Joel Stave

QB · Wisconsin 2015 · #2

Last confirmed: Wisconsin, 2015. No 2026 box-score games on record.

6′5″ · Greenfield, WI

Joel Stave: QB · Wisconsin · #2.

Players he’s like

Closest statistical matches, adjusted for opponent strength.

Quinten DormadyCentral Michigan · 2019 · 73% season match
Patrick O'BrienColorado State · 2019 · 68% season match
Sean MannionOregon State · 2014 · 67% season match
Luke FalkWashington State · 2014 · 62% season match
Justin WorleyTennessee · 2014 · 62% season match

Joel Stave

QB · Wisconsin · #2

Operates within the system without forcing anything. Joel Stave has been at Wisconsin through two head coaches in two seasons. One game to point at: 322 passing yards and 4 rushing yards against Purdue — Week 7, 2015.

How he plays

Play style

Balanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile.

Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long

Where the completions actually land

31.7%Completion %

11.1%Conversion/dropback

61.5%Land short of sticks

2INTs

31.7% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 11.1% conversion-per-dropback — 61.5% of completions land short of the sticks.

Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. checkdown by design

Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration

Who gets the tough yard

1/26Inside-5 share

1 of the team's 26 inside-the-5 carries (3.8%).

News and fans

No outlet on our list has written about him by name this season.

Wisconsin in the news

Court grants injunction for eligibilityOct 23
Wisconsin reveals Week 8 depth chartOct 19
UCLA seeks first win over Wisconsin since 1982UCLA Wire Oct 16
Wisconsin releases depth chart for UCLA gameYahoo Sports Oct 12

Where to follow him

Career stats

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Season	Team
2015	Wisconsin	225	370	60.8%	2,687	7.3	11	11	125.7	65
2014	Wisconsin	110	206	53.4%	1,350	6.6	9	10	113.2	56
Career		335	576	58.2%	4,037	7.0	20	21	121.2	62

Season	Team
2015	Wisconsin	33	−123	−3.7	1
2014	Wisconsin	13	−70	−5.4	0
Career		46	−193	−4.2	1

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2015 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Wk	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	Note
Wk 1	L 17-35@ No. 3 Alabama	26/39	228	2	1	5.8	76.0
Wk 2	W 58-0vs Miami (OH)	19/30	236	3	1	7.9	72.4	3 TD passes
Wk 3	W 28-3vs Troy	13/17	202	1	0	11.9	97.5
Wk 4	W 28-0vs Hawai'i	14/23	164	1	0	7.1	58.2
Wk 5	L 6-10vs Iowa	21/38	234	0	2	6.2	10.4
Wk 6	W 23-21@ Nebraska	24/50	322	1	0	6.4	71.2	Season-high 322 yds
Wk 7	W 24-7vs Purdue	30/39	322	0	1	8.3	74.9
Wk 8	W 24-13@ Illinois	3/7	49	0	0	7.0	48.9
Wk 9	W 48-10vs Rutgers	13/25	217	1	2	8.7	69.6
Wk 10	W 31-24@ Maryland	15/24	188	1	1	7.8	54.2
Wk 12	L 7-13vs No. 20 Northwestern	20/34	229	0	2	6.7	14.5
Wk 13	W 31-21@ Minnesota	9/17	79	0	1	4.6	23.4
Bowl	W 23-21vs USC	18/27	217	1	0	8.0	91.4
Total		225/370	2687	11	11	7.3	—

Signature game

Week 6 · 2015

W 23-21

at Nebraska

322 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT · QBR 71.2

A wire-to-wire battle — won by 2 on the road.

With D. Meyer — 38.5 yards per punt · 6 punts · 60 long · A. Erickson — 7 rec · 113 yds

Signature plays

The plays that mattered most

Week 9 · Rutgers · 3rd and 3 · Q3 · EPA −8.94Joel Stave pass intercepted for a TD Blessuan Austin return for 50 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)
Week 13 · Minnesota · 1st and 10 · Q1 · EPA −7.51Joel Stave pass intercepted for a TD Briean Boddy-Calhoun return for 16 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)
Week 5 · Iowa · 2nd and 1 · Q4 · EPA −5.10Joel Stave run for a loss of 4 yards to the Iowa 5 Joel Stave fumbled, recovered by Iowa Faith Ekakitie
Week 9 · Rutgers · 4th and 7 · Q2 · EPA +4.86Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 31 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
Week 9 · Rutgers · 1st and 10 · Q3 · EPA −4.21Joel Stave pass intercepted Kaiwan Lewis return for no gain to the Rutgr 2
Week 7 · Purdue · 3rd and 13 · Q1 · EPA −3.54Joel Stave pass intercepted Leroy Clark return for 66 yds to the Wisc 29

4 more plays

Week 12 · Northwestern · 3rd and 8 · Q1 · EPA +3.45Joel Stave pass complete to Tanner McEvoy for 23 yds to the Nwest 38 for a
Week 13 · Minnesota · 3rd and 6 · Q3 · EPA +3.45Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 26 yds to the Minn 38 for a
Week 5 · Iowa · 2nd and 15 · Q3 · EPA +3.33Joel Stave pass complete to Austin Traylor for 22 yds to the Iowa 42 for a
Week 4 · Hawai'i · 3rd and 11 · Q3 · EPA +3.19Joel Stave pass complete to Austin Traylor for 12 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

Passing profile

Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

225/370 (60.8%) · 11 TD · 11 INT

364 of 370 attempts matched to play-by-play

Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 364 passing plays (220 completions) against the box score's 370 attempts (225 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.

Adjusted ANY/A

5.9196 of 198 QBs

Sack rate

5.4%81 of 198 QBs

Rarely sacked (81 of 198 QBs) and still 96 of 198 in Adjusted ANY/A.

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Short

0–9 yds

43%of completions

95 comp5.2 yds avg2 TD

Middle

10–19 yds

40%of completions

87 comp13.5 yds avg2 TD

Deep

20+ yds

17%of completions

38 comp25.9 yds avg2 TD

Overall 60.8% completion on 370 attempts · 38 deep completions averaging 25.9 yds.

Situational

Is he a different quarterback when it matters

Each situation vs his own 2015 baseline

No situation moves him more than 18 percentile points from his baseline.

BaselineThis situation

Down 1

-18 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 7/124 (5.6%) · league sack rate 4.8%

Down 2

+14 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 7/124 (5.6%) · league sack rate 5.0%

Down 3+

+6 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 6/105 (5.7%) · league sack rate 8.3%

Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.

Teams and coaches

2014Wisconsin11-3HC: Gary Andersen · Run-heavy

2015Wisconsin10-3HC: Paul Chryst · Run-leaning

Our ratings

Show the ratings

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

12 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: rush yards (2nd percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Success rate#46 / 176 · 74th pct

44.1%

Sack rate#68 / 176 · 61st pct

5.5%

Explosive rate#73 / 176 · 59th pct

10.4%

EPA / dropback#77 / 176 · 57th pct

0.22

Interception rate#107 / 176 · 39th pct

3.0%

Box-score rates (7)

Pass yards#47 / 167 · 72nd pct

2687

Completion %#63 / 167 · 62nd pct

60.8%

Yards / att#76 / 167 · 53rd pct

7.3

Pass TDs#91 / 167 · 44th pct

Rush TDs#100 / 167 · 29th pct

Interceptions#136 / 167 · 16th pct

Rush yards#164 / 167 · 2nd pct

-123

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / dropback

34th → 57th percentile

Success rate

51st → 74th percentile

Explosive rate

21st → 59th percentile

Sack rate

70th → 61st percentile

Interception rate

8th → 39th percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Zeitgeist Passer Rating

2015 · our own passing-efficiency number, shown next to the 1979 formula it does not replace.

High confidence: 353 dropbacks

65Zeitgeist Passer Rating31st of 137 FBS QBs

NCAA passer rating 125.7 88th of 137 FBS QBs

ZPR ranks him 57 places higher than passer rating does: he produces positive plays and yards per attempt at a higher rate than his box line suggests.

Positive-play rate weight 24%

51.1%90th pct of FBS QBs

share of dropbacks that gained expected points · +0.1% schedule adj.

Yards per attempt weight 56%

7.4463th pct of FBS QBs

sacks excluded · +0.1 schedule adj.

Sack rate weight 21% (penalty)

5.4%63th pct of FBS QBs

the input passer rating cannot see · -0.3% schedule adj.

Opponent-adjusted; garbage time excluded (29 of 382 dropbacks dropped). 50 = FBS average; the number is pulled toward 50 when the sample is thin. How ZPR is built.

Splits

Home and road splits, scheme and staff

Splits · Per-game

2015 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home7g	229	0.9	8.1	1.1
Road4g	160	0.5	6.5	0.5

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-78g	241	1.1	7.7	0.6
Weeks 8+5g	152	0.4	7.0	1.2

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2015 season

Head Coach

Paul Chryst

Pass share

45.2%

417 pass / 505 run

Plays / game

70.9

13 games

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Awards

Player standing · 2015

Impact starter

370 pass attempts and 33 carries in 13 games, fewer passes and runs a game than most FBS quarterbacks who play every week.

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex