cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / KK Smith /Notre Dame

KK Smith

WR · Notre Dame · So · #11

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

123 REC YDS · 8 REC · 2 REC TD

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Notre Dame → Michigan State for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Michigan State

2025Notre Dame
2026Michigan State

WR · NOTRE DAME · FBS INDEPENDENTS

KK Smith

  • 2
  • #11
  • 6-0 | 177 lb
  • Frisco, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

29

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 79th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2000

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#545 national
CFB
College
Notre Dame
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#8 in market ▼ from #6 · 4 books

+10009.1% implied

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class2
Jersey11
Measurements6-0 | 177 lb
HometownFrisco, TX
Primary teamNotre Dame

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 545 recruit
Composite rating 0.8836 HighSchool
Signed with Notre Dame 2023
Origin Reedy Frisco, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8836 No. 545 recruit | HighSchool | Notre Dame

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Michigan State 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 11, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Notre Dame -> Michigan State 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2000Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1625Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Notre Dame

Composite

0.8836

#545 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on KK Smith

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about KK Smith

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 5g
123Rec yards
8Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
24.6Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
319.8Rec yards
21Receptions
5Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 123): needs 72.1/game over remaining 8.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 123): needs 109.6/game over remaining 8.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 8): needs 6.5/game over remaining 8.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 8): needs 9/game over remaining 8.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 0.8/game over remaining 8.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 1/game over remaining 8.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

KK Smith's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Notre Dame, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2000 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 2.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 8 2 rec TD | #631/1110 (43rd pct)
Receiving yards 123 15.4 per catch | #582/1107 (48th pct)
Scrimmage yards 123 Total offensive yardage | #582/1107 (48th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
8 43rd
YDS
123 48th
YPR
15.4 78th
TD
2 75th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 5 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 3L 40-41vs Texas A&M177.007
Wk 4W 56-30vs Purdue11111.0011
Wk 7W 36-7vs NC State35919.7131Season-high 59 yds
Wk 11W 49-10vs Navy23919.5134
Wk 12W 37-15@ Pittsburgh177.007
Total812312.8234
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Notre Dame10-2HC: Marcus Freeman · Run-leaning, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Notre Dame812315.42--
Career1 loaded season812315.42--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 2.4% 5.8% pass-game share | #791/1137 (31st pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 2 Across offense and returns | #281/1111 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 8 #631/1110 43rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 123 #582/1107 48th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #281/1111 75th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 15.4 #242/1106 78th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 5.8% #791/1137 31st pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 34 #548/1105 50th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.0% #651/1137 43rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 3.8% #828/1137 27th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 2.4% #884/1137 22nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 1.9% #898/1137 21st pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 1.7% #964/1137 15th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 1.6% #910/1137 20th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 5 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home4g1.829.014.30.5
Road1g1.07.07.00.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins4g1.829.014.30.5
Losses1g1.07.07.00.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-73g1.725.712.60.3
Weeks 8+2g1.523.013.20.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

29Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (0th).

Yards / catch#117 / 558 · 79th pct
15.4rece
Rec TDs#276 / 558 · 42nd pct
2rece
Long catch#447 / 558 · 19th pct
34rece
Rec yards#540 / 558 · 3rd pct
123rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
8rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
KK SmithNotre DameMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 40% simTrent WalkerOregon State· 39% simNik McMillanBuffalo· 38% sim
Yards / catch
79
Smith
9
III
40
Walker
84
McMillan
Rec TDs
42
Smith
24
III
42
Walker
57
McMillan
Long catch
19
Smith
16
III
39
Walker
65
McMillan
Rec yards
3
Smith
70
III
89
Walker
96
McMillan
Receptions
0
Smith
92
III
95
Walker
90
McMillan

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Marcus Freeman

Pass share

44.0%

321 pass / 409 run

Plays / game

60.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.7%

257 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Marcus Freeman
Notre Dame

Played his entire career under Marcus Freeman.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownFrisco, TX
Height6'0"
Weight177 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Notre Dame WR2 #2000 #1625 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | FBS Independents
2023 Notre Dame WR2 #2810 #2354 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | FBS Independents

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Notre Dame FBS Independents WR 2 No. 11 | 6-0 | 177 lb | Frisco, TX
2024 Notre Dame FBS Independents WR 2 No. 11 | 6-0 | 177 lb | Frisco, TX
2023 Notre Dame FBS Independents WR 2 No. 11 | 6-0 | 177 lb | Frisco, TX