CFB Zeitgeist Score
42
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 91st percentile.
Jalen Moss
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
273 REC YDS · 16 REC · 1 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Arizona State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Wide receiver · Arizona State
Returning around him
- 70% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 4 Arizona State players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: +3 net (24 in / 21 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Arizona State · Last season: 8-5 (AP #24) · Talent rank #33 · 2026 recruiting class #44
WR · ARIZONA STATE · BIG 12
Jalen Moss
- 3
- #18
- 6-1 | 185 lb
- Menlo Park, CA
Heisman Heat
#4198
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR04 · Rotational
Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2023–2025-61%
Sharp dropoff (-61%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8778 | No. 615 recruit | HighSchool | Fresno State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Fresno State
Composite
0.8778
#615 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jalen Moss
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jalen Moss
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 6g
273Rec yards
16Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
45.5Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
591.5Rec yards
35Receptions
2Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 273): needs 61/game over remaining 7.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 273): needs 103.9/game over remaining 7.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 16): needs 6.3/game over remaining 7.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 16): needs 9.1/game over remaining 7.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1/game over remaining 7.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.3/game over remaining 7.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Jalen Moss already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
16 58th
YDS
273 65th
YPR
17.1 87th
TD
1 64th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 6 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 7 | L 10-42@ Utah | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 9 | L 16-24vs Houston | 2 | 26 | 13.0 | 0 | 18 | |
| Wk 10 | W 24-19@ Iowa State | 3 | 52 | 17.3 | 0 | 38 | |
| Wk 12 | W 25-23vs West Virginia | 3 | 41 | 13.7 | 0 | 25 | |
| Wk 14 | L 7-23vs Arizona | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | 0 | 10 | |
| Bowl | L 39-42@ Duke | 5 | 129 | 25.8 | 1 | 51 | |
| Total | 16 | 273 | 14.5 | 1 | 51 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Fresno State9-4HC: Jeff Tedford · Pass-leaning
2025Arizona State8-5HC: Kenny Dillingham · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arizona State | 16 | 273 | 17.1 | 1 | -- |
| 2023 | Fresno State | 55 | 706 | 12.8 | 6 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 71 | 979 | 13.8 | 7 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 16 | #465/1110 | 58th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 273 | #383/1107 | 65th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #396/1111 | 64th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 17.1 | #145/1106 | 87th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 11.9% | #383/1137 | 66th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 51 | #260/1105 | 77th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 9.9% | #245/1137 | 79th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 8.8% | #183/1137 | 84th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 5.3% | #452/1137 | 60th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 4.1% | #722/1137 | 37th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 3.1% | #692/1137 | 39th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 2.9% | #696/1137 | 39th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/1137 | 66th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #131/302 | 57th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 6 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home3g | 2.0 | 25.7 | 12.2 | 0.0 |
| Road3g | 3.3 | 65.3 | 16.9 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins2g | 3.0 | 46.5 | 15.5 | 0.0 |
| Losses4g | 2.5 | 45.0 | 14.1 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-72g | 3.5 | 72.0 | 16.6 | 0.5 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 2.2 | 32.2 | 13.5 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
42Mid-pack
Elite: yards / catch (90th). Concern: receptions (15th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Jalen MossArizona StateHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 56% simSean WilsonDelaware· 54% simNik McMillanBuffalo· 53% sim
Yards / catch
Long catch
Fumbles lost
Rec yards
Rec TDs
Receptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Deep Threat
Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Charles Robertson’s 2025 season.
Charles Robertson
84%match
#2
Davis Koetter
81%
#3
Corey Smith
77%
#4
Mark Walker
74%
#5
RJ Garcia II
74%
Matches Charles on
Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
Differs from Charles on
Recruiting rating (higher)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Joshua Harris’s path through Furman.
Joshua Harris
98%match
#2
Jalen McDonald
96%
#3
Donovan Brown
95%
#4
R.J. Sneed
94%
#5
DeVontres Dukes
94%
Matches Joshua on
Yards per reception
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to RJ Garcia II's junior season at Kansas State (2023).
RJ Garcia II
75%match
#2
Tre Shackelford
72%
#3
Caleb Goodie
72%
#4
Tim Grear Jr.
71%
#5
Austin Upshaw
68%
Matches RJ on
TD rate
Weight
Height
Differs from RJ on
Class year (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Kenny Dillingham
Pass share
47.1%
429 pass / 482 run
Plays / game
70.1
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.8%
345 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Kenny Dillingham
Arizona State
2025
Kenny Dillingham
Arizona State
Played his entire career under Kenny Dillingham.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownMenlo Park, CA
Height6'1"
Weight185 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey18
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamArizona State
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2024)
All-Mountain West
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | All-Mountain West | all_conference | Fresno State | Mountain West | RET |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Fresno State | WR3 | #4198 | #4095 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2023 | Fresno State | WR3 | #729 | #839 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2022 | Fresno State | WR3 | #2811 | #2470 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arizona State | Big 12 | WR | 3 | No. 18 | 6-1 | 185 lb | Menlo Park, CA |
| 2024 | Fresno State | Mountain West | WR | 3 | No. 18 | 6-1 | 185 lb | Menlo Park, CA |
| 2023 | Fresno State | Mountain West | WR | 3 | No. 18 | 6-1 | 185 lb | Menlo Park, CA |
| 2022 | Fresno State | Mountain West | WR | 3 | No. 18 | 6-1 | 185 lb | Menlo Park, CA |