21-20@ Marshall | 21/31 | 359 | 3 | 1 | 11.6 | 51.3 | Season-high 359 yds |
| Wk 3 | L 10-28vs SMU | 23/37 | 275 | 1 | 3 | 7.4 | 29.2 | 3 INTs — rough day |
| Wk 4 | W 42-10vs UT Martin | 20/28 | 271 | 3 | 0 | 9.7 | 72.5 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 5 | L 22-27vs Western Kentucky | 8/15 | 143 | 0 | 0 | 9.5 | 50.7 | |
| Wk 9 | W 24-17@ New Mexico State | 28/44 | 283 | 3 | 2 | 6.4 | 41.8 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 10 | W 28-21vs Florida International | 16/27 | 163 | 2 | 0 | 6.0 | 63.4 | |
| Wk 11 | W 21-17@ Liberty | 20/33 | 286 | 2 | 0 | 8.7 | 61.1 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 12 | W 38-24vs UTEP | 30/39 | 330 | 4 | 0 | 8.5 | 76.8 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 13 | L 34-41@ Kennesaw State | 23/32 | 344 | 3 | 2 | 10.8 | 70.4 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 14 | L 30-42vs Louisiana Tech | 17/31 | 294 | 2 | 1 | 9.5 | 70.0 | |
| Bowl | L 28-34@ Arkansas State | 25/35 | 349 | 4 | 0 | 10.0 | 42.6 | |
| Total | 247/376 | 3244 | 28 | 11 | 8.7 | 54.1 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025Missouri State7-6HC: Ryan Beard · Balanced
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Missouri State | 247 | 376 | 65.7% | 3,244 | 8.6 | 28 | 11 | 156.9 | -- | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 247 | 376 | 65.7% | 3,244 | 8.6 | 28 | 11 | 156.9 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Missouri State | 94 | -16 | -0.2 | 3 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 94 | -16 | -0.2 | 3 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 3,244 | #22/382 | 95th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 28 | #12/407 | 97th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 247 | #37/383 | 91st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 65.7% | #123/383 | 68th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 8.6 | #63/382 | 84th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | -16 | #375/408 | 8th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.26 | #109/200 | 46th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 369 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 54.1% | #48/428 | 89th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 376 | #41/407 | 90th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 11 | #386/407 | 5th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 94 | #61/408 | 85th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 14 | #232/391 | 41st pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 3 | #94/408 | 77th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | -0.2 | #341/407 | 16th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 87.2% | #84/428 | 81st pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 71.2% | #34/428 | 92nd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 68.0% | #57/428 | 87th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 53.9% | #52/428 | 88th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 47.6% | #48/428 | 89th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 46.6% | #54/428 | 88th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 14.4% | #110/428 | 75th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.22 | #83/140 | 41st pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 36 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #69/258 | 74th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 246 | 2.0 | 8.4 | 0.7 |
| Road6g | 295 | 2.7 | 8.9 | 1.2 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins6g | 282 | 2.8 | 8.5 | 0.5 |
| Losses6g | 259 | 1.8 | 8.9 | 1.3 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 257 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 283 | 2.7 | 8.3 | 0.8 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
67Solid starter
Elite: pass tds (92nd). Strength: yards / att (89th). Concern: interceptions (9th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 yds44%of completions
34 comp5.1 yds avg4 TD
Middle
10–19 yds29%of completions
23 comp14.6 yds avg1 TD
Deep
20+ yds27%of completions
21 comp31.9 yds avg3 TD
Overall 60.9% completion on 128 attempts · 21 deep completions averaging 31.9 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2021
Percentile Card
Reads as a mid-tier profile across the board..
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.26Low (p25–p50) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.22Low (p25–p50) (n=72)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Jacob ClarkMissouri StateJosh HooverTCU· 88% simDrew MestemakerNorth Texas· 85% simCarson BeckMiami· 85% sim
Pass TDs
Yards / att
Pass yards
Completion %
Fumbles lost
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Interceptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Air Raid Cannon
Elite arm talent, pushing downfield. Completion rate is the variable.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jack Plummer’s 2023 season.
Jack Plummer
66%match
All-ACC
#2
Max Johnson
64%
#3
Desmond Ridder
All-AACNFL Rd 3 · Pk 10
63%
#4
Tyler Van Dyke
63%
#5
Joey Labas
59%
Matches Jack on
EPA / dropback (adj)
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Weight
Differs from Jack on
TD rate (higher)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Garrett Shrader's junior season at Syracuse (2022).
Garrett Shrader
59%match
#2
Will Levis
All-SECNFL Rd 2 · Pk 2
58%
#3
Joey Labas
57%
#4
Donovan Smith
51%
#5
Will Howard
All-Big TenNFL Rd 6
50%
Matches Garrett on
Height
Differs from Garrett on
Rush yards / carry (lower)
Rush usage (lower)
TD rate (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Ryan Beard
Pass share
51.9%
433 pass / 401 run
Plays / game
64.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
13.0%
307 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Ryan Beard
Missouri State
Played his entire career under Ryan Beard.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownRockwall, TX
Height6'5"
Weight220 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey12
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamMissouri State
ConferenceConference USA
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-Conference USA
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-Conference USA | all_conference | Missouri State | Conference USA | QB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Minnesota | QB4 | #1343 | #1135 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big Ten |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Missouri State | Conference USA | QB | 4 | No. 12 | 6-5 | 220 lb | Rockwall, TX |
| 2021 | Minnesota | Big Ten | QB | 4 | No. 12 | 6-5 | 220 lb | Rockwall, TX |