CFB Zeitgeist WR Score
Awaiting
Jaylin Noel
Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.
Where He Ended Up · NFL
HoustonEntering 2nd NFL season
#79Rd 3 · Pick 15
HoustonEntering 2nd NFL season
WR · IOWA STATE · BIG 12
Jaylin Noel
- 4
- #13
- 5-10 | 200 lb
- Kansas City, MO
Heisman Heat
#1926
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 0 · Not on teamR01 · Scout team / redshirt
Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
3 seasons on the ladder
2021
Iowa State · WR
—
2022
Iowa State · WR
—
★
2023
Iowa State · WR
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
NFL Draft 2025 · Rd 3, Pick 15 · #79 overall · Houston
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2021–2023+209%
Up 209% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Iowa State
NFL
NFL Draft
R3 · #79
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
NFL Draft
2025 · Rd 3, Pick 15
#79 overall · Houston
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jaylin Noel
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jaylin Noel
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Jaylin Noel already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2023 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2023 season snapshot | final
2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Target magnet | All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2023 Season · Final
2023 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
66 97th
YDS
820 94th
YPR
12.4 55th
TD
7 97th
Rushing
CAR
1 35th
YDS
-1 18th
YPC
-1.0 16th
TD
0 81st
Returns
KR YDS
245 80th
KR AVG
27.2 89th
PR YDS
119 79th
PR AVG
8.5 56th
Game Log
Week-by-week box
No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Iowa State7-5HC: Matt Campbell · Balanced, fast tempo
2022Iowa State4-8HC: Matt Campbell · Pass-leaning
2023Iowa State7-6HC: Matt Campbell · Balanced, slow tempo
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Iowa State | 66 | 820 | 12.4 | 7 | -- |
| 2022 | Iowa State | 61 | 609 | 10.0 | 3 | -- |
| 2021 | Iowa State | 38 | 265 | 7.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 165 | 1,694 | 10.3 | 10 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Iowa State | 1 | -1 | 245 | 119 | -- |
| 2022 | Iowa State | 3 | 47 | 237 | 56 | -- |
| 2021 | Iowa State | -- | -- | 286 | 92 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 4 | 46 | 768 | 267 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 66 | #32/1110 | 97th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 820 | #62/1107 | 94th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 7 | #37/1111 | 97th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 12.4 | #504/1106 | 55th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 245 | #48/238 | 80th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return yards | 119 | #47/224 | 79th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 10.3% | #475/1137 | 58th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 1 | #264/407 | 35th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #81/411 | 81st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | -1 | #328/397 | 18th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | -1.0 | #333/393 | 16th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 82 | #22/1105 | 98th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 27.2 | #28/236 | 89th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt returns | 14 | #42/237 | 83rd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick returns | 9 | #59/243 | 76th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return avg | 8.5 | #99/222 | 56th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 8.2% | #361/1137 | 68th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 7.7% | #406/1137 | 64th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 5.8% | #345/1137 | 70th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 5.6% | #410/1137 | 64th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 4.7% | #420/1137 | 63rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 3.5% | #727/1137 | 36th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/1137 | 66th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/302 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits
Per-game splits
Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Matt Campbell
Pass share
42.4%
345 pass / 469 run
Plays / game
67.8
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.8%
296 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023
1 coach2021
Matt Campbell
Iowa State
2022
Matt Campbell
Iowa State
2023
Matt Campbell
Iowa State
Played his entire career under Matt Campbell.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownKansas City, MO
Height5'10"
Weight200 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey13
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamIowa State
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2024
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2023)
All-Big 12
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | All-Big 12 | all_conference | Iowa State | Big 12 | WR |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Iowa State | WR4 | #1926 | #1647 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2023 | Iowa State | WR4 | #333 | #396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2022 | Iowa State | WR4 | #869 | #1164 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2021 | Iowa State | WR4 | #1500 | #1499 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big 12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Iowa State | Big 12 | WR | 4 | No. 13 | 5-10 | 200 lb | Kansas City, MO |
| 2023 | Iowa State | Big 12 | WR | 4 | No. 13 | 5-10 | 200 lb | Kansas City, MO |
| 2022 | Iowa State | Big 12 | WR | 4 | No. 13 | 5-10 | 200 lb | Kansas City, MO |
| 2021 | Iowa State | Big 12 | WR | 4 | No. 13 | 5-10 | 200 lb | Kansas City, MO |