CFB Zeitgeist Score
35
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 86th percentile.
Julian Gray
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
102 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 17 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Liberty for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Running back · Liberty
Returning around him
- 100% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- Transfer portal: +7 net (26 in / 19 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Liberty · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #84 · 2026 recruiting class #86
RB · LIBERTY · CONFERENCE USA
Julian Gray
- 4
- #1
- 5-11 | 195 lb
- Charlotte, NC
Heisman Heat
#754
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2022–2025+104%
Up 104% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8741 | No. 600 recruit | HighSchool | NC State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | NC State -> Liberty | 4-star | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to NC State
Composite
0.8741
#600 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Julian Gray
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Julian Gray
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 8g
102Rush yards
17Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
12.8Rush yards
2Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
165.8Rush yards
28Carries
2Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 102): needs 129.6/game over remaining 5.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 102): needs 179.6/game over remaining 5.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 102): needs 279.6/game over remaining 5.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.8/game over remaining 5.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.8/game over remaining 5.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 3.8/game over remaining 5.
Why this is more than a rushing profile
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Julian Gray is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 102 rushing yards, 18 catches, and 313 return yards for Liberty. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Efficient runner | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
17 37th
YDS
102 41st
YPC
6.0 85th
TD
1 56th
Receiving
REC
18 83rd
YDS
218 93rd
YPR
12.1 89th
TD
1 89th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 8 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 28-7vs Maine | 6 | 39 | 6.5 | 0 | 13 | Season-high 39 yds |
| Wk 2 | L 24-34@ Jacksonville State | 2 | 18 | 9.0 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 3 | L 13-23@ Bowling Green | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 4 | L 13-31vs James Madison | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 5 | L 7-21@ Old Dominion | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Wk 7 | W 19-8@ UTEP | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 8 | W 30-27vs New Mexico State | 3 | 26 | 8.7 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 10 | W 59-30vs Delaware | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Total | 17 | 102 | 5.6 | 1 | 14 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021NC State9-3HC: Dave Doeren · Balanced
2022NC State8-5HC: Dave Doeren · Balanced
2023NC State9-4HC: Dave Doeren · Run-leaning
2024Liberty8-4HC: Jamey Chadwell · Run-heavy
2025Liberty4-8HC: Jamey Chadwell · Run-heavy
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 102 | #431/735 | 41st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #323/739 | 56th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 6.0 | #108/735 | 85th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 18 | #96/552 | 83rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 218 | #42/548 | 93rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 7.3% | #416/738 | 44th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 17 | #469/739 | 37th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 14 | #488/733 | 34th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 72 | #15/540 | 97th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 12.1 | #64/548 | 89th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #60/552 | 89th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 313 | #18/200 | 92nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 28.5 | #16/199 | 92nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 11 | #24/206 | 89th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return TD | 1 | #3/14 | 86th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 11.2% | #19/738 | 98th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 9.5% | #361/738 | 51st pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 7.9% | #419/738 | 43rd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 7.9% | #431/738 | 42nd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 6.1% | #397/738 | 46th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 4.9% | #635/738 | 14th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 3.2% | #535/738 | 28th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 8 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home4g | 18.0 | 6.2 | 0.0 |
| Road4g | 7.5 | 5.0 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 16.2 | 7.6 | 0.0 |
| Losses4g | 9.2 | 4.6 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 12.7 | 5.0 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+2g | 13.0 | 8.7 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
35Mid-pack
Elite: rec yards (88th). Strength: yards / carry (86th). Concern: carries (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Julian GrayLibertyRashod DubinionApp State· 48% simKamari MoultonIowa· 47% simDontae McMillanEastern Michigan· 45% sim
Rec yards
Yards / carry
Receptions
Rush TDs
Long run
Rush yards
Carries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jamey Chadwell
Pass share
38.7%
314 pass / 498 run
Plays / game
67.7
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
8.4%
249 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coaches2021
Hugh Freeze
Liberty
2022
Hugh Freeze
Liberty
2023era →
Jamey Chadwell
Liberty
2024
Jamey Chadwell
Liberty
2025
Jamey Chadwell
Liberty
Coaching transition mid-career: Hugh Freeze → Jamey Chadwell. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownCharlotte, NC
Height5'11"
Weight195 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey1
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamLiberty
ConferenceConference USA
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Liberty | RB4 | #754 | #773 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2023 | NC State | RB4 | #1211 | #988 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | ACC |
| 2022 | NC State | RB4 | #1036 | #981 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | ACC |
| 2021 | NC State | RB4 | #2079 | #1902 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | ACC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Liberty | Conference USA | RB | 4 | No. 1 | 5-11 | 195 lb | Charlotte, NC |
| 2024 | Liberty | Conference USA | RB | 4 | No. 1 | 5-11 | 195 lb | Charlotte, NC |
| 2023 | NC State | ACC | RB | 4 | No. 1 | 5-11 | 195 lb | Charlotte, NC |
| 2022 | NC State | ACC | RB | 4 | No. 1 | 5-11 | 195 lb | Charlotte, NC |
| 2021 | NC State | ACC | RB | 4 | No. 1 | 5-11 | 195 lb | Charlotte, NC |