CFB Zeitgeist Score
73
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 97th percentile.
Jonah Coleman
Jonah Coleman is on trial in Washington's fan jury — the eye test against the résumé.
RUSHING VALUE · WEPA
+0.20
via your WEPA model · 2025 · 148 plays
Washington fans keep putting his case on trial, week to week.
Minority viewA vocal minority sees it the other way.
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
Where He Ended Up · NFL
Denver2026 NFL rookie season
RB · WASHINGTON · BIG TEN
CFB Zeitgeist Score
73
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 97th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#66
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterImpact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
4 seasons on the ladder
2022
Arizona · RB
—
2023
Arizona · RB
—
2024
Washington · RB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
2025
Washington · RB
—
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2022–2025Up 104% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8848 | No. 494 recruit | HighSchool | Arizona |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Arizona
Composite
0.8848
#494 national
NFL Draft
2026 · Rd 4, Pick 8
#108 overall · Denver
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
58
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Rival Radar
Only 1 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
11.4
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
Why it matters
#322 of 531 All FBS WRs at 11.4 yards per reception (31 catches).
Vs cohort
HIGH · n=31 cohort 531
Signature Moment
Week 4 at Washington State — 104 ypr
Result W 59-24
The week the volume broke through — put up 104 yds at Washington State.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
✓ Hit 750-yard season · finished with 758.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 758): needs 242/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 758): needs 742/game over remaining 1.
✓ Hit 10 rushing TDs · finished with 15.
✓ Hit 15 rushing TDs · finished with 15.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 15): needs 5/game over remaining 1.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Jonah Coleman is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 758 rushing yards, 31 catches, and 57 return yards for Washington. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Workhorse | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
Receiving
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 38-21vs Colorado State | 24 | 177 | 7.4 | 2 | 38 | Season-high 177 yds |
| Wk 2 | W 70-10vs UC Davis | 15 | 111 | 7.4 | 5 | 18 | 5 rushing TDs |
| Wk 4 | W 59-24@ Washington State | 12 | 59 | 4.9 | 2 | 13 | |
| Wk 5 | L 6-24vs Ohio State | 13 | 70 | 5.4 | 0 | 34 | |
| Wk 6 | W 24-20@ Maryland | 18 | 57 | 3.2 | 1 | 6 | |
| Wk 7 | W 38-19vs Rutgers | 14 | 44 | 3.1 | 1 | 15 | |
| Wk 8 | L 7-24@ Michigan | 16 | 50 | 3.1 | 1 | 8 | |
| Wk 9 | W 42-25vs Illinois | 14 | 75 | 5.4 | 1 | 29 | |
| Wk 11 | L 10-13@ Wisconsin | 5 | 2 | 0.4 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 13 | W 48-14@ UCLA | 4 | 6 | 1.5 | 1 | 2 | |
| Wk 14 | L 14-26vs Oregon | 9 | 22 | 2.4 | 0 | 9 | |
| Bowl | W 38-10vs Boise State | 12 | 85 | 7.1 | 1 | 25 | |
| Total | 156 | 758 | 4.3 | 15 | 38 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Washington | 156 | 758 | 4.9 | 15 | -- |
| 2024 | Washington | 193 | 1,053 | 5.5 | 10 | -- |
| 2023 | Arizona | 128 | 871 | 6.8 | 5 | -- |
| 2022 | Arizona | 75 | 372 | 5.0 | 4 | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 552 | 3,054 | 5.5 | 34 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Washington | 31 | 354 | 11.4 | 2 | -- |
| 2024 | Washington | 23 | 177 | 7.7 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Arizona | 25 | 283 | 11.3 | 1 | -- |
| 2022 | Arizona | 8 | 24 | 3.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 87 | 838 | 9.6 | 3 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 758 | #73/735 | 90th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 15 | #8/739 | 99th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.9 | #305/735 | 59th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 31 | #31/552 | 95th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 354 | #12/548 | 98th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.20 | #58/362 | 84th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 148 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 24.3% | #53/738 | 93rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 156 | #62/739 | 92nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 38 | #244/733 | 67th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 45 | #55/540 | 90th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 11.4 | #80/548 | 86th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #20/552 | 97th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 57 | #93/200 | 54th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 19.0 | #93/199 | 54th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 3 | #85/206 | 59th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 38.6% | #70/738 | 91st pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 28.9% | #45/738 | 94th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 28.5% | #47/738 | 94th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 23.0% | #64/738 | 91st pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 15.8% | #62/738 | 92nd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 13.9% | #90/738 | 88th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 9.3% | #38/738 | 95th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #78/256 | 70th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 83.4 | 5.5 | 1.4 |
| Road5g | 34.8 | 2.6 | 1.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins8g | 76.8 | 5.0 | 1.8 |
| Losses4g | 36.0 | 2.8 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 86.1 | 5.5 | 1.7 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 31.0 | 2.6 | 0.6 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
Elite: rush tds (97th). Strength: rec yards (96th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Short-yardage and goal-line specialist. Carries the load, owns the red zone.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Cameron Skattebo’s 2023 season.
Cameron Skattebo
Tyler Lavine
La'Damian Webb
Nelson Smith
Tawee Walker
Matches Cameron on
Differs from Cameron on
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Nicholas Singleton's senior season at Penn State (2025).
Nicholas Singleton
Dylan McDuffie
La'Vell Wright
Re'Mahn Davis
Isaac Guerendo
Matches Nicholas on
Differs from Nicholas on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jedd Fisch
Pass share
44.9%
370 pass / 454 run
Plays / game
63.4
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
9.3%
268 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Kalen DeBoer → Jedd Fisch. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2024)
All-Big Ten
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | All-Big Ten | all_conference | Washington | Big Ten | RB |
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Washington | RB4 | #66 | #81 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2023 | Arizona | RB4 | #89 | #90 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Pac-12 |
| 2022 | Arizona | RB4 | #808 | #1017 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Pac-12 |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Washington | Big Ten | RB | 4 | No. 1 | 5-9 | 228 lb | Stockton, CA |
| 2024 | Washington | Big Ten | RB | 4 | No. 1 | 5-9 | 228 lb | Stockton, CA |
| 2023 | Arizona | Pac-12 | RB | 4 | No. 1 | 5-9 | 228 lb | Stockton, CA |
| 2022 | Arizona | Pac-12 | RB | 4 | No. 1 | 5-9 | 228 lb | Stockton, CA |