cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jadyn Ott /Oklahoma

Jadyn Ott

RB · Oklahoma · Sr

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

68 RUSH YDS · 0 RUSH TD · 21 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Oklahoma for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Oklahoma for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Oklahoma

Returning around him

  • 53% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 7 Oklahoma players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -13 net (16 in / 29 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Oklahoma · Last season: 10-3 (AP #8) · Talent rank #14 · 2026 recruiting class #17

RB · OKLAHOMA · SEC

Jadyn Ott

  • 4
  • 5-11 | 208 lb
  • Chino, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

2

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 6th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#183

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2022–2025
8962022
1,3102023
3852024
68.02025

-92%

Sharp dropoff (-92%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#274 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey--
Measurements5-11 | 208 lb
HometownChino, CA
Primary teamOklahoma

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 274 recruit
Composite rating 0.9049 HighSchool
Signed with California 2022
Origin Norco Norco, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.9049 No. 274 recruit | HighSchool | California

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#183Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#225Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to California

Composite

0.9049

#274 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jadyn Ott

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jadyn Ott

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 5g
68Rush yards
21Carries
0Rush TDs
Per game
13.6Rush yards
4Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
176.8Rush yards
55Carries
0Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 68): needs 85.2/game over remaining 8.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 68): needs 116.5/game over remaining 8.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 68): needs 179/game over remaining 8.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 1.2/game over remaining 8.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 1.9/game over remaining 8.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 2.5/game over remaining 8.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jadyn Ott's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Oklahoma, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #183 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 7.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 274 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 78 68 rush | 10 rec | #483/735 (34th pct)
Rush TD 0 21 carries | #447/739 (40th pct)
Yards/carry 3.2 Per-rush efficiency | #611/735 (17th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
21 40th
YDS
68 34th
YPC
3.2 17th
TD
0 40th

Receiving

REC
2 25th
YDS
10 17th
YPR
5.0 26th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 5 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 35-3vs Illinois State1-3-3.000
Wk 2W 24-13vs Michigan492.304
Wk 3W 42-3@ Temple4112.805
Wk 6W 44-0vs Kent State11494.5012Season-high 49 yds
Wk 7L 6-23@ Texas122.002
Total21681.7012
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022California4-8HC: Justin Wilcox · Pass-leaning
2023California6-7HC: Justin Wilcox · Run-leaning
2024California6-7HC: Justin Wilcox · Balanced
2025Oklahoma10-3HC: Brent Venables · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Oklahoma21683.20--
2024California1163853.34--
2023California2451,3105.312--
2022California1698965.38--
Career4 loaded seasons5512,6594.824--
SeasonTeam
2025Oklahoma2105.00--
2024California242229.21--
2023California261967.52--
2022California463227.03--
Career4 loaded seasons987507.76--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 2 10 rec yds | #414/552 (25th pct)
Usage 7.0% 12.1% rush share | #431/738 (42nd pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.07 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #263/362 (28th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 68 #483/735 34th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #447/739 40th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 3.2 #611/735 17th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 2 #414/552 25th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 10 #454/548 17th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.07 #263/362 28th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 92 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 7.0% #431/738 42nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 21 #442/739 40th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 12 #531/733 28th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 14 #323/540 40th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 5.0 #406/548 26th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 1.0 #195/199 3rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 1 #196/200 2nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 1 #139/206 33rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 12.1% #418/738 43rd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 8.6% #400/738 46th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 8.0% #428/738 42nd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 7.8% #432/738 42nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 4.7% #476/738 36th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 2.9% #553/738 25th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 2.2% #386/738 48th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 5 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home3g18.31.30.0
Road2g6.52.40.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins4g16.51.60.0
Losses1g2.02.00.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-75g13.61.70.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

2Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: carries (0th).

Rec yards#318 / 338 · 6th pct
10rece
Receptions#318 / 338 · 5th pct
2rece
Rush TDs#326 / 349 · 3rd pct
0rush
Yards / carry#338 / 349 · 3rd pct
3.2rush
Long run#347 / 349 · 1st pct
12rush
Rush yards#350 / 349 · 0th pct
68rush
Carries#350 / 349 · 0th pct
21rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Jadyn OttOklahomaJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 43% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 43% simTae MeadowsTroy· 42% sim
Rec yards
6
Ott
3
Brunson
10
Wright
38
Meadows
Receptions
5
Ott
2
Brunson
32
Wright
45
Meadows
Rush TDs
3
Ott
50
Brunson
62
Wright
72
Meadows
Yards / carry
3
Ott
41
Brunson
33
Wright
29
Meadows
Long run
1
Ott
73
Brunson
49
Wright
53
Meadows
Rush yards
0
Ott
80
Brunson
84
Wright
74
Meadows
Carries
0
Ott
85
Brunson
92
Wright
84
Meadows

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Brent Venables

Pass share

50.4%

429 pass / 423 run

Plays / game

65.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.0%

345 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Brent Venables
Oklahoma
2023
Brent Venables
Oklahoma
2024
Brent Venables
Oklahoma
2025
Brent Venables
Oklahoma

Played his entire career under Brent Venables.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownChino, CA
Height5'11"
Weight208 lb
Class4
PositionRB

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 California RB4 #183 #225 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 California RB4 #181 #313 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12
2022 California RB4 #237 #441 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Oklahoma SEC RB 4 5-11 | 208 lb | Chino, CA
2024 California ACC RB 4 5-11 | 208 lb | Chino, CA
2023 California Pac-12 RB 4 5-11 | 208 lb | Chino, CA
2022 California Pac-12 RB 4 5-11 | 208 lb | Chino, CA